With the political stalemate
over government debt in the United States, many risk currencies have suffered.
Our measure of the U.S. equity risk premium — one gauge of equities» expected return
over government debt — has fallen since the global financial crisis.
How are these giveaways less inflationary than for central banks to directly finance budget deficits and roll
over government debts?
Not exact matches
Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those reflected in such forward - looking statements and that should be considered in evaluating our outlook include, but are not limited to, the following: 1) our ability to continue to grow our business and execute our growth strategy, including the timing, execution, and profitability of new and maturing programs; 2) our ability to perform our obligations under our new and maturing commercial, business aircraft, and military development programs, and the related recurring production; 3) our ability to accurately estimate and manage performance, cost, and revenue under our contracts, including our ability to achieve certain cost reductions with respect to the B787 program; 4) margin pressures and the potential for additional forward losses on new and maturing programs; 5) our ability to accommodate, and the cost of accommodating, announced increases in the build rates of certain aircraft; 6) the effect on aircraft demand and build rates of changing customer preferences for business aircraft, including the effect of global economic conditions on the business aircraft market and expanding conflicts or political unrest in the Middle East or Asia; 7) customer cancellations or deferrals as a result of global economic uncertainty or otherwise; 8) the effect of economic conditions in the industries and markets in which we operate in the U.S. and globally and any changes therein, including fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates; 9) the success and timely execution of key milestones such as the receipt of necessary regulatory approvals, including our ability to obtain in a timely fashion any required regulatory or other third party approvals for the consummation of our announced acquisition of Asco, and customer adherence to their announced schedules; 10) our ability to successfully negotiate, or re-negotiate, future pricing under our supply agreements with Boeing and our other customers; 11) our ability to enter into profitable supply arrangements with additional customers; 12) the ability of all parties to satisfy their performance requirements under existing supply contracts with our two major customers, Boeing and Airbus, and other customers, and the risk of nonpayment by such customers; 13) any adverse impact on Boeing's and Airbus» production of aircraft resulting from cancellations, deferrals, or reduced orders by their customers or from labor disputes, domestic or international hostilities, or acts of terrorism; 14) any adverse impact on the demand for air travel or our operations from the outbreak of diseases or epidemic or pandemic outbreaks; 15) our ability to avoid or recover from cyber-based or other security attacks, information technology failures, or other disruptions; 16) returns on pension plan assets and the impact of future discount rate changes on pension obligations; 17) our ability to borrow additional funds or refinance
debt, including our ability to obtain the
debt to finance the purchase price for our announced acquisition of Asco on favorable terms or at all; 18) competition from commercial aerospace original equipment manufacturers and other aerostructures suppliers; 19) the effect of governmental laws, such as U.S. export control laws and U.S. and foreign anti-bribery laws such as the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act and the United Kingdom Bribery Act, and environmental laws and agency regulations, both in the U.S. and abroad; 20) the effect of changes in tax law, such as the effect of The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (the «TCJA») that was enacted on December 22, 2017, and changes to the interpretations of or guidance related thereto, and the Company's ability to accurately calculate and estimate the effect of such changes; 21) any reduction in our credit ratings; 22) our dependence on our suppliers, as well as the cost and availability of raw materials and purchased components; 23) our ability to recruit and retain a critical mass of highly - skilled employees and our relationships with the unions representing many of our employees; 24) spending by the U.S. and other
governments on defense; 25) the possibility that our cash flows and our credit facility may not be adequate for our additional capital needs or for payment of interest on, and principal of, our indebtedness; 26) our exposure under our revolving credit facility to higher interest payments should interest rates increase substantially; 27) the effectiveness of any interest rate hedging programs; 28) the effectiveness of our internal control
over financial reporting; 29) the outcome or impact of ongoing or future litigation, claims, and regulatory actions; 30) exposure to potential product liability and warranty claims; 31) our ability to effectively assess, manage and integrate acquisitions that we pursue, including our ability to successfully integrate the Asco business and generate synergies and other cost savings; 32) our ability to consummate our announced acquisition of Asco in a timely matter while avoiding any unexpected costs, charges, expenses, adverse changes to business relationships and other business disruptions for ourselves and Asco as a result of the acquisition; 33) our ability to continue selling certain receivables through our supplier financing program; 34) the risks of doing business internationally, including fluctuations in foreign current exchange rates, impositions of tariffs or embargoes, compliance with foreign laws, and domestic and foreign
government policies; and 35) our ability to complete the proposed accelerated stock repurchase plan, among other things.
