The FSB has long been saying that small businesses are the country's economic drivers and they can not play their part in pulling the economy
out of recession if they are faced with increasing taxes.
Not exact matches
If the most recent batch
of confidence surveys are any indication, consumers have just figured
out the global economy may be headed for
recession.
It seems to imply that
if I have a good idea and it is well thought
out, etc., it is equally OK to launch it during a
recession or during periods
of growth.
Wouldn't it be cool
if someone came up with a business here that was so perfect and duplicatable that it brought an entire sector
out of recession????
If I am wrong in either exaggerating the risks
of recession or understating the efficacy
of policy, the costs
of taking
out insurance against a
recession that can not be met with monetary policy are relatively low.
To explain, I point
out that
if the Fed had done nothing in response to the bust
of 2000 - 2002 then there would have been a severe
recession, but the economy would probably have made a full recovery by 2004 and there would have been no mortgage - credit / housing - investment bubble and therefore no 2007 - 2008 crisis.
As usual, I don't place too much emphasis on this sort
of forecast, but to the extent that I make any comments at all about the outlook for 2006, the bottom line is this: 1) we can't rule
out modest potential for stock appreciation, which would require the maintenance or expansion
of already high price / peak earnings multiples; 2) we also should recognize an uncomfortably large potential for market losses, particularly given that the current bull market has now outlived the median and average bull, yet at higher valuations than most bulls have achieved, a flat yield curve with rising interest rate pressures, an extended period
of internal divergence as measured by breadth and other market action, and complacency at best and excessive bullishness at worst, as measured by various sentiment indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling risk
of an oncoming
recession, which would become more
of a factor
if we observe a substantial widening
of credit spreads and weakness in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential for U.S. dollar weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent inflation pressures, particularly
if we do observe economic weakness.
The longer we go on without raising the more certain this end becomes,
if rates were raised in 2010 we would have had a
recession and be well
out of it by now.
Brett Arends
of MarketWatch (who himself was trying to figure
out if we were already in a
recession in late - 2012) showed why it can be so difficult to predict
recessions in real - time:
If the U.S. economy does indeed turn
out to be in
recession, what sort
of recession is it likely to be?
Now, a number
of people have pointed
out that we typically invert before a
recession and historically such inversions have been the case most
of the time — but not always
if you go back far enough in time — and you should since this is not a normal economy.
If things continue to improve and the US does come
out of recession in the coming quarters, as growth returns to the world's largest econmy then with it will the demand for natural gas.
A surprise
recession (few
if any predicted the September 2008 economic collapse, even a couple
of months»
out) or terrible instances
of domestic terrorism in the fall might cause just enough voters to throw up their hands and say, «Enough.
Your message reads as
if you were afraid somebody will have some fun or make some money, and this when the nation is coming
out of a
recession and anybody with any sense is cheered by the signs
of consumer confidence!
To go back to Keynsianism, you don't cut spending when you're just barely struggling
out of a
recession, unless you've drunk the Hoover Kool Aid (go look at his policies in» 30 - ’31
if you think budget - cutting's a good idea right now — utterly disastrous).
If he believes that the state's tax structure is a job - killer and one
of the chief reasons why upstate New York remains mired in a permanent
recession, he ought to ask for broader tax cuts, including a decrease in the state's personal income tax rate, which tops
out at nearly 9 percent (that does not include the additional tax burden placed on city residents, who pay up to 3.8 percent in personal income taxes.)
When you are coming
out of recession like this, the prospect is that
if it quickened, employment could be enhanced.
«Even
if the jobs figures are slowly improving, hundreds
of thousands
of people across the UK are still
out of work, with many more job losses announced in the past week, and for each
of them this
recession remains a personal tragedy,» TUC general secretary Brendan Barber said.
If not, we won't have social stability, cohesion and we will not go
out of recession.»
Nick Clegg replied: «
If you care so much about making sure that
out of the rubble
of this
recession, we create a new economy, why won't you and indeed why won't David Cameron, take the radical steps forward that are needed to reform our banking system.
If the Government wants to grow its way
out of recession, public services must be the roots.
«Things might be difficult today, but I'm completely sure
if we stay on course, this country will not only get
out of recession, but always go to the path
of sustainable development.
It certainly doesn't feel as
if we are coming
out of recession here in Southampton.
When you look at the fact that the average in - state student spent $ 19,548 in 2015 (~ $ 34,000
if they're
out of state) on tuition and fees for college, are coming
out of university with $ 80,000 or more in debt, and even though 2016 saw the best job market for grads since the Great
Recession, 51 %
of graduates from the classes
of 2014 and 2015 said they are working in jobs that do not require their college degree.
As for me, I say save your money — and not just because you may be
out of job soon
if we slip into a double - dip
recession.
If you're young, in good health, and have plenty
of years to ride
out the inevitable
recession, then an IRA that includes stocks, stock ETFs, and stock mutual funds can make sense.
But that time, everyone was freaking
out — the mortgage market was collapsing, everyone is saying the world was gonna go into a global economic
recession, the stock market tanked, and I don't know
if the post is still there, I've deleted a lot
of old posts that aren't as good as the ones today, but I actually said when the stock market's down like now and everyone's freaking
out, this is the best time to buy stocks.
Should our economy go into a
recession, you risk being upside down in your investment and either having to short sell or foreclose
if you need to get
out of it.
Credit card debt was on the upswing again in 2015 and
if spending continues at its current rater, debt could approach the levels seen just before the bottom fell
out of the economy in the 2008 Great
Recession.
After all, earning 4 % on a GIC or T - Bill sure beats the heck
out of a -20 % return
if we dive head first into a
recession.
Coming
out of a
recession, and even more so
if it is debt deflation, the key question to ask is whether most
of the financing problems are solved.
That means
if Credit is going to expand enough to keep the US
out of recession this year then it is going to have to be financed through Credit Creation by the banks and other financial institutions.
Certainly, given that the market has bounced
out of this
recession faster than any other in history, we shouldn't be surprised
if we do have another nasty stumble, but the more worrying scenario may be that we drift sideways from here, and drift for a long time.
If there is one good thing that can be said about this
recession, it is that it is bringing
out the creativity in people who are using their hands and their brains instead
of their wallets to make or wrap their gifts this year.
Even
if we do move
out a
recession, do you really think that the legal hiring market will return to the good ol' days
of the 1990s and early - mid 2000s?
Even the best
of us slip up sometimes, and even
if we do everything right, something
out of control — like the 2008
recession — can knock us right off track again.
Since they are likely to receive dozens,
if not hundreds
of CVs every day, particularly during a
recession, your CV needs to stand
out.
If you are like most people who have been job searching during this
recession, you have sent
out hundreds
of resumes.
Anyone who bottomed
out during the
recession, in terms
of equity, only did so
if they tried to sell.
If you couple that demand with emerging markets coming
out of the
recession and the increased desire from investors to create more passive income through solid investments, it is really no surprise why so many investors are moving into the multi-family space to bolster their rental portfolios.