Sentences with phrase «over business cycles»

The disappointing trends of the Great Recession and its aftermath come on the heels of the weak labor market from 2000 - 2007, during which the median income of non-elderly households fell significantly from $ 68,941 to $ 66,575, the first time in the post-war period that incomes failed to grow over a business cycle.

Such approaches could be designed to be revenue - neutral over the business cycle; they also could avoid past debates over fiscal stimulus by separating decisions on countercyclical policy from longer - run decisions about the appropriate role of the government and tax system.

Since the early 1980s, the yield curve trends between 3.40 percentage points and -0.52 percentage points over the business cycle.

In a move that is controversial with some Keynesian economists, Labour is committed to «a fiscal policy framework that broadly states that the Government should borrow for investment (the capital account) and that over the business cycle Government day - to - day spending (the Government's current account) should be in balance».

The Effects of Extended Unemployment Insurance Over the Business Cycle: Evidence from Regression Discontinuity Estimates over Twenty Years ∗

Further, G&D point out that the past earnings record of a corporation usually is the best tool for estimating earnings for the years just ahead over a business cycle or growth phase.

Cycle Hit Rate Calculates the frequency of a sector outperforming the broader equity market over each business cycle phase since 1962.

Again, the reason that the (Investment — Foreign Savings) term adds little variation to profits over the business cycle is that variations in gross domestic investment as a share of GDP are tightly and inversely correlated with variations in the current account deficit (a chart is presented in Taking Distortion at Face Value).

And the second thing to keep in mind about the time horizon is that in general businesses tend to perform over a business cycle, and which I think typically is somewhere between at least three years to seven years.

The Board of Directors» view is that the ordinary dividend should amount to 50 % of the net profit calculated over a business cycle.

Many economists suspect that downward nominal wage rigidities in ongoing labor contracts are an important source of employment fluctuations over the business cycle but there is little direct empirical evidence on this conjecture.

These shares tend to vary over the business cycle.

Not exact matches

Alan Bishop has spent 40 years building insurance broker EBM into a national player and worked through many business cycles over that time, but arguably none as tough as the current conditions in Western Australia.

My friend Jeff Saut at Raymond James noted that there are people who have been in this business over eight years and have never experienced a Fed rate hiking cycle.

In 1997, Michele Ferrero turned the business over to his sons, Pietro (who died in a cycling accident in 2011) and Giovanni.

The former VP of business development at high - end gym chain Equinox took over as CEO of SoulCycle, the sizzling hot cult cycling chain, in June.

The ultimate goal of the company is to own and operate multiple franchise locations over the next 5 - 7 years, and sell the locations at the appropriate stage of its business life cycle.

«Our 2017 Hype Cycle reveals three distinct technology trends that profoundly create new experiences with unrivaled intelligence, and offer platforms that propel organizations to connect with new business ecosystems in order to become competitive over the next five to 10 years.»

Yet, with key economies in different stages of the business cycle, «the risk of the global economy, or any of its major constituents, running too hot over the next 12 months is contained,» says Elga Bartsch, Co-Head of Global Economics.

Research at the Bank and elsewhere suggests that, while oil and metals prices have historically moved with the business cycle in the advanced world, this relationship has broken down over the past decade.

That is, the intent is that over the course of the business cycle, the bulk of the distribution of year - ended inflation outcomes should lie between 2 and 3 per cent, not that the annualised average inflation rate from the start of the business cycle to the end should necessarily lie between 2 and 3.

The inflation target in Australia is defined on average over the [business] cycle, which, if taken literally, suggests that it may be interpreted as a price - level, rather than an inflation - rate, target.

Our Investment Strategy Report published on March 19 compared equity and bond yields over multiple business cycles and found that the 10 - year Treasury yield might have to sustain levels exceeding 3.5 % (far above what we believe is likely this year) before compelling a year - end 2018 S&P 500 Index target range below our current year - end target of 2800 - 2900.2

Likewise, the frightening or exuberant features of any given business cycle typically have little effect on the very, very long - term stream of cash flows that stocks actually deliver over time.

