Here the adjustment is determined by (1) calculating the collocated ship - buoy SST difference
over the global ocean from 1982 - 2012, (2) calculating the global areal weighted average of ship - buoy SST difference, (3) applying a 12 - month running filter to the global averaged ship - buoy SST difference, and (4) evaluating the mean difference and its STD of ship - buoy SSTs based on the data from 1990 to 2012 (the data are noisy before 1990 due to sparse buoy observations).
Not exact matches
Thanks to a cooperative of family farmers, primarily
from Canada and the U.S.,
Ocean Spray's cranberries reach consumers in
over 100 countries across the world — including China, through a Tmall
Global storefront.
Over the course of coming decades, though, trade wind speed is expected to decrease
from global warming, Thunell says, and the result will be less phytoplankton production at the surface and less oxygen utilization at depth, causing a concomitant increase in the
ocean's oxygen content.
At least
over the
oceans, the pre-industrial cloud conditions would have been considerably different
from those of today; this implies that the aerosols we have been adding to the atmosphere may have had a significant effect on
global patterns of cloud formation and rain.
Global mean temperatures averaged
over land and
ocean surfaces,
from three different estimates, each of which has been independently adjusted for various homogeneity issues, are consistent within uncertainty estimates
over the period 1901 to 2005 and show similar rates of increase in recent decades.
Total column water vapour has increased
over the
global oceans by 1.2 ± 0.3 % per decade
from 1988 to 2004, consistent in pattern and amount with changes in SST and a fairly constant relative humidity.
Temperature changes relative to the corresponding average for 1901 - 1950 (°C)
from decade to decade
from 1906 to 2005
over the Earth's continents, as well as the entire globe,
global land area and the
global ocean (lower graphs).
Over the period 1984 — 2006 the
global changes are 0.28 °C in SST and − 9.1 W m − 2 in Q, giving an effective air — sea coupling coefficient of − 32 W m − 2 °C − 1... [D] iminished
ocean cooling due to vertical
ocean processes played an important role in sustaining the observed positive trend in
global SST
from 1984 through 2006, despite the decrease in
global surface heat flux.
The estimated increase of observed
global ocean heat content (
over the depth range
from 0 to 3000 meters) between the 1950s and 1990s is at least one order of magnitude larger than the increase in heat content of any other component.
Given how much yelling takes place on the Internet, talk radio, and elsewhere
over short - term cool and hot spells in relation to
global warming, I wanted to find out whether anyone had generated a decent decades - long graph of
global temperature trends accounting for, and erasing, the short - term up - and - down flickers
from the cyclical shift in the tropical Pacific
Ocean known as the El Niño — Southern Oscillation, or ENSO, cycle.
Since the CMIP5 models used by the IPCC on average adequately reproduce observed
global warming in the last two and a half decades of the 20th century without any contribution
from multidecadal
ocean variability, it follows that those models (whose mean TCR is slightly
over 1.8 °C) must be substantially too sensitive.
But the same paucity of ice, which Arctic climate specialists say is driven increasingly by
global greenhouse warming, has made it easy for an enormous bulk carrier, the MV Nordic Barents, to achieve a new feat of northern navigation — carrying more than 40,000 tons of concentrated iron ore
from Kirkenes, Norway, along the Northern Sea Route
over Russia and, as of yesterday, out of the Arctic
Ocean on its way to a Chinese port.
It is certainly true that a very small temperature bias that is not random
from instrument to instrument, but instead is the same
over a large number of profiles can create systematic error in
global estimates of
ocean heat content.
From a technology perspective, satellites were just beginning to collect vessel positions
over the open
ocean, and the «
global coverage» was spotty.
http://www.springerlink.com/content/lm0024kv72t3841w/ «The simulated magnitude of hydrological changes
over land are much larger when compared to changes
over oceans in the recent marine cloud albedo enhancement study since the radiative forcing
over land needed (− 8.2 W m − 2) to counter
global mean radiative forcing
from a doubling of CO2 (3.3 W m − 2) is approximately twice the forcing needed
over the
oceans (− 4.2 W m − 2).
Albedo
from medium / low level clouds warms or cools the
ocean surface by increasing or decreasing
over time across the
global surface.
The HadCRUT4 dataset, compiled
from many thousands of temperature measurements taken across the globe,
from all continents and all
oceans, is used to estimate
global temperature, shows that 2017 was 0.99 ± 0.1 °C above pre-industrial levels, taken as the average
over the period 1850 - 1900, and 0.38 ± 0.1 °C above the 1981 - 2010 average.
There is also a natural variability of the climate system (about a zero reference point) that produces El Nino and La Nina effects arising
from changes in
ocean circulation patterns that can make the
global temperature increase or decrease,
over and above the
global warming due to CO2.