Government debt and deficits are going to explode
over the next 30 years if current laws remain in place.
«If they do target aggressively the 2 percent inflation target, and undertake a significant amount of QE, that may have an impact on underlying JGB (Japanese
government bond) yields as investors become concerned
over Japan's
debt,» he said.
U.S.
government debt yields rose Monday amid growing optimism
over tax reform from Washington and strong economic data.
Even though our activities are likely to result in a lower national
debt over the long term, I sometimes hear the complaint that the Federal Reserve is enabling bad fiscal policy by keeping interest rates very low and thereby making it cheaper for the federal
government to borrow.
U.S.
government debt prices rose on Wednesday on concerns
over U.S. President Trump involvement in an FBI investigation.
That is a question no - one seems to be asking in the debate
over solar - power subsidies, or the bigger question of who pays for the state
government's
debt binge.
There were a few dissents, but a majority of the Monetary Policy Committee also opted to create # 60 billion (about $ 100 billion) to buy
government bonds
over the next six months and # 10 billion to purchase corporate
debt over 18 months.
Manley contends the explosion in sovereign
debt caused by all the stimulus spending
over the past two years is the biggest issue facing both the Canadian
government and the world's other major economies.
The
Government Accountability Office reportedthat
over $ 171 million in student loan
debt was collected on defaults in 2015.
Big - business leaders are fed up with the tactics of conservative Republicans, who instigated a partial closure of the Federal
government and engaged in brinksmanship
over the
debt ceiling in a failed effort to stop the implementation of the Affordable Care Act.
That's
over 100 % of projected GDP, well into the danger zone where investors demand higher rates to buy
government debt.
Instead, he laments, the
government will order creditors to roll
over debt and this problem will persist.
«I'm really concerned that we're going to have a real collapse in Venezuela in oil production
over the course of the next year,» which would in turn affect the
government's ability to pay its
debt, Rodriguez — who was head of the Venezuelan Congressional Budget Office from 2000 to 2004 — said at the AS / COA event.
Greece and its European creditors are at an impasse
over measures that the Syriza - led
government should legislate in order to be granted some
debt relief.
China may witness its first local
government bond defaults, although the timing was uncertain, Fitch Ratings said in a press release issued on Sunday, amid persistent concerns
over high
debt levels in the world second largest economy.
Local
governments were identified as a major risk to China's financial stability, partly due to their lending from the «shadow banking» sector and
debt accumulated
over the past years to upgrade infrastructure across the country.
China is confident of fending off systemic
debt risks as it strengthens control
over local
government debt, Finance Minister Xiao Jie said.
As quid pro quo for lifting the U.S.
government's
debt ceiling last year, Republicans in Congress demanded $ 1.2 trillion worth of budget cuts
over the next decade to drag Washington back into solvency.
Fatigued by years of austerity and swayed by promises of
debt relief, Icelandic voters dumped the Social Democrats from power on Saturday, returning a center - right
government that ruled
over its financial collapse five years ago.
Among other events, there's a threat of more skirmishes
over the
debt ceiling and another
government shutdown.
«We have changed our view of the difficulties in bridging the gulf between the political parties
over fiscal policy, which makes us pessimistic about the capacity of Congress and the Administration to be able to leverage their agreement this week into a broader fiscal consolidation plan that stabilizes the
government's
debt dynamics any time soon.»
Last week, I wrote that the upcoming Kabuki theatre in Congress,
over a possible
government shutdown and the
debt ceiling, might convince the Federal Reserve to postpone the QE tapering past its next rate - setting meeting in mid-September.
The Tea Party gets put on ice: The Republicans have just had a humiliating year, full of self - inflicted wounds and infighting
over the
government shutdown and
debt ceiling impasse.
The list of individuals and organizations losing sleep
over household
debt — the
government, bond - rating agencies, senior bank executives, economists — is long and growing.
lawsuit against the
government of Argentina
over how that country handled restructuring of its
debt.
