Not exact matches
As corals die due to
warming oceans (SN: 2/3/18, p. 16), the
overall complexity
of the reef also diminishes, leaving a coast potentially more exposed.
However, certain areas in the
oceans could be unusually
warm and skew the
overall long - term average temperature results
of some
of those prior studies, Shuman says.
The IPCC's
overall estimate
of global sea level rise, which includes all the other factors that affect sea levels, such as melt from Greenland's ice sheets and the
oceans expanding as they
warm, is 60 cm by 2100 (with a likely range
of 42 to 80 cm).
Scientists believe climate change — the
warming of oceans — has allowed some
of the almost 2,000 jellyfish species to expand their ranges, appear earlier in the year and increase
overall numbers, much as
warming has helped ticks, bark beetles and other pests to spread to new latitudes.
Given the total energy content
of the
oceans, the result could only ever be minimal
overall warming of that part
of the
ocean that exchanges energy with the troposphere.
Terrell Johnson, reporting on a recent NASA publication concluding that deep
ocean temperatures have not increased since 2005 (http://www.weather.com/science/environment/news/deep-
ocean-hasnt-warmed-nasa-20141007): «While the report's authors say the findings do not question the
overall science
of climate change, it is the latest in a series
of findings that show global
warming to have slowed considerably during the 21st century, despite continued rapid growth in human - produced greenhouse gas emissions during the same time.»
Given all the independent lines
of evidence pointing to average surface
warming over the last few decades (satellite measurements,
ocean temperatures, sea - level rise, retreating glaciers, phenological changes, shifts in the ranges
of temperature - sensitive species), it is highly implausible that it would lead to more than very minor refinements to the current
overall picture.
However, a lot is not: instead it contributes to the
overall warming of the deep
ocean that has to occur for the climate system to equilibrate.
What this means is that the
overall rate
of absorption
of CO2 by the
oceans is a complex function
of numerous processes — biological, chemical and physical — whose individual contributions are still a matter
of active scientific research (and which are certainly changing as the planet
warms).
If in exceeds out and the diffential MUST exist from top to bottom
of the atmosphere, then before the hotter air can migrate to the deep
ocean, the daily temerature cycling will force the hotter air at the bottom into an
overall equlibrium ie hotter air will rise — or more correctly since GHGs have heated the air up more at the bottom, then the sun induced daily
warming will add more heat to the top, & less at the bottom to force the equilibrium — ie effectively hot air rising even if not in actuality.
The news service reports, «Scientists believe climate change — the
warming of oceans — has allowed some
of the almost 2,000 jellyfish species to expand their ranges, appear earlier in the year and increase
overall numbers, much as
warming has helped ticks, bark beetles, and other pests to spread to new latitudes.»
A main control on atmospheric CO2 appears to be the
ocean surface temperature, and remains a possibility that a significant part
of the
overall increase
of atmospheric CO2 since at least 1958 (start
of Mauna Loa observations) simply relflects the gradual
warming of the
oceans as a result
of the prolonged period
of high solar activity since 1920 (Solanki et al., 2004).
The «
warming»
of the troposphere as measured by sensible heat is only one very small part
of the energy in the
overall climate system, and the part with the very lowest thermal inertia and very sensitive to very small changes in
ocean to atmosphere sensible and latent heat flux such as we see in the ENSO cycle.
So although
warm water is reaching the continental shelves, and creating some melting, the
overall effect is to deliver a cold freshwater layer to the top hundred metres or so
of the surrounding
ocean.
We do know that
ocean basins produce this oscillatory behavior — the El Nino / Southern Oscillation, the Arctic Oscillation, the Pacific Decadal Oscialltion, the NAO, the Madden - Julian Oscillation (Indian Ocean), but they seem to have a bit of a random component, their forcing mechanisms are poorly understood, their «phase changes» appear impossible to predict very far in advance, and they must also be sensitive to the overall climate war
ocean basins produce this oscillatory behavior — the El Nino / Southern Oscillation, the Arctic Oscillation, the Pacific Decadal Oscialltion, the NAO, the Madden - Julian Oscillation (Indian
Ocean), but they seem to have a bit of a random component, their forcing mechanisms are poorly understood, their «phase changes» appear impossible to predict very far in advance, and they must also be sensitive to the overall climate war
Ocean), but they seem to have a bit
of a random component, their forcing mechanisms are poorly understood, their «phase changes» appear impossible to predict very far in advance, and they must also be sensitive to the
overall climate
warming.
