Sentences with phrase «other pollsters»

A Real Clear Politics compilation of other pollsters, meanwhile, showed Obama with an average approval figure of 49.5 percent and disapproval of 45.1 percent.

The topline voting intention figures are CON 43 % (+2), LAB 27 % -LRB--1), LDEM 18 % (+1), so a slight shift to the Conservatives, but that's taken from a poll that had a much lower Conservative lead than that shown by other pollsters.

YouGov and other pollsters showed consistently that around one - in - five Labour supporters would desert Ken Livingstone and vote for Boris.

But he and other pollsters said that it's likely a combination of small factors that led to the shocking final result.

Over the last week we've had no fewer than five YouGov polls showing the Conservative lead shrinking to only six points, but apart from a 7 point lead from ICM we haven't had much from other pollsters to see if they are picking up the same trend — Angus Reid tend to show very different Labour figures anyway, and we have no recent historical trend data from Harris to compare.

Rasmussen Reports told you all along that it was a much closer race than most other pollsters predicted.

Like other pollsters ICM finds David Cameron is increasing his advantage as favoured Prime Minister:

In some of the house races that it polled, SurveyUSA's results had been more Republican - leaning than those of other pollsters.

But after the passing of an immediate budget bounce, which briefly registered in surveys by other pollsters, the Conservative party may start to worry about a vote - free recovery.

«Survation have consistently produced more favourable results for Ukip than any other pollster,» he said.

Survation were the most accurate pollster in the 2017 general election so it is natural to ask who is right, Survation or the other pollsters?

While some other pollsters have already shown the Greens in fourth place, this is the first time that YouGov have shown them catching the Liberal Democrats.

Clearly there's no boost in their ratings, 14 % would be a high Lib Dem score for any other pollster, but is the second lowest this year from ICM.

To correct it ICM, Populus, ComRes and mruk all weight by how people voted at the last general election (adjusted by their estimate for false recall — the way people aren't actually very good at reporting how they voted), because MORI are concerned that levels of false recall can fluctuate they don't use it to weight by, so their samples are more Labour than other pollsters — this will explain some of the difference.

As with Ipsos MORI, the other pollster that had shown a double point Conservative lead in the direct aftermath of the pre-budget report, this ICM polls shows Labour increasing, the Conservatives dropping back and the lead narrowing back into single figures.

The problem for the other pollsters seems to be that they were correcting for the errors of 2015 rather than measuring the race as it stood at the time.

The other pollsters don't give us much help — Populus also had Labour in steep decline, Ipsos MORI had them recovering.

1.22 pm: Anthony Wells at UK Polling Report says that YouGov predicted the results of the European elections more accurately than any of the other pollsters.

In that case, our figures will end up about right and, assuming that turnout patterns will be the same in 2017 as they were in 2015 will have caused some other pollsters to miss the real story.