Anomalous temperature (red solid circles) lies well within the envelope of
other warm anomalies during the preceding three decades.
Not exact matches
Soon and Baliunas are «mindful» that the Medieval
Warming Period and the Little Ice Age should be defined by temperature, but «we emphasize that great bias would result if those thermal
anomalies were to be dissociated» from
other climatic conditions.
... Continental - scale surface temperature reconstructions show, with high confidence, multi-decadal periods during the Medieval Climate
Anomaly (950 to 1250) that were in some regions as
warm as in the mid-20th century and in
others as
warm as in the late 20th century.
Local
anomalies can be much larger than the global
anomaly because some places are
warming more than
others as everyone knows.
Ultimately, there is limited value in debating whether human - driven
warming has caused the uncloaking of any particular Arctic island, the retreat of a snowfield atop any single mountain — even one as charismatic as Kilimanjaro — or the breakup of a particular ice shelf in Antarctica, or any
other regional
anomaly.
We have fairly high confidence that we observe the history of Heinrich events (huge discharges of ice - rafted debris from the Laurentide ice sheet through Hudson Bay that are roughly coincident with large southern
warming, southward shift of the intertropical convergence zone, extensive sea ice in the north Atlantic, reduced monsoonal rainfall in at least some parts of Asia, and
other changes), and also cold phases of the Dansgaard / Oeschger oscillations that lack Heinrich layers and are characterized by muted versions of the
other climate
anomalies I just mentioned.
In my YouTube interview with Dr. Hansen, he discusses how the public remains attuned mainly to
anomalies on short time scales — cold or
warm — and misses the point that it is the long - term trend that he and
other experts say will transform the planet, but at a pace invisible day to day.
The currents near where the
warm anomalies have been found move 180 degrees the
other way, and that is going to cause opposing current flow given the earth EMF and that moving conductor.
I'm very convinced that the physical process of global
warming is continuing, which appears as a statistically significant increase of the global surface and tropospheric temperature
anomaly over a time scale of about 20 years and longer and also as trends in
other climate variables (e.g., global ocean heat content increase, Arctic and Antarctic ice decrease, mountain glacier decrease on average and
others), and I don't see any scientific evidence according to which this trend has been broken, recently.
Based on extensive Siberian snow cover during the fall, the researchers correctly forecasted cold weather for much of the U.S., while most
other forecasters predicted
warm weather for the U.S.. For a comparison between predicted and observed temperature
anomalies, please see the following images: forecast temperature
anomaly Jan - Feb - Mar 2013 and observed temperature
anomaly Jan - Feb - Mar 2013, U.S. only.
While it is tempting to attribute the unexplained sea ice trends to
other factors such as increased upwelling of relatively
warm circumpolar deepwater (Thoma et al. 2008), an intensification of the hydrological cycle and increased ocean stratification (Liu and Curry 2010), or eastward propagation of sea ice
anomalies (Holland et al. 2005), the observed northerly wind trends (Fig. 5a) are qualitatively consistent with the decrease in sea ice in the 30 ° W — 60 ° W sector.
Focussing first on this period, the performance of the ERA - Interim and six
other reanalyses in the Arctic was examined by Lindsay et al. [12] Although the accuracy of reanalyses in the fast
warming but sparsely observed Arctic region has been questioned, the authors found that ERA - interim had a very high correlation with monthly temperature
anomalies at 449 Arctic land stations.
In fact, large
warm anomalies in one place are always accompanied by large cold
anomalies in
other places.
If we are in a long - term
warming trend that will last hundreds of years more, I'm afraid debates about anomaly charts, and whether or not a year set a new record, are mental masturbation — some decades will have warming, other decades will have cooling, but record high average temperatures will occur regularly or irregularly while the Modern Warming temperature uptrend is in progre
warming trend that will last hundreds of years more, I'm afraid debates about
anomaly charts, and whether or not a year set a new record, are mental masturbation — some decades will have
warming, other decades will have cooling, but record high average temperatures will occur regularly or irregularly while the Modern Warming temperature uptrend is in progre
warming,
other decades will have cooling, but record high average temperatures will occur regularly or irregularly while the Modern
Warming temperature uptrend is in progre
Warming temperature uptrend is in progress. . .
Could it not also be possible that they are saying that if the remaining stations have an exisiting or increasing UHI effect and or an exisiting true
warming relative to
other regions, then those
anomalys, legitmate or not, would show a
warming, then the
anomaly estimates from those stations transposed to the no longer used rural stations could artificialy raise that
anomaly as well?
Soon and Baliunas are «mindful» that the Medieval
Warming Period and the Little Ice Age should be defined by temperature, but «we emphasize that great bias would result if those thermal
anomalies were to be dissociated» from
other climatic conditions.
Not that we think the Goddard Institute for Space Studies team are particularly good at establishing global temperature or
anomalies, at least no better than
other industrious teams attempting to do the same thing, it's just that GISS's GISTEMP is consistently delivering the
warmest anomalies and accelerating away from the pack (well it is the house of Hansen, so - called «father of global
warming»...).
What we — and
other competent researchers — have all found is that the warmth was far more regional than modern warmth, with some large regions, like the tropical Pacific, having been unusually * cold * at the time, and when you average over the globe, the warmth of the medieval
warm period / medieval climate
anomaly simply doesn't reach modern warmth.
A good question is why, likely because there is a
warming accross the equator, not only at the equatorial Pacific, there is a drought in the Amazon,
other equatorial regions may also have temperature or weather
anomalies, I have not heard of them though.
In
other words, we can say with high confidence that such extreme
anomalies would not have occurred in the absence of global
warming.
NOAA switched to a 1971 - 2000 baseline for their
anomaly calculations, for example — and there are really only two explanations — one is to artificially reduce the reported
warming trend, and the
other is to provide a safer baseline for the weather risk insurance industry.