This is because the province has accumulated a large public
debt that given the prospects for an economic slowdown and / or rising interest rates will potentially increase fiscal pressure via
debt service costs which in 2016 - 17 totaled $ 11.7 billion or just
over 8 percent of total
government spending.
The Republican - led Congress has struggled immensely
over the past eight months, and the party now faces further division as they return and urgently need to raise the
debt ceiling to avoid a
government shutdown, pass an aid package for Hurricane Harvey — some of which is expected to be tied to the raise of the
debt ceiling — and now reach a decision on DACA.
It also appears that the ECB will concentrate on reducing its purchases of
government (rather than corporate) bonds, but here issuance is increasing, with the net amount of eurozone
government debt set to expand in 2018, in contrast to the contraction seen
over the previous 18 months.
On Sept. 5 of this year, the Dow dropped 234 points amid a series of potentially volatile political events, including the debate
over raising the
debt ceiling, a possible
government shutdown, and threats from Trump
over trade policy with China.
Meanwhile, more colleges are facing embarrassing
government and media scrutiny
over their students» low graduation rates and high
debt loads.
The tense negotiations
over Greece's
debt come as the Greek
government struggles to find a consensus to pass the budget reforms demanded by its so - called troika of lenders — the European Central Bank, European Union and International Monetary Fund — in exchange for releasing the next installment of bailout money, a 30 billion euro ($ 38.3 billion) payout scheduled to be released in March.
The banks turn
over their bad loans to the
government in exchange for
government debt.
The rouble has weakened some 30 percent versus the dollar this year, as Western sanctions
over the Ukraine crisis have made it harder for banks and companies to refinance foreign currency
debts and as tumbling oil prices have hurt
government revenue.
Second, the deficits posted
over the 2008 - 09 to 2015 - 16 period will add about $ 200 billion to the federal
government's
debt, nearly doubling the reduction recorded
over the 1997 - 98 to 2007 - 08 period ($ 104.7 billion).
A collection agency, whether through the US
government or private lender, won't usually settle a defaulted student loan
debt if it's less than the amount that the lender is likely to receive
over the life of the original loan — so negotiation is essential during settlement talks.
Second, the
debt burden of the
government will continue to decline
over the coming decade, barring any unforeseen economic disruptions.
Ryan Avent pointed out that even if we enacted Trump's massive tax cuts and spending increaes, adding $ 34 trillion in new
debt over the next two decades, our ratio of
debt to GDP two decades from now would still be 30 percentage points less than Japan's
government debt ratio is right now... and the market is still buying their negative interest rate long term
debt...
The turnaround is in part due to policy initiatives such as
debt - for - equity swaps that helped the largest banks deal with rising
debt loads, and a widespread crackdown by the
government on shadow banking that has given them an edge
over smaller peers.
Foreign visitors to the Reserve Bank
over the years have tended to raise questions about household
debt much more frequently than they have raised questions about
government debt.
What is most important to recognize about successful
government financial policy is that control of the money supply historically has been accompanied by control
over the economy's
debt overhead, including the ability to write off
debts that could not be paid.
As long as this
government debt is rolled
over continuously at non-repressed interest rates, which will be low as nominal GDP growth drops, China can rebalance the economy without a collapse in growth.
Professor Scarthe also recommends that, once the deficit is eliminated in 2015 - 16, any future
government should gradually start creating a deficit by, for example, spending on infrastructure and this could be done while at the same time maintaining a stable
debt to GDP ratio of around 25 per cent
over the medium to longer term.
«The
government has aggressively tackled its direct operating
debt (or «credit card»
debt), reducing it by almost 80 per cent
over the past 10 years.
Indeed, the stock of local currency
government debt securities outstanding for a representative sample of Asian markets has increased five-fold
over the past 15 years (it's hard to go back much further).
In addition, large, broad - based indexes such as the Barclays Aggregate Bond Index have become less diversified
over time, and now are dominated by U.S.
government and agency
debt.
Over the period 2008 - 09 to 2014 - 15, the federal
debt increased by $ 155 billion, attributable to impact of the 2008 - 2009 financial crisis and the stimulus measures implemented by the
government under its Economic Action Plans.