The variation of net
global sensible and latent heat flux
from the
ocean, being impacted greatly by ENSO, the PDO, and the AMO, plays the dominant role in the fluctuations in total energy output measured at the TOA
over short - term time frames.
Limited validations for the results include comparisons of 1) the PERSIANN - derived diurnal cycle of rainfall at Rondonia, Brazil, with that derived
from the Tropical
Ocean Global Atmosphere Coupled Oceanï ¿ 1/2 Atmosphere Response Experiment (TOGA COARE) radar data; 2) the PERSIANN diurnal cycle of rainfall
over the western Pacific
Ocean with that derived
from the data of the optical rain gauges mounted on the TOGA - moored buoys; and 3) the monthly accumulations of rainfall samples
from the orbital TMI and PR surface rainfall with the accumulations of concurrent PERSIANN estimates.
The Sea Surface Temperature Climate Change Initiative (SST CCI) project will accurately map the surface temperature of the
global oceans over the period 1991 to 2010, using observations
from many satellites.
Although
global warming appears to have taken a breather
over the past decade and a half, the leveling off of average
global temperatures is likely just a temporary phenomenon that is due to other climate influences
from the sun's radiance level to natural temperature oscillations in the Pacific
ocean.
In the present study, satellite altimetric height and historically available in situ temperature data were combined using the method developed by Willis et al. [2003], to produce
global estimates of upper
ocean heat content, thermosteric expansion, and temperature variability
over the 10.5 - year period
from the beginning of 1993 through mid-2003...
J. T. Fasullo, R. S. Nerem & B. Hamlington Scientific Reports 6, Article number: 31245 (2016) doi: 10.1038 / srep31245 Download Citation Climate and Earth system modellingProjection and prediction Received: 13 April 2016 Accepted: 15 July 2016 Published online: 10 August 2016 Erratum: 10 November 2016 Updated online 10 November 2016 Abstract
Global mean sea level rise estimated
from satellite altimetry provides a strong constraint on climate variability and change and is expected to accelerate as the rates of both
ocean warming and cryospheric mass loss increase
over time.
Therefore, it is harder to separate natural variability
from anthro signal (in this case, shifting of heat around, as versus a
global,
ocean + atmosphere heating
over the past 50 years).
From the article: A new study released Monday found that warming temperatures in Pacific
Ocean waters off the coast of North America
over the past century closely followed natural changes in the wind, not increases in greenhouse gases related to
global warming.
Abstract: «
Global mean sea level rise estimated
from satellite altimetry provides a strong constraint on climate variability and change and is expected to accelerate as the rates of both
ocean warming and cryospheric mass loss increase
over time.
Because the
oceans cover some 71 % of the Earth's surface and are capable of retaining heat around a thousand times that of the atmosphere, the
oceans are where most of the energy
from global warming is going - 93.4 %
over recent decades.
New gridded daily wind fields
from Metop / ASCAT scatterometer retrievals are produced in near real - time
over global ocean with a spatial resolution of 0.25 °.
C: increase in atmospheric CO2
from pre-industrial to present is anthropogenic (D / A) S: best guess for likely climate sensitivity (NUM) s: 2 - sigma range of S (NUM) a:
ocean acidification will be a problem (D / A) L: expected sea level rise by 2100 in cm (all contributions)(NUM) B: climate change will be beneficial (D / A) R: CO2 emissions need to be reduced drastically by 2050 (D / A) T: technical advances will take care of any problems (D / A) r: the 20th century
global temperature record is reliable (D / A) H:
over the last 1000 years
global temperature was hockey stick shaped (D / A) D: data has been intentionally distorted by scientist to support the idea of anthropogenic climate change (D / A) g: the CRU - mails are important for the science (D / A) G: the CRU - mails are important otherwise (D / A)
The fact this is seemingly not fully recognized — or here integrated — by Curry goes to the same reason Curry does not recognize why the so called «pause» is a fiction, why the «slowing» of the «rate» of increase in average ambient
global land and
ocean surface air temperatures
over a shorter term period
from the larger spike beyond the longer term mean of the 90s is also meaningless in terms of the basic issue, and why the average ambient increase in
global air temperatures
over such a short term is by far the least important empirical indicia of the issue.
The IPCC tells us that
Over the period 1961 to 2003,
global ocean temperature has risen by 0.1 °C
from the surface to a depth of 700 m.
On a
global scale, this warming trend implies that the
ocean has gained heat
from the atmosphere
over the last 50 to 70 years.
The standard deviation of the monthly MSU 2R anomalies has a much more zonally symmetric structure (Fig. 4 and Fig. 5) so that relative to the surface there is a much larger contribution
from the northern
oceans and a generally smaller contribution
over land and near the equator to the hemispheric and
global means.
