Natural variations in climate include the effects of cycles such as El Niño, La Niña and
other ocean cycles; the 11 - year sunspot cycle and other changes in energy from the sun; and the effects of volcanic eruptions.
Not exact matches
There are
other cycles in nature, such as the water
cycle, in which water circulates between the atmosphere and the soil and
oceans and rivers.
Science questions the answers, e.g. hurricanes are caused by warm moist
ocean air being drawn up into the cooler atmosphere and creating a wind pattern though we are still open to consider
other factors that may have influence on this
cycle.
Seasonal weather fluctuations also depend on factors such as proximity to
oceans or
other large bodies of water, currents in those
oceans, El Nino / ENSO and
other oceanic
cycles, and prevailing winds.
The models must track how carbon dioxide and
other greenhouse gases
cycle through the whole system — how the gases interact with plant life,
oceans, the atmosphere — and how this influences overall global temperatures.
The repeated
cycles of plate tectonics that have led to collision and assembly of large supercontinents and their breakup and formation of new
ocean basins have produced continents that are collages of bits and pieces of
other continents.
But for the
other half of the picture — what happened in the
oceans during that time — there is only a relatively short record extending back about 20,000 years to the last glacial
cycle.
The
others include: climate change, biodiversity loss, nutrient
cycles,
ocean acidification and freshwater use, among
others.
A detailed, long - term
ocean temperature record derived from corals on Christmas Island in Kiribati and
other islands in the tropical Pacific shows that the extreme warmth of recent El Niño events reflects not just the natural
ocean - atmosphere
cycle but a new factor: global warming caused by human activity.
The numerical model used in this study calculated sulfate reduction, methane production, and a broad array of
other biogeochemical
cycles in the
ocean for the billion years between 1.8 billion and 800 million years ago.
On the
other, this absorption affects the life and material
cycles of the
ocean — and all those who depend on it.
Could these
ocean cycles be changing because of greenhouse gas pollution, or because of
other phenomena that can contribute to climate change?
Other big differences are removing AQUA and NOAA - 15, which appeared to have an evolving bias based on comparisons to other satellites, especially over oceans where we don't expect diurnal cycle problems to be
Other big differences are removing AQUA and NOAA - 15, which appeared to have an evolving bias based on comparisons to
other satellites, especially over oceans where we don't expect diurnal cycle problems to be
other satellites, especially over
oceans where we don't expect diurnal
cycle problems to be big.
ECCO model - data syntheses are being used to quantify the
ocean's role in the global carbon
cycle, to understand the recent evolution of the polar
oceans, to monitor time - evolving heat, water, and chemical exchanges within and between different components of the Earth system, and for many
other science applications.
Besides being adorable, these critters play an important role in our
ocean ecosystems by providing habitat for
others, helping balance the food chain, and facilitating nutrient
cycling.
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Apart from climatic change,
other manifestations of human impact in the Anthropocene, from interference in the nitrogen
cycle to plastics in the
oceans, only add to the grim outlook.
Some say thermometers are flawed and the world isn't warming much,
others that warming and cool spells are the result of solar vagaries,
ocean cycles or simple random variability in a sloshy system (basically anything but greenhouse gases, their critics note).
Other fossil - fuel replacements occasionally touted in print or on the Web include nuclear fission, subcritical thorium fission, high - altitude wind power, enhanced geothermal, hot dry (or hot fractured) rock geothermal, wave power, tidal power, open - cycle ocean thermal energy conversion, and advanced biorefinery products like 2,5 - dimethylfuran, various other furans and furfu
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cycle ocean thermal energy conversion, and advanced biorefinery products like 2,5 - dimethylfuran, various
other furans and furfu
other furans and furfurals.
