It's important academically, but the most important point is temperatures coming
out of the ice age increased very slowly.
Not exact matches
To put things in perspective, the global temperature shift between the last
Ice Age and now is believed to be 10 °F; and an estimated 11 °F
increase in world temperatures was sufficient to wipe
out 95 %
of species at the end
of the Permian Period 250 million years ago.
The next 6 decades to 1949 are all warming as temperatures climb
out of the Little
Ice Age, (when the Thames froze) from about 9.1 to 9.6 degrees C. For the last 6 decades, to 2009, we are looking for the impact (or non-impact)
of exponentially
increasing CO2.
The next 6 decades to 1949 are all warming as temperatures climb
out of the Little
Ice Age, from about 9.1 to 9.6 degrees C. For the last 6 decades, to 2009, we are looking for the impact (or non-impact)
of exponentially
increasing CO2.
The science tells us that
increased solar insolation brought the Earth
out of the little
ice age, but solar insolation has declined over the last half century — just as human forcing took over.
The natural variation that has led us
out of the Little
Ice Age has a bit
of frosting on the cake by land use; and, part
of that land use has resulted in a change in vegetation and soil CO2 loss so that we see a rise in CO2 and the CO2 continues to rise without a temperature accompaniment (piano player went to take a leak), as the land use has all but gobbled up most
of the arable land North
of 30N and we are starting to see low till farming and some soil conservation just beginning when the soil will again take up the CO2, and the GMO's will
increase yields, then CO2 will start coming down on its own and we can go to bed listening to Ave Maria to address another global crisis to get the populous all scared begging governments to tell us much ado about... nothing.
This also explains why, as you point
out, CO2 levels have in the past been high during an
ice age (although never at 5000ppm — the late - Ordovician would have been a contender but this recent paper — ttp: / / geology.gsapubs.org/content/37/10/951.abstract — demonstrates that CO2 consumption
increased during the mid-Ordovician as a result
of continental weathering, however levels were held up by volcanic outgassing.
The inconvenient
ice / air
age adjustment that is necessary in order to align that false historic record with the recent MLO estimates is another aspect
of the attempts to reconstruct past atmospheric CO2 content which warrants careful independent scrutiny, along with the dubious statistical manipulations that are carried
out in order to produce the MLO estimates
of recent CO2
increase.
If the rise in CO2 continues unchecked, warming
of the same magnitude as the
increase out of the
ice age can be expected by the end
of this century or soon after.
Idso's calculations for climate sensitivity are greatly at odds with the paleoclimate data; if sensitivity were as small as he proposes, the Milankovic changes in solar forcing wouldn't be enough to kickstart the climb
out of an
ice age, but this still presupposes AGW, that CO2 emissions will
increase the temperature by some amount.