Sentences with phrase «other climate change models»

Not exact matches

Even Adair Turner, who on all other topics is a model of objectivity, ignores recent developments when discussing climate change, in the section of his letter to the Treasury summarising recent developments.
If similar limits could be established for other species, that data could be incorporated into climate models to better understand which species will likely be able to survive the coming environmental changes.
Many other studies on black carbon's climate influence have used models that have been used in reports by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate climate influence have used models that have been used in reports by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Climate Change.
USGS looked at the likely effects of climate change using two models, one where the temperature rises 2 degrees Fahrenheit by 2099 and the other where it climbs 7 degrees by century's end.
A few of the main points of the third assessment report issued in 2001 include: An increasing body of observations gives a collective picture of a warming world and other changes in the climate system; emissions of greenhouse gases and aerosols due to human activities continue to alter the atmosphere in ways that are expected to affect the climate; confidence in the ability of models to project future climate has increased; and there is new and stronger evidence that most of the warming observed over the last 50 years is attributable to human activities.
«Our model can help predict if forests are at risk of desertification or other climate change - related processes and identify what can be done to conserve these systems,» he said.
«Pikas are a model organism for studying climate change, and their decline at low - elevation sites suggests that the future for other species is not great either,» Stewart said.
The massive projects needed now — such as devising a model of climate change detailed enough to be truly predictive or batteries efficient enough to compete with gasoline — can not wait or depend on chancy funding, he believes.He added that a strong national commitment to goal - centered basic science could help solve other important problems by drawing America's talented young people into scientific work and providing them with better opportunities for aspiring researchers to build careers with a realistic chance of making both a significant scientific contribution and a decent living.
Lead author William Taylor, a postdoctoral research fellow at the Max Planck Institute for the Science of Human History, says that this model «enables us for the first time to link horse use with other important cultural developments in ancient Mongolia and eastern Eurasia, and evaluate the role of climate and environmental change in the local origins of horse riding.»
What's left to figure out is whether this is happening with other subglacial lakes around the Greenland ice sheet, as well as whether and how to incorporate the findings into models that are aimed at gauging how much Greenland might change with the warming climate and how much water it could add to the rising seas.
Even models that correctly capture cloud behavior may fail to fully account for other climate feedbacks from factors like changing snow and sea ice cover, atmospheric water vapor content, and temperature.
This technique may be a model for other power plants and factories to control their emissions, creating a climate change solution literally set in stone.
The conclusion of that study was that we are now in that interval's warmest range of temperatures, therefore adding support to the overwhelming evidence from other sources and models that man - made climate change is already well underway.
«If we're predicting a 29 - degree optimum and another model is predicting a 35 - degree optimum, the other model will say that climate change will increase transmission,» she said in a Stanford - issued media release, adding that if local temperatures are already near optimal temperature, infections may decline as temperatures rise.
To inform its Earth system models, the climate modeling community has a long history of using integrated assessment models — frameworks for describing humanity's impact on Earth, including the source of global greenhouse gases, land use and land cover change, and other resource - related drivers of anthropogenic climate change.
In order to predict future changes in climate, scientists verify and refine their models against paleoclimate data from the ice cores Taylor and others pull up.
Once the research team finishes plugging data from other endangered species into his model, Colwell hopes to work out a definitive count that will allow scientists to accurately assess threats from invasive species, habitat conversion, and climate change.
To make mortality estimates, the researchers took temperature projections from 16 global climate models, downscaled these to Manhattan, and put them against two different backdrops: one assuming rapid global population growth and few efforts to limit emissions; the other, assuming slower growth, and technological changes that would decrease emissions by 2040.
«Climate changes predicted by the global circulation models would cause several percent of the Mexican population to move north [if] all other factors are held constant.»
Those numbers caused a stir, because they were substantially higher than HFC warming forecasts made by other climate models, including those underpinning the massive reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models, including those underpinning the massive reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Climate Change (IPCC).