Summary for Policymakers Chapter 1: Introduction Chapter 2: Observations: Atmosphere and Surface Chapter 3: Observations:
Ocean Chapter 4: Observations: Cryosphere Chapter 5: Information from Paleoclimate Archives Chapter 6: Carbon and
Other Biogeochemical
Cycles Chapter 7: Clouds and Aerosols Chapter 8: Anthropogenic and Natural Radiative Forcing Chapter 8 Supplement Chapter 9: Evaluation of Climate Models Chapter 10: Detection and Attribution of Climate Change: from Global to Regional Chapter 11: Near - term Climate Change: Projections and Predictability Chapter 12: Long - term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility Chapter 13: Sea Level Change Chapter 14: Climate Phenomena and their Relevance for Future Regional Climate Change Chapter 14 Supplement Technical Summary
• El Niño, a natural
cycle of
ocean warming, can exacerbate both flooding and drought, along with storm intensity, wildfires and
other factors in the «vicious
cycle» of climate change.
It plays a crucial role in the carbon
cycle — the exchange of carbon dioxide between the atmosphere and the
oceans — and in the buffering of blood and
other bodily fluids.
For instance, perfect initialization of the state of the Atlantic
ocean, a correct simulation of the next 10 years of the solar
cycle, a proper inclusion of stratospheric water vapor, etc may be important for whether the next 5 years are warmer than the previous 5, but it has nothing to do with climate sensitivity, water vapor feedback, or
other issues.
Coby, if the earth is warming as a result of increased periodic solar activity (or some
other more complex reason) as suggested by the long term
cycles mentioned above measured before man was on earth or industrialized, is it posssible that the observed increases in CO2 in the atmosphere are simply coming from warmer
oceans, since liquids can not hold as much gas at a higher temperature than they can at lower temperature?
The late 20th century divergence is partly due to local anthropogenic warming and partly to
other factors, such as longterm multicentennial linear trend in solar
cycle frequency (thermal inertia of
oceans and ice).
Expecting less than 5 % of Earths surface to filter the air mass from the
other 95 % given actual air circulation patterns is patently absurd compared to natural CO2 scrubbing mechanisms like the biological carbon
cycles, or Henry's law (which is leading to
ocean acidification.
R Gates the skeptical warmist: «This really is exactly what Trenberth and
others have been saying, though may may not so readily admit that at least 50 % of the 1976 - 1998 warming was because of natural
ocean - atmsophere energy flux
cycles.
1) It is such a smal part of Earth's energy system 2) It has such a low thermal inertia 3) It is so easily influenced by
ocean cycles (i.e. the troposphere is the tail being wagged by the dog) 4) It is a poor metric (really a poor proxy) for climate sensitivity to GH gas forcing because energy quickly takes so many
other forms in the system
«This really is exactly what Trenberth and
others have been saying, though may may not so readily admit that at least 50 % of the 1976 - 1998 warming was because of natural
ocean - atmsophere energy flux
cycles.
The observation of a historically high level of TSI from 1961 to 2001 tends to fit with the theories set out in my
other articles about the real cause of recent warming and the real link between solar energy,
ocean cycles and global temperatures.
They have not only excised the water
cycle, and excised rain from the carbon
cycle, but have excised the whole atmosphere which is the heavy voluminous fluid
ocean of real gas Air weighting a ton on our shoulders and in its place have empty space with imaginary ideal gas molecules travelling under their own molecular momentum at great speeds through this empty space miles apart from each
other bouncing off each
other in elastic collisions, no attraction, and so «thoroughly mixing».
The myriad of processes that transform energy, that result in the motion of mass in the atmosphere, in
oceans, and on land, processes that drive the global water, carbon, and
other biogeochemical
cycles, all have in common that they are irreversible in their nature.»
In some way, that's the engine where all the
other variations must be hanged (specially variations in albedo because of clouds - maybe connected with solar
cycles as
other authors are trying to prove -, variations in albedo because of sea ice extention, linked with the oceanic currents - as in the «stadium wave» that was presented by Curry and
others, etc., variations in heat exchange between atmosphere and
oceans, and so on.
Changes in sea level vary around the world and over time, because of the effects of
ocean cycles, volcanic eruptions and
other phenomena.
Whereas earlier it was believed that man's impact on the climate was gradual, and that the situation was deteriorating in a gradual way, now — in contrast to the previous report, which was being put together seven years ago — much more information has been obtained on
ocean cycles and
other natural fluctuations.
