The surprisingly quick double crackdown might have accelerated the move, but a deep correction was needed to reset
the overly bullish sentiment towards the sector.
While we don't expect significant new lows after last week's crash, more corrective price action is needed after the lofty August rally to clear
the overly bullish sentiment.
That said, after the stellar run and the given
the overly bullish sentiment, risks of a deep correction are high and investors should remain defensive.
Not exact matches
«This supports near - term positive follow - through, and suggests it will take at least a couple of weeks before «
overly bullish»
sentiment gives way to a pullback.»
One of those inefficiencies includes finding
overly bullish or
overly bearish
sentiment in a security, which often reflects herd mentality and causes investors to put down their guard.
For now,
sentiment remains quite
bullish (possibly
overly so) with the VIX down at the 12.70 mark.
By itself, none of this would be
overly concerning, but in conjunction with foaming - at - the - mouth
bullish sentiment, stretched valuations and a sharp slowdown in money supply growth, it is hard to be anything but concerned.
That said, risk assets are no longer cheap and
sentiment is
overly bullish, so investment gains will need to be driven primarily by growth in fundamentals rather than multiple expansion.
Subscribers and myself have been short the SP500 for a couple weeks after watching the broad market become overbought and
sentiment levels became
overly bullish with greedy pigs