The additional 4 % that equity investors earned
over bond investors did not come free, but represented payment for the increased risk that equity investing entails.
Not exact matches
«If they do target aggressively the 2 percent inflation target, and undertake a significant amount of QE, that may have an impact on underlying JGB (Japanese government
bond) yields as
investors become concerned
over Japan's debt,» he said.
Wall Street has found a semblance of stability after a roller - coaster week, but some
investors are convinced the rockiness in stocks and
bonds isn't quite
over for one main reason: The markets have yet to fully come to terms with how aggressively the Federal Reserve may respond to surprising economic strength.
One way to truly grow your income is to buy more annuities, in which the
investor has to pay you annual sums, as well as
bonds that will also pay out
over time.
For, with long - term taxable
bonds yielding 5 percent and long - term tax - exempt
bonds 3 percent, a business operation that could utilize equity capital at 10 percent clearly was worth some premium to
investors over the equity capital employed.
The idea that small companies should be able to sell small amounts of stocks and
bonds to
investors — which they've been prohibited from doing since the Depression — has exploded
over the past few years.
Investors in Puerto Rico's
bonds argued in court Tuesday
over which group has a claim on sales - tax revenue that could be used to recoup their money.
Sovereign
bonds will still prove popular for
investors over the next two years and a sharp sell - off in fixed income will fail to materialize, an economist at UBS told CNBC Thursday.
We believe the treatment of
bond investors by Detroit and Stockton represents the bleeding edge of a trend that accords a higher priority to some public expenditures
over others.
Investor concerns
over inflation was reflected in Lipper funds data on Thursday, which showed U.S. - based inflation - protected
bond funds attracted $ 859 million
over the weekly period, the largest inflows since November 2016.
The two largest funds in the segment — the $ 15 billion iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate
Bond ETF (HYG) and the $ 9 billion SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield
Bond ETF (JNK)-- have faced sizable asset outflows as
investors fret
over high valuations and rising interest rates.
Many
bond investors have learned the hard way
over the past few years that predicting the direction of interest rates can be extremely difficult.
But
over longer time frames
bond investors also have to be aware of inflation risk.
What we have really seen
over the past several years, in terms of the appreciation of markets and the decline of interest rates based on what the Fed has been doing, is a result which has eliminated the possibility of
investors in
bonds and stocks to earn an adequate return relative to their expected liabilities.
A quick glance at the graph suggests that the wealth transfer from
bond to stock
investors has declined
over the last 50 years and may now represent a much more modest premium for long - term stock
investors.
Over the last twenty years,
investors have witnessed a steady decline in the interest rate on investment grade
bonds, GICs and term deposits.
And even if the indicator was valid (counterfactually), the article asks readers to accept as given that earnings are properly reported here, that they will grow by nearly 50 %
over the coming year, and that
investors are willing to key the long - term return they require from stocks to the yield on 10 - year
bonds, which has been abnormally depressed in a flight to safety.
These
investors may have to accept lower long - term returns, as many
bonds — especially high - quality issues — generally don't offer returns as high as stocks
over the long term.
A recent survey of institutional
investors in Australia found that exposure to credit risk had increased in the first half of 1999 and that about half of the respondents intended to take on additional credit risk in their
bond portfolios
over the remainder of 1999.
To build a diversified portfolio, an
investor generally would select a mix of global stocks and
bonds based on his or her individual goals, risk tolerance and investment timeline.2 The chart below highlights how those broad asset classes have moved in different directions
over the past 20 years.
I realize many
bond investors are willing and anxious to endure losses
over a period of 4 years to get back to even... but that's not me.
Muni
bonds» favorable tax exemption was created a little
over 100 years ago to attract
investors of all stripes, not just those at the very top of the socioeconomic ladder, to help boost infrastructure spending.
What about the argument that the equity - risk premium (the premium that
investors demand
over risk - free assets such as government
bonds) has fallen close to zero because of greater economic stability?
If five years from now the yield simply returned to its level of a decade ago (and just in case you think I'm cherry picking,
over the past 25 years it has averaged a 7.5 % yield and at the low in 1981 was twice that),
bond investors would suffer a meaningful loss of capital.
