A 60 year cycle will not raise temperatures
over a full cycle.
As shown in the previous table, markets do not always provide a satisfactory return
over a full cycle.
I don't particularly like these business models, as they tend to produce mediocre returns on capital
over the full cycle, but occasionally they do offer opportunities to buy them well below their net asset values.
Though many managers will say that the benchmark reflects their circle of competence, and they do well within those bounds, my view is that it is better to loosen the constraints on managers with good investment processes, and simply tell them that you are looking for good returns
over a full cycle.
Echoing her suggestion, fund managers also often ask to be judged «
over full cycle» when comparing performance against their peers.
The rankings are based on risk adjusted return, specifically Martin ratio,
over each full cycle.
I continue to act as a nervous bull in this environment, making money where I can, and realizing that
over a full cycle, my risk control disciplines will protect me in relative, but not absolute terms.
The Balanced Asset Class Index which included large caps, small caps, value stocks and bonds fared much better than the all - stock options and outperformed the other options
over the full cycle 4 out of 5 times.
Over the full cycle, the market recognizes reasonably - valued stocks that throw off a reliable stream of cash to shareholders (especially those that exhibit enough investor sponsorship so that future cash flows aren't called into question on the basis of others» information).
The only true test of a money manager's ability is if he can obtain above - average results
over a full cycle that includes both bull and bear markets.
Not exact matches
These risks and uncertainties include: Gilead's ability to achieve its anticipated
full year 2018 financial results; Gilead's ability to sustain growth in revenues for its antiviral and other programs; the risk that private and public payers may be reluctant to provide, or continue to provide, coverage or reimbursement for new products, including Vosevi, Yescarta, Epclusa, Harvoni, Genvoya, Odefsey, Descovy, Biktarvy and Vemlidy ®; austerity measures in European countries that may increase the amount of discount required on Gilead's products; an increase in discounts, chargebacks and rebates due to ongoing contracts and future negotiations with commercial and government payers; a larger than anticipated shift in payer mix to more highly discounted payer segments and geographic regions and decreases in treatment duration; availability of funding for state AIDS Drug Assistance Programs (ADAPs); continued fluctuations in ADAP purchases driven by federal and state grant
cycles which may not mirror patient demand and may cause fluctuations in Gilead's earnings; market share and price erosion caused by the introduction of generic versions of Viread and Truvada, an uncertain global macroeconomic environment; and potential amendments to the Affordable Care Act or other government action that could have the effect of lowering prices or reducing the number of insured patients; the possibility of unfavorable results from clinical trials involving investigational compounds; Gilead's ability to initiate clinical trials in its currently anticipated timeframes; the levels of inventory held by wholesalers and retailers which may cause fluctuations in Gilead's earnings; Kite's ability to develop and commercialize cell therapies utilizing the zinc finger nuclease technology platform and realize the benefits of the Sangamo partnership; Gilead's ability to submit new drug applications for new product candidates in the timelines currently anticipated; Gilead's ability to receive regulatory approvals in a timely manner or at all, for new and current products, including Biktarvy; Gilead's ability to successfully commercialize its products, including Biktarvy; the risk that physicians and patients may not see advantages of these products
over other therapies and may therefore be reluctant to prescribe the products; Gilead's ability to successfully develop its hematology / oncology and inflammation / respiratory programs; safety and efficacy data from clinical studies may not warrant further development of Gilead's product candidates, including GS - 9620 and Yescarta in combination with Pfizer's utomilumab; Gilead's ability to pay dividends or complete its share repurchase program due to changes in its stock price, corporate or other market conditions; fluctuations in the foreign exchange rate of the U.S. dollar that may cause an unfavorable foreign currency exchange impact on Gilead's future revenues and pre-tax earnings; and other risks identified from time to time in Gilead's reports filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the SEC).
We'll confidently pursue our investment discipline in any event, in the
full expectation that far better conditions will emerge to embrace market exposure
over the completion of this
cycle, as they always have in market
cycles across history.
Strategic Growth is a risk - managed growth fund that is intended to accept exposure to U.S. stocks
over the
full market
cycle, but with smaller periodic losses than a passive buy - and - hold approach.
If current levels were to turn out, in hindsight, to be the final lows of this decline, I suspect that the overall return
over the next
cycle (by the time we do observe a
full 20 % loss) will be as tame as we've seen since the bull market started in 2003.
Historically - reliable valuation measures are remarkably useful in projecting long - term and
full -
cycle market outcomes, but the behavior of the market
over shorter segments of the market
cycle is driven by the psychological inclination of investors toward speculation or risk - aversion.
The only alternative to this view is to imagine that the collapses that followed valuation extremes like 1929, 1973, 2000, and 2007 somehow emerged entirely out of the blue, ignoring the fact that valuations accurately projected likely
full -
cycle losses, and remained tightly correlated with total returns
over the subsequent 10 - 12 year horizons.
But understand that even when valuations don't «work»
over shorter segments of the market
cycle, the longer - term and
full -
cycle outcomes of hypervaluation are predictably brutal.