They also found that, consistent with my team's research, about 30 %
of overall global
warming has gone into the deep
oceans below 700 meters due to changing wind patterns and
ocean currents.
This was the conclusion
of a scientific paper I co-authored last year, in which our team found more
overall global
warming (
of the
oceans, air, land, and ice combined) over the past 15 years than during the prior 15 years.
While the
warming of average global surface temperatures has slowed (though not nearly as much as previously believed), the
overall amount
of heat accumulated by the global climate has not, with over 90 percent being absorbed by the
oceans.
And remember, the satellite data are one small part
of a vast amount
of data that overwhelmingly show our planet is
warming up: retreating glaciers, huge amounts
of ice melting at both poles, the «death spiral»
of arctic ice every year at the summer minimum over time, earlier annual starts
of warm weather and later starts
of cold weather,
warming oceans, rising sea levels,
ocean acidification, more extreme weather, changing weather patterns
overall, earlier snow melts, and lower snow cover in the spring...
With a rise in the
overall temperature
of the
ocean,
ocean - borne storms such as tropical storms and hurricanes, which get their fierce and destructive energy from the
warm waters they pass over, could increase in force.
Steve, is it you belief that events like «ENSO» represent
overall changes in heating and cooling
of the
oceans or represent a change in the movement
of warm and cool waters?
It seems clear enough from evidence
of the geologic past that before the earth started ringing like a bell every 120K years from glacial to interglacial with the former dominating the other 10:1 in persistence, the Eocene optimum 50 million years ago the earth was ice - free, green from pole to pole, it was about 11F
warmer overall, with the most dramatic
warming in the highest latitudes (right where you'd want it if you could ask for it), and atmspheric CO2 was several times what it is today, which makes sense in light
of much
warmer global
ocean not able to hold as much CO2.
The «unnatural»
warming so far seen is however trended strongly to the alterations to the planetary surface by Humanity over the past 400 years and the rebalance towards greater kinetic induction (in its cumulative effect) is now producing observable alterations not only to the Land Surface median Temperature, but to the
Ocean (vie conduction / convection) and a still unconfirmed claim
of a small
overall rise in Median Atmospheric Temperature, which if «true» would place the Planetary Biosphere on the «Human Population Plot» with regard to «
warming».
To point out just a couple
of things: —
oceans warming slower (or cooling slower) than lands on long - time trends is absolutely normal, because water is more difficult both to
warm or to cool (I mean, we require both a bigger heat flow and more time); at the contrary, I see as a non-sense theory (made by some serrist, but don't know who) that
oceans are storing up heat, and that suddenly they will release such heat as a positive feedback: or the water
warms than no heat can be considered ad «stored» (we have no phase change inside
oceans, so no latent heat) or
oceans begin to release heat but in the same time they have to cool (because they are losing heat); so, I don't feel strange that in last years land temperatures for some series (NCDC and GISS) can be heating up while
oceans are slightly cooling, but I feel strange that they are heating up so much to reverse global trend from slightly negative / stable to slightly positive; but, in the end, all this is not an evidence that lands»
warming is led by UHI (but, this effect, I would not exclude it from having a small part in temperature trends for some regional area, but just small); both because, as writtend, it is normal to have waters
warming slower than lands, and because lands» temperatures are often measured in a not so precise way (despite they continue to give us a global uncertainity in TT values which is barely the instrumental's one)-- but, to point out, HadCRU and MSU
of last years (I mean always 2002 - 2006) follow much better waters» temperatures trend; — metropolis and larger cities temperature trends actually show an increase in UHI effect, but I think the sites are few, and the covered area is very small worldwide, so the global effect is very poor (but it still can be sensible for regional effects); but I would not run out a small
warming trend for airport measurements due mainly to three things: increasing jet planes traffic, enlarging airports (then more buildings and more asphalt — if you follow motor sports, or simply live in a town / city, you will know how easy they get very
warmer than air during day, and how much it can slow night - time cooling) and
overall having airports nearer to cities (if not becoming an area inside the city after some decade
of hurban growth, e.g. Milan - Linate); — I found no point about UHI in towns and villages; you will tell me they are not large cities; but, in comparison with 20-40-60 years ago when they were «countryside», many small towns and villages have become part
of larger hurban areas (at least in Europe and Asia) so examining just larger cities would not be enough in my opinion to get a full view
of UHI effect (still remembering that it has a small global effect: we can say many matters are due to UHI instead
of GW, maybe even that a small part
of measured GW is due to UHI, and that GW measurements are not so precise to make us able to make good analisyses and predictions, but not that GW is due to UHI).