As Don Easterbrook and
others note, hardly a significant length in temperatures that can
cycle over hundreds and even thousands of years, caused by either solar input changes or circulations within the
oceans.
Trees and
other living organisms are key players in the global carbon
cycle, a complex biogeochemical process in which carbon is exchanged among the atmosphere, the
ocean, the biosphere and Earth's crust.
That's as far as I'm going with this, the next 1 or 2 years will be make or break for all theories — AGW, solar /
ocean cycles, luke - warm, everyone, so there's no point going round and round on an argument that the actual observed climate will resolve one way or the
other very soon.
But the «big climate picture» includes
ocean feedbacks on all time scales, carbon and
other elemental
cycles, etc. and it has to be several decades before that is sorted out I would think.
They are mainly derived from the Shaviv reference (provided in the link above) that concludes that the solar signal is amplified as indicated by the magnitude of changes in
ocean heat content (and
other less direct measures) over the course of the 11 year solar
cycle.
I read various reports regarding
ocean current oscillations, solar influences and
other possible natural contributors to these
cycles.
Also — the
ocean heat constant of 5 - 8 yrs calculated by Scafetta and
others — is this related to (or reflected in) the ENSO
cycle?
«A reduction in the rate of warming (not a pause) is a result of short - term natural variability,
ocean absorption of heat from the atmosphere, volcanic eruptions, a downward phase of the 11 - year solar
cycle, and
other impacts over a short time period,» Cleugh says.
Other scientists dispute the necessity of life to the carbon
cycle, for even without plankton calcium carbonate at sufficiently high concentration would precipitate out of
ocean water.)
Because weather patterns vary, causing temperatures to be higher or lower than average from time to time due to factors like
ocean processes, cloud variability, volcanic activity, and
other natural
cycles, scientists take a longer - term view in order to consider all of the year - to - year changes.
The
ocean capacitor has a relatively steady flow or discharge to the atmosphere, which has the greatest short - term fluctuation seen in the ENSO
cycle, but there are
other cycles in this capacitor, such as the PDO and AMO.
While it is tempting to attribute the unexplained sea ice trends to
other factors such as increased upwelling of relatively warm circumpolar deepwater (Thoma et al. 2008), an intensification of the hydrological
cycle and increased
ocean stratification (Liu and Curry 2010), or eastward propagation of sea ice anomalies (Holland et al. 2005), the observed northerly wind trends (Fig. 5a) are qualitatively consistent with the decrease in sea ice in the 30 ° W — 60 ° W sector.
The most likely candidate for that climatic variable force that comes to mind is solar variability (because I can think of no
other force that can change or reverse in a different trend often enough, and quick enough to account for the historical climatic record) and the primary and secondary effects associated with this solar variability which I feel are a significant player in glacial / inter-glacial
cycles, counter climatic trends when taken into consideration with these factors which are, land / ocean arrangements, mean land elevation, mean magnetic field strength of the earth (magnetic excursions), the mean state of the climate (average global temperature), the initial state of the earth's climate (how close to interglacial - glacial threshold condition it is) the state of random terrestrial (violent volcanic eruption, or a random atmospheric circulation / oceanic pattern that feeds upon itself possibly) / extra terrestrial events (super-nova in vicinity of earth or a random impact) along with Milankovitch C
cycles, counter climatic trends when taken into consideration with these factors which are, land /
ocean arrangements, mean land elevation, mean magnetic field strength of the earth (magnetic excursions), the mean state of the climate (average global temperature), the initial state of the earth's climate (how close to interglacial - glacial threshold condition it is) the state of random terrestrial (violent volcanic eruption, or a random atmospheric circulation / oceanic pattern that feeds upon itself possibly) / extra terrestrial events (super-nova in vicinity of earth or a random impact) along with Milankovitch
CyclesCycles.
On the topic of warmist scientists, one has to wonder why they define «climate» as a stretch of weather of 30 years when some of the
ocean cycles take that long or longer and can run out of phase with each
other.
And that's only the solar
cycles, we haven't even touched on the major
ocean oscillations, ENSO, volcanoes, or a raft of
other possible factors that could seriously distort your very short base period (and the next few decades too, of course).