In a recent study, for instance, well - respected climate models were shown to have completely opposing estimates for
the overall effect of the clouds and smoke in the southeast Atlantic: Some found net warming, whereas others found cooling.
Not exact matches
They tend to believe that as the planet warms, low - level
cloud cover will increase, thus increasing planetary albedo (
overall reflectiveness
of the Earth), offsetting the increased greenhouse
effect and preventing a dangerous level
of global warming from occurring.
I was interested not so much in the forcing
effect of clouds themselves so much as the change in albedo which might result from a change in the
overall extent
of global
cloud cover.
Unknown is what the
overall effect of greenhouse gases / temperature was / is / will be on
cloud cover.
Spencer + Braswell have shown that over the tropics on a shorter - term basis, the net
overall feedback from
clouds with warming is negative; this is largely due to an increase in reflection
of incoming radiation by increased
clouds with a smaller
effect from the reduction
of energy trapping high altitude
clouds, which slow down outgoing radiation by absorbing and re-radiating energy.
Stuart L I am a stupid layman, but wonder about the
effects of water vapour (
clouds) when I lived in the UK
cloud conditions would cause the temps to be milder (warmer) here in Philippines
cloud causes cooler conditions, how can one calculate the
overall effect on the earths surface?.
I know that during the day time the
overall change in influx will drop in the presence
of clouds, but that at night a
cloud will have the opposite
effect, increasing influx.
DMS is the primary source in the sulfate mass budget over the remote ocean west
of 80 ° W. • The first aerosol indirect
effect has been observationally quantified over the SEP, with
cloud thinning
of the more polluted coastal
clouds mitigating the
overall radiative impact.
The
overall effect of the high thin cirrus
clouds then is to enhance atmospheric greenhouse warming.
It does magnify the night - time greenhouse
effect by warming the
clouds or the higher levels
of the atmosphere, thus increasing the amount
of heat radiated back to the surface; though the
overall effect is to reduce net planetary greenhouse warming by limiting the temperature gradient.
As far as the
overall heat balance is concerned, these are all negligible (some
of them may
of course have other
effects — such as on
cloud formation — that have a significant indirect impact on the heat balance).
The
overall heat - trapping
effect of cirrus
clouds is so large that it exceeds that
of human - released CO2, says Prof Ulrike Lohmann, an atmospheric scientist from ETH Zurich who recently published a review on
cloud thinning in Science.
Hartmnn derived an average
cloud radiative forcing
of -27.6 W / m ^ 2 — a net cooling — as the
overall average
effect of clouds on global climate.
Here is what they say: «The balance between the cooling and warming actions
of clouds is very close although,
overall, averaging the
effects of all the
clouds around the globe, cooling predominates.»