let us not forget, this was supposed to be a bigger, better version of
other consensus papers, thus the 12,000 papers is important to the activists..
Cook's paper can not include
other consensus papers — a consensus paper can not include consensus papers as evidence.
I found an analysis of it and
other consensus papers.
After years of attacks on John Cook's 2013 paper finding a 97 percent consensus among climate change papers and experts, Cook pulled together a dream team of
other consensus paper authors to reaffirm their collective findings.
Not exact matches
One has to wonder how many
other papers with incorrect results have been published by scientists who go along with «
consensus» views, and have never been corrected.
Re: # 46 The factcheck.org item strikes me as a good - faith attempt at balance that fell prey to the usual journalistic pitfall; that is, it poses on one side the IPCC
consensus view and on the
other individual detractors like Patrick Michaels (citing 3 blog entries by him, no less — not peer - reviewed
papers).
If Cook et al. are now saying that many
papers do not make a definite statement because it is obvious that most of global warming is human - made, I am inclined to agree with this assumption, not least because of
other research referenced on this page showing a similar degree of
consensus.
I love the concept in this
paper, but it is really just more fun SF, like so many
other ideas that the climate
consensus is involved with promoitng.
Other papers on the
consensus between climate scientists have been written by Oreskes, 2004; Heima; and Anderegg, 2010.
Revkin pointed to a study published in April by Dr. John Cook and
other researchers, which claimed that 97 percent of scientific
papers over the last decade «endorsed the
consensus» of man - made warming.
So if we have a reality where there's a
consensus in a field (or not even a
consensus, just a popular idea or plurality) like climate, which has spillover effects for lots of
other fields, and people in those fields take it up and insert it as a premise in some research or
paper, we can see how the math would work.
Some interesting reading in those
other articles and the
papers citing the
consensus study.
The people who claim that CS is lower than the «
consensus» estimate have already had ample time to find flaws in the numerous
other papers supporting the
consensus position.
I suggest that it would be a useful counter to the OISM petition and
paper for you to list the scientific claims made in the
paper and provide links to the relevant science or
other references as you did with the list of studies on
consensus.
In
other words, from 1991 - 2011, 99.5 % of
paper abstracts using the search words explained in the
paper did not explicitly endorse the quantified definition of the «
consensus» statement.
Could it be possible that the scientific
consensus you speak of, is a result of a lot of
papers not seeing the light of publication due to factors
other than scientific merit?
On the
other hand if you think the IPCC is even handed and will respond to a non
consensus paper as it does the
consensus then I would suggest that we have a major difference of perception that needs to be resolved first.
The main result of this study, that the influence of urban areas on the global land temperature data set is very small, corroborates the
consensus view among climate scientists, including, for example, the recent
paper by Souleymane Fall and
others.
Interestingly, this is the same strategy that Richard Tol once tried in arguing our 97 % was an outlier compared to
other consensus studies, which led to my co-authoring the 2016
consensus - on -
consensus study with
other consensus researchers (which was the
paper that Cass misrepresents, everything is coming full circle).
This has been discussed in IPCC and NRC which represent the «
consensus view» much more broadly than Mann et al. or any
other individual
paper (whether Mann's conclusions are «correct» or not was not my focus).
The
other is the «peer - reviewed»
paper itself suggesting: «0.3 % climate
consensus, not 97.1 %» and that John Cook of SkS is an incompetent climate scientist.
NPR ran with a story the
other day, picking on a particularly miffed climatologist that his
paper showing snowfall in the Sierras (I believe; haven't gone back to check the story on that yet) hasn't diminished despite what he claims are the
consensus predictions, hinting at dark conspiracies — and the NPR reporter went with this in spite of his own reporting in the same story that the
paper was merely cumulative of
others that had already pointed out the «anomoly»!