«Investment Advice and Individual
Investor Portfolio Performance», based on
over 600,000 monthly portfolio returns (encompassing individual equities, funds,
bonds and derivatives) for 16,053
investors, finds that:
In short,
investors have gained about a 5 % annualized excess return
over the long term by investing in stocks rather than bills or
bonds.
It's little wonder the world's greatest
investors continue to favour quality businesses
over bonds.
Pacific Investment Management Co., which runs the world's biggest
bond fund, is forecasting that advanced economies will stall
over the next year as Europe slides into a recession, underscoring mounting
investor concern about the global economic outlook.
It's defined as the weighted average of the payments an
investor will receive
over time, discounted to the
bond's present value.
The Zweig
bond model kept
investors invested in long - duration
bond ETFs
over that challenging period, when the majority of analysts were calling for higher rates.
However, with yields from treasury
bonds now at a little
over 1.5 %, many
investors are looking for other ways to create income in retirement.
European
bond markets initially welcomed the deal made at the July summit, although the narrowing of spreads for peripheral
bonds over German Bunds was relatively muted, perhaps signaling a measure of skepticism among
investors about the ability of the eurozone to survive in the absence of a formal mechanism that ensures the sharing of liabilities among member states.
The term premium is the extra compensations
investors require for the risk of holding a long - term treasury
bond versus a sequence of short - term treasury bills
over the same period.
At present,
investors have no reasonable incentive at all to «lock in» the prospective returns implied by current prices of stocks or long - term
bonds (though we suspect that 10 - year Treasuries may benefit
over a short horizon due to continued economic risks and still - unresolved debt concerns in Europe, which has already entered an economic downturn).
While fixed income has changed
over the years,
investors largely have the same goals within their
bond portfolios — stability, income and diversification.
Wilson recommends
investors emphasize international
over domestic equities and upgrade their
bond portfolios, avoiding high yield.
By contrast, an
investor who put $ 100,000 into a portfolio comprised of 60 % stocks and 40 %
bonds and left it alone would now have $ 214,080, based on the total returns of the S&P 500 and the Barclays
bond index,
over the same period.
By buying and holding
bonds until maturity,
investors can also buy
bonds with coupon payments and maturities that meet specific income needs, as they know exactly how much they are going to receive
over the life of the
bond.
With the equity portion likely to grow
over time and the
bond portion comparatively static, this means such
investors become much more exposed to equities as they get older.
The amount of extra yield
over Treasuries provided by high yield
bonds recently was 3.22 %, which is the lowest it has been in 10 years and makes some
investors cautious.
If
investors think the economy will be bullish
over the next decade, they will require a higher yield to keep their money tied up in
bonds.
Uncertainty
over the direction the Federal Reserve might take on interest rates is also influencing
investors to add to their short - term municipal
bond exposure.
To this end, iShares Canada has seen the dollar amount of custom creations — a process by which institutional
investors convert their individual
bond holdings into units of ETFs — double in the past year to
over $ 1 billion through June, according to BlackRock data.
As rates have risen,
investors have, once again, started asking the perennial question: Is the
bond bull market
over and are rates normalizing?
It's a big part of why
investors who aren't afraid of a little risk choose stocks
over bonds.
With the current uncertainty
over long - term tax rates as well,
investors are keen on owning municipal
bonds that will provide a tax - shelter for those higher tiers as well.
Not so popular last month was the iShares 20 + Year Treasury
Bond ETF (TLT), which led outflows with net redemptions of $ 1.34 billion, as
investors trim exposure to long - dated
bonds ahead of what could be another rate hike before the year is
over.
Stocks drove up, then pulled back, as
investors puzzled
over the minutes and
bond yields climbed on the prospect of a faster pace of rate hikes.
We know that
over the past four years, many a retail
investor has shunned stock investment in deference to purchasing
bonds.
The question for any
investor given today's high stock multiples AND low
bond yields globally is how much this matters not only
over an intermediate time frame, but
over a period potentially