This is not one of the models overestimating GHG and compensating with
overestimated aerosol effects, according to Chylek et al (assuming that the GISS - E2 - H1 is the same as GISS - E2 - H above).
This difference implies that GCMs
overestimate the aerosol effect, but the reasons for the difference are not obvious.»
Not exact matches
For sulphate
aerosols, current models probably
overestimate their influence, as there is no measurable
effect of the large (over 60 %) reduction in SO2 emissions in Europe at the places where the largest influence should be visible, according to the models.
The prominent upward trend in the GM precipitation occurring in the last century and the notable strengthening of the global monsoon in the last 30 yr (1961 — 90) appear unprecedented and are due possibly in part to the increase of atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration, though the authors» simulations of the
effects from recent warming may be
overestimated without considering the negative feedbacks from
aerosols.
... Schneider became aware that he had
overestimated the cooling
effect of
aerosols, and underestimated the warming
effect of CO2 by a factor of about three.
IPCC2013 SPM - 10 admitted there may be «in some models, an
overestimate of the response to increasing greenhouse gas and other anthropogenic forcing (dominated by the
effects of
aerosols)», but retained the alarming upper limit of 4.5 º C from IPCC2007.
Using this new metric, they showed that
aerosols»
effects on clouds are
overestimated by as much as 30 percent in a global climate model.
In fact, thee exists an attempt to reconstruct climate variations by stressing the climatic
effect of the volcano
aerosol, but the lack of strong volcano spikes in the temperature record suggest that the volcano
effect is already
overestimated.
However, Zhang et al. (34) showed that they
overestimated the indirect
aerosol effect.