Over the next 3 years the
Ocean Colour Climate Change Initiative project aims to: Develop and validate algorithms to meet the
Ocean Colour GCOS ECV requirements for consistent, stable, error - characterized
global satellite data products
from multi-sensor data archives; Produce and validate, within an R&D context, the most complete and consistent possible time series of multi-sensor
global satellite data products for climate research and modelling; Optimize the impact of MERIS data on climate data records; Generate complete specifications for an operational production system; Strengthen inter-disciplinary cooperation between international Earth observation, climate research and modelling communities, in pursuit of scientific excellence.
«In our mor recent
global model simulations the
ocean heat - uptake is slower than previously estimated, the
ocean uptake of carbon is weaker, feedbacks
from the land system as temperature rises are stronger, cumulative emissions of greenhouse gases
over the century are higher, and offsetting cooling
from aerosol emissions is lower.
The CO2 doubling response
from CM2.6,
over 70 - 80 years, shows that upper -
ocean (0 - 300 m) temperature in the Northwest Atlantic Shelf warms at a rate nearly twice as fast as the coarser models and nearly three times faster than the
global average.
The main improvements with respect to V2 version flux products (Bentamy et al, 2008) are related to the improvements of the specific air humidity estimation
from radiometer measurements, to the assessment of the surface winds retrieved
from QuikSCAT scatterometers, and to the use of the new objective method allowing the calculation of flux analyses
over the
global oceans.
(2) the «Sea Surface» temperatures, which are averaged
over the
global ice - free
oceans (60N to 60S),
from the AMSR - E instrument on Aqua.
(1) there is established scientific concern
over warming of the climate system based upon evidence
from observations of increases in
global average air and
ocean temperatures, widespread melting of snow and ice, and rising
global average sea level;
Consistent with the
global transfer of excess heat
from the atmosphere to the
ocean, and the difference between warming
over land and
ocean, there is some discontinuity between the plotted means of the lower atmosphere and the upper
ocean.
Since «there's an
over two orders of magnitude (~ 120) difference between the amount of energy needed to add a litre to the
ocean from melting ice (~ 334KJ)[and] thermal expansion of sea water (~ 40,000 KJ)», this means that sea - level rise, often offered as a «proxy» for «
global warming», is actually not important.
Some examples
from energy balance model calculations indicate that: (1) solar variability has a near -
global response, with the amplitude of response slightly larger
over land; (2) volcanism has a proportionately larger amplitude of response
over land than
over ocean; and (3) the most oft - cited mode of internal variability, changes in the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation, has a hemispheric asymmetry in response.
Although we focus on a hypothesized CR - cloud connection, we note that it is difficult to separate changes in the CR flux
from accompanying variations in solar irradiance and the solar wind, for which numerous causal links to climate have also been proposed, including: the influence of UV spectral irradiance on stratospheric heating and dynamic stratosphere - troposphere links (Haigh 1996); UV irradiance and radiative damage to phytoplankton influencing the release of volatile precursor compounds which form sulphate aerosols
over ocean environments (Kniveton et al. 2003); an amplification of total solar irradiance (TSI) variations by the addition of energy in cloud - free regions enhancing tropospheric circulation features (Meehl et al. 2008; Roy & Haigh 2010); numerous solar - related influences (including solar wind inputs) to the properties of the
global electric circuit (GEC) and associated microphysical cloud changes (Tinsley 2008).
In general, the pattern of change in return values for 20 - year extreme temperature events
from an equilibrium simulation for doubled CO2 with a
global atmospheric model coupled to a non-dynamic slab
ocean shows moderate increases
over oceans and larger increases
over land masses (Zwiers and Kharin, 1998; Figure 9.29).
The
global warming century trend that was observed
from 1906 to 2005 was 0.74 °C (with a 90 % uncertainty range of 0.56 °C to 0.92 °C), with more warming occurring in the Northern
over Southern Hemispheres, and more
over land compared to
oceans.
Global temperatures usually are described in terms of the surface air temperature anomaly, the deviation of the temperature at each site
from a mean of many years that is averaged
over the whole world, both land and
oceans.
It states that «
global warming, poorly planned coastal development and other threats
over which humans have some control are weakening natural defenses ranging
from mangrove swamps to coral reefs that help keep the
oceans at bay.»
O'Dell, C. W., Wentz, F. J. & Bennartz, R. Cloud liquid water path
from satellite - based passive microwave observations: a new climatology
over the
global oceans.
A new research by NASA has revealed that extra heat
from greenhouse gases were trapped in the Indian and Pacific
oceans in recent years and this could likely be the cause of the so - called pause in
global warming that was observed
over the past decade.