Over the long - term, we expect our relative performance to be an increment over-and-above the absolute performance of the markets we invest in (though this is certainly not true over periods shorter than a full market cyc
Over the long - term, we expect our relative performance to be an increment
over-and-above the absolute performance of the markets we invest in (though this is certainly not true over periods shorter than a full market cyc
over-and-above the absolute performance of the markets we invest in (though this is certainly not true
over periods shorter than a full market cyc
over periods shorter than a
full market
cycle).
If you combine the two, it happens that the average
full market
cycle is 5 years in duration, and generates an average total return of about 10.9 %
over the entire
cycle.
While that's not generally true
over the short - term for investment management, it still tends to be true
over the
full market
cycle.
At MFS ®, we believe a flexible, adaptable approach that includes exposure to a wide range of bond sectors is one key to generating attractive risk - adjusted returns and managing risk
over full market
cycles.
While past returns do not ensure future results, our objective is to substantially outperform a buy - and - hold approach
over the
full market
cycle, with smaller periodic losses, on average.
SYG is an active fund that uses fundamental and quantitative models to screen for growth - oriented stocks, with the aim of beating the Russell 1000 Growth Index
over a
full market
cycle.
While long - term and
full -
cycle market outcomes are tightly determined by market valuations, the effect of valuations on outcomes
over shorter segments of the market
cycle depends on the psychological preference of investors toward speculation or risk aversion.
We don't know whether the current instance will have consequences similar to the 1929, 1972, 1987, 2000 and 2007 ones, but suffice it to say that these conditions were more notable for their outcomes
over the completion of the
full market
cycle than they were for their immediate outcomes.
However,
over a
full market
cycle, each of the factors mentioned above has proven to be additive to portfolio returns.
While most active managers will state that their objective is to outperform
over a
full market
cycle, they need to be more emphatic with asset owners up front about how much time that really entails and why they need it, especially if they state they have a long - term philosophy.
If a portfolio loads market risk when the likely return / risk profile is favorable, and hedges market risk when the likely return / risk profile is unfavorable, it's possible to achieve a very satisfactory return / risk profile
over the
full market
cycle without ever making a specific short - term forecast.
Getting out of this trap starts with the clarity I've outlined — clarity around
full market
cycles, around investor time tolerance and around the need to evaluate performance
over longer time periods.
The Fund will attempt to produce a total return in excess of the return of the S&P 500 Index, and secondarily, the Russell 1000 Value Index
over a
full market
cycle.
The central message of our discipline is that valuations are enormously informative about prospects for long - term and
full -
cycle returns, but that outcomes
over shorter segments of the market
cycle are driven by changes in the psychological preferences of investors toward speculation or risk - aversion.
Full aneuploidy is unusual under age 30, but afflicts a third of
cycles over age 40.
This occurs successively
over multiple electoral
cycles until all diversity and subtlety of opinion collapses into two parties - each
full of sweeping useless generalisations and ideological cant.
This time frame allowed us to observe
over almost a
full seasonal
cycle: we watched Saturn's and Titan's southern hemispheres go from summer to winter and their northern hemispheres go from winter to summer.
We recently extended this record to approximately 120,000 years BP in order to track vegetation change
over a
full glacial
cycle at millennial to orbital timescales.
Over the years, yoga has taught me that I'm unequivocally responsible for taking care of my physical and mental health because if I don't take
full responsibility for my behavior, I'll continue to wander around in a state of pain and anger and contribute to the very
cycle I'm trying to break.
One of the film's so - called cute moments comes when Adam brings
over cupcakes to Emma and her roomies, who are all on the same menstrual
cycle, along with a «Period Mix», a CD
full of songs like «Red Red Wine» and «Sunday Bloody Sunday».
A lack of focus on the marginalized has left the poorest five times less likely to complete a
full cycle of primary education than the richest and
over a third of out of school children living in conflict affected zones.
Classroom projects and lesson plans can be developed
over a three - to six - week
cycle or in one
full - day session.
On a
full charge, the battery is claimed to provide the e-tron quattro concept with a range of
over 311 miles based on the criteria used in the New European Driving
Cycle (NEDC) test procedure.
The real test of the Equinox will be how it drives and feels
over a
full test
cycle.
The project aims to deliver
full hybrid equivalent fuel economy and performance with less than 70 g / km CO2 emissions as measured
over the European Drive
Cycle, but at a significantly lower cost.
Spending $ 35,000 on a 2017 Honda Pilot, for example, will likely cost you measurably less
over a
full buy - own - sell ownership
cycle than if you'd spent $ 35,000 on most any of its competitors.
Unusually, Kobo gives you
full control
over the refresh
cycle.
The difference between a charge card and a credit card is that while credit cards allow you to carry a balance and pay it
over time, charge cards require
full payment at the end of every billing
cycle once a statement has been issued.
For those casting about for tummy - calming options, we screened for funds that had been around for a
full market
cycle, then looked at funds which have the shortest recovery times and, separately, the lowest Ulcer Indexes
over the current market
cycle.
Driehaus Turnaround Opportunities Fund will seek to maximize capital appreciation, while minimizing the risk of permanent capital impairment,
over full - economic
cycles..
Over the
full market
cycle, ARTQX modestly leads its peer group in performance (40 bps / year) with subdued volatility.
Their goal is «positive total returns
over a
full market
cycle.»
Over the course of a
full market
cycle however, valuations are ultimately what matter.