The model shows that climate change that significantly decreases plant quality grants a competitive advantage to larger invertebrate herbivores, such as grasshoppers, ants and other insects, which are able to convert the foliage to energy more efficiently than smaller herbivores.
Such offices shall engage in cooperative research, development, and demonstration projects with the academic community, State Climate Offices, Regional Climate Offices, and other users and stakeholders on climate products, technologies, models, and other tools to improve understanding and forecasting of regional and local climate variability and change and the effects on economic activities, natural resources, and water availability, and other effects on communities, to facilitate development of regional and local adaptation plans to respond to climate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory ComClimate Offices, Regional Climate Offices, and other users and stakeholders on climate products, technologies, models, and other tools to improve understanding and forecasting of regional and local climate variability and change and the effects on economic activities, natural resources, and water availability, and other effects on communities, to facilitate development of regional and local adaptation plans to respond to climate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory ComClimate Offices, and other users and stakeholders on climate products, technologies, models, and other tools to improve understanding and forecasting of regional and local climate variability and change and the effects on economic activities, natural resources, and water availability, and other effects on communities, to facilitate development of regional and local adaptation plans to respond to climate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory Comclimate products, technologies, models, and other tools to improve understanding and forecasting of regional and local climate variability and change and the effects on economic activities, natural resources, and water availability, and other effects on communities, to facilitate development of regional and local adaptation plans to respond to climate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory Comclimate variability and change and the effects on economic activities, natural resources, and water availability, and other effects on communities, to facilitate development of regional and local adaptation plans to respond to climate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory Comclimate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory Committee.
I would agree that unforeseen changes in ocean circulation could throw off model predictions, there are surely other wildcards too, but uncertainty like that is not your friend if you want to argue against avoiding climate change.
And a proper discussion of climate change often does call for precise terms like external forcing and general circulation models, and other non-toddler friendly jargon.
As research leaders in developing and using models to provide scientific insights into weather and climate change, Qian and others are striving to understand uncertainty in systems and modeling to improve projections and help prepare vulnerable regions for potential climate change impact.
This involves a combination of satellite observations (when different satellites captured temperatures in both morning and evening), the use of climate models to estimate how temperatures change in the atmosphere over the course of the day, and using reanalysis data that incorporates readings from surface observations, weather balloons and other instruments.
Johnsongrass can rapidly adapt to changes in climate, soil, surrounding organisms, and agriculture in ways not previously observed in other plants, making it an important model system to explore the underpinnings of weediness.
While Pollard's research focuses on understanding the microbiome through bioinformatics and modeling, other projects study human disorders such as diabetes and asthma, the impact of the ocean and soil on climate change, and the influence of plants, animals, and water on food production.
Within the integrated Earth system science paradigm, our major research thrusts include the physics and chemistry of aerosols, clouds and precipitation; integrating our understanding of climate, energy, and other human and natural systems through the development and application of models that span a wide range of spatial scales; and determining the impacts of and informing responses to climate and other global and regional environmental changes.
Global climate models are the scientific community's best tools for understanding the detailed dynamics of the global climate system and the way those dynamics change in response to greenhouse gas emissions and other human activities.
Their model also might help scientists understand other, more current issues — such as climate change.
These myriad unmodeled amplifying feedbacks support the analysis that the climate is much more sensitive to changes in greenhouse gas emissions and other «forcings» than the IPCC models have been saying.
And parents don't know that our district will be the model for all others — because we do it best — we will collect SSP data in the form of social and emotional surveys, we will change our curriculum to socially engineer our children with social and emotional instruction without parents suspecting a thing, we will assess and survey up the wazoo about academics, school climate, cyberbullying, etc. while willing parents stand by, we will enhance our teacher evaluation program and refine it into a well - oiled teacher manipulation machine, and since our kids would do well no matter what because we have uber - involved parents, it will look like everything the Administrators are doing at the State's recommendation causes the success.
Nissan says it has no plans, as of yet, to move production to Smyrna, Tennessee, where the Rogue, Altima and other models are produced, though that could change along with the political climate — and waning demand for midsize sedans like the Altima.