According to a Harvard Business Review study, women in emerging markets reinvest 90 % of every dollar earned into «human resources» — their families» education, health and nutrition — compared to only 30 to 40 % of every dollar earned by men.2 In other words, Kiva's loans have helped countless families and communities in over 80 countries escape a vicious cycle of poverty.

Below is a chart showing year - on - year TMS - 2 growth rates over the past three, or rather 2.5 business cycles (the current cycle is only half cycle, as the bust is still to come).

This approach allows a role for monetary policy in dampening the fluctuations in output over the course of the business cycle.

Determining the peak federal funds rate over the cycle is the key to estimating the level of mortgage rates at the end of the current business cycle.

The industrial sector, together with construction, accounts for the bulk of the variation in national output over the course of the business cycle.

The Business Cycle is recurring and fluctuating levels of economic activity that an economy experiences over a long period of time.

The sales cycle on these business leads are typically long and require multiple sales calls over several weeks and months.

Rather, I reached this conclusion: unless we are headed for a substantial decline in the price per barrel of oil, those 4 - 6 % dividends from Conoco, BP, and Shell are a great way to generate substantial income over the course of coming business cycles based on current prices.

The chart below is over 120 years of S&P P / E multiple history using Robert Shiller's CAPE (cyclically - adjusted P / E ratio — adjusted for total business cycles as opposed to conventional P / E's focusing on one year's data).

This has now been negative since May, portraying a pace of economic activity that is well below potential and therefore continues to be consistent with both (a) a continuing ultimately deflationary economic Supercycle Bear Market Period, or Winter, and (b) our working model for after - shock, double double - dip business cycle contractions over the next four years.

The S&P 500 was up over 300 points from the February and March lows largely in anticipation of «earnings season» but in the past two weeks, both the S&P and the NASDAQ have been hobbled by a «sell the news» behavioral quirk, which, for me, is a sure - fire signal that bigger investors are viewing Q1 / 2018 as the peak for the business cycle.

«True managers need to be tested in multiple business cycles to prove their compound annual return is consistent over long periods of time» Thomas Kahn

I wouldn't waste much ink trying to argue this is a fantastic business, but because of strong market share, over a cycle NOV has earned a decent return on capital.

This fact usually prevents steel companies from creating inflation - adjusted wealth for shareholders over the course of the business cycle.

Changes in monetary policy might not do much to raise the economy's «long - term» growth potential, but they certainly affect output and employment over the course of the business cycle.

I would note that while «the poor will always be with you», since we acknowledge that the number of people «caught in the bear trap» goes up and down over time with the business cycle, and human nature is largely consistent in aggregate, that human nature alone can not explain why people end up in poverty.

For over 40 years, GVM has advised clients in all stages of the business cycle: formation, debt and equity financing, vineyard and winery acquisitions, grape purchase agreements, vineyard leases, distribution and brokerage agreements, sales and marketing agreements, mergers and acquisitions and troubled debt restructures.

His establishing the position that Labour would not run a budget deficit over the course of the business cycle on current expenditure, but would borrow for investment, was precisely the correct position.

They fought over whether governments should intervene in markets; both were influenced by the impact of WW1 and had studied the boom and bust of the business cycle.

But with the onset of the Great Recession in December 2007, median household income fell over the next five years from a business cycle high of $ 57,357 to $ 52,605.

Building on its BP Solar business — which BP expects to hit revenues of $ 1 billion in 2008 — BP Alternative Energy manages an investment program in solar, wind, hydrogen and combined cycle gas turbine power generation, which the company predicts could amount to $ 8 billion over the next 10 years.

Andy is a business owner coach and with over 10 years» hands on experience working with countless businesses in different stages of their life cycle as a coach, accountant, co-founder and investor, Andy has always loved business.

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The Firm seeks to invest in high - quality businesses at low valuations, with the goal of generating outperformance over a full market cycle while managing the level of risk.

The Business cycle fund seems to be turning quite in favour of the fund house — expense ratio more than doubled over the year.