Elsewhere on this site there is a graph
of overall ocean heat content which is building indicating that while the sst is decreasing slightly the
overall ocean is
warming, It is likely that this
overall ocean warming which has nothing to do with changes to the atmospheric temperature because it is the sea surface and not the deep
ocean that is in contact with the atmosphere is what is resulting in the
overall rise in atmospheric CO2 concentration which is currenly increasing at 2ppmv / year.
Some parts
of the
ocean are
warming less rapidly than we thought, and the
overall rate
of warming is less than the models projected (modeled, etc..)
Remember that there is a variable lag between the initial solar effect
of warming or cooling on the Pacific
Ocean and that effect then working through all the other oceanic oscillations so it is difficult to establish the
overall balance
of the oceanic oscillations at any given time.
I do think, however, that it is significant (short term, not a firm trend) that CO2, as measured at MLO, has been increasing at a smaller rate than in previous years despite the fact that
overall anthropogenic CO2 output is not decreasing and, furthermore, that the short term trend
of the absolute increase is also down which indicates a greater rate
of absorption
of CO2 than in previous years — which to me would indicate an ongoing cooling
of the
oceans as per the theory that a cooling
ocean absorbs more CO2 while a
warming ocean releases more CO2.
The IPCC's
overall estimate
of global sea level rise, which includes all the other factors that affect sea levels, such as melt from Greenland's ice sheets and the
oceans expanding as they
warm, is 60 cm by 2100 (with a likely range
of 42 to 80 cm).
The IPCC's
overall estimate
of global sea level rise, which includes all the other factors that affect sea levels, such as melt from Greenland's ice sheets and the
oceans expanding as they
warm,
The results here reveal a larger picture — that the western tropical Indian
Ocean has been
warming for more than a century, at a rate faster than any other region
of the tropical
oceans, and turns out to be the largest contributor to the
overall trend in the global mean sea surface temperature (SST)»
Only approximately 15 percent
of that decline can be attributed to a
warmer mixed - layer, with the remainder being «consistent with an
overall decrease in the exchange between surface waters and the
ocean interior» (Helm et al., 2011).
The problem is that when Davey correctly pointed out that surface temperatures are only one small piece
of overall global
warming (about 2 percent), and melting ice and
warming oceans must also be considered (over 90 percent
of the
overall heating
of the planet), Neil remained focused exclusively on surface temperatures.
Since the
ocean surface
warms overall at about only half the rate
of the land surface (due to the larger thermal inertia), it is to be expected that the lower troposphere wouldn't
warm as fast as the global surface average.
By averaging temperature measurements all round the world, including the surface
of the
oceans, they have all found essentially the same result — average temperature varied little until the 1920s, and since then there has been an
overall warming of about 0.8 °C.
Atmosforests.org It supports the theory that: The sun, the earth, atmosphere,
oceans and rainforests, are a complex living organism and the only natural system
of the creation, able to adjust and maintain the balance
of the atmosphere,
of the global
warming, oxygen, ozone, general DNA and the
overall balance
of the planet.
But, he added, human - induced global
warming has been raising the
overall temperature
of the surface
ocean, by about one degree Fahrenheit since the 1970s.
Scientists believe climate change — the
warming of oceans — has allowed some
of the almost 2,000 jellyfish species to expand their ranges, appear earlier in the year and increase
overall numbers, much as
warming has helped ticks, bark beetles and other pests to spread to new latitudes.
So, if you wish to commit yourself to a net positive feedback to
ocean warming resulting in greater
overall warming as a result
of internal variations in SST, then you are also committed to increased humidity as a net positive feedback to
warming due to CO2 forcing.
Presumably if the deep
ocean warms significantly, that could eventually reduce the level
of surface cooling due to upwelling, since there would be less
overall temperature change between the deep and the surface.
Warm ocean temperatures are one
of the key factors that strengthen hurricane development when
overall conditions are conducive for their formation and growth.
The highly toxic short term engineered cool - downs come at the cost
of an even worse
overall planetary
warming, this includes the Earth's
oceans.