The Golf's modular chassis architecture, which will spread to other VW models, permits the consecutive assembly of climate - change - denying Golfs fitted with combustion engines and eco-models riding along the line on yoga mats while using an app to chart the melting of glaciers.
Other changes include an 8 GB hard drive built into the iDrive system so that music can be stored in the car, four - zone climate control as standard and, thankfully, a slight styling overhaul on the bland - ish current model.
Upgraded models add bigger wheels, a few exterior styling changes, a power driver's seat, dual - zone climate control, moonroof, leather and a few other improvements.
Other changes include the introduction of the Chevrolet Infotainment 3 system, and LT and Premier models getting automatic climate control and remote start as standard.
The pension metrics system will give Wells Fargo Institutional Retirement and Trust the flexibility to offer clients live modeling updates by changing assumptions and other factors, generating a living document that matches today's volatile investment climate.
To better understand what Kilimanjaro and other tropical glaciers are telling us about climate change, one ultimately ought to drive a set of tropical glacier models with GCM simulations conducted with and without anthropogenic forcing (greenhouse gases and sulfate aerosol).
The other point is that attribution studies evaluate the extent to which patterns of model response to external forcing (i.e., fingerprints) simulations explain climate change in * observations.
The recent paper by Kate Marvel and others (including me) in Nature Climate Change looks at the different forcings and their climate responses over the historical period in more detail than any previous modelingClimate Change looks at the different forcings and their climate responses over the historical period in more detail than any previous modelingclimate responses over the historical period in more detail than any previous modeling study.
«In other words, the projections shown here were made before the observations confirmed them as being correct, striking at the heart of the argument that modellers tune their models to yield the correct climate change results.»
In order to understand the potential importance of the effect, let's look at what it could do to our understanding of climate: 1) It will have zero effect on the global climate models, because a) the constraints on these models are derived from other sources b) the effect is known and there are methods for dealing the errors they introduce c) the effect they introduce is local, not global, so they can not be responsible for the signal / trend we see, but would at most introduce noise into that signal 2) It will not alter the conclusion that the climate is changing or even the degree to which it is changing because of c) above and because that conclusion is supported by multiple additional lines of evidence, all of which are consistent with the trends shown in the land stations.
Although the Met Office Hadley Center model projects extreme drying and warming in the Amazon due to ongoing climate change, and there may even be a commitment to long - term decline of part of the Amazon forest even at just 2 degrees global warming above pre-industrial, other climate models show less of a drying or even none at all.
Gavin implicitly agrees about model uncertainty and states that climate change is also proven by other lines of eivdence — like paleoclimatology.
Regarding climate change effects in the WHO results, according to the UK's Hadley Center climate model (HadCM2 — IS92a scenario) climate - change induced disease risks could double by the year 2030 — all other factors held constant.
To me it's a nice model for how Gavin and others must feel, trying to get facts about anthropogenic climate change integrated into the minds of people who for whatever reason can not or will not accept them.
I believe that I was harassed by my supervisor and others in NWS for over a year after the suspension, related to my concerns on climate and hydrologic change as that can affect hydrologic modeling which NWS river forecast centers uses for flood and water supply forecasting.
Summary for Policymakers Chapter 1: Introduction Chapter 2: Observations: Atmosphere and Surface Chapter 3: Observations: Ocean Chapter 4: Observations: Cryosphere Chapter 5: Information from Paleoclimate Archives Chapter 6: Carbon and Other Biogeochemical Cycles Chapter 7: Clouds and Aerosols Chapter 8: Anthropogenic and Natural Radiative Forcing Chapter 8 Supplement Chapter 9: Evaluation of Climate Models Chapter 10: Detection and Attribution of Climate Change: from Global to Regional Chapter 11: Near - term Climate Change: Projections and Predictability Chapter 12: Long - term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility Chapter 13: Sea Level Change Chapter 14: Climate Phenomena and their Relevance for Future Regional Climate Change Chapter 14 Supplement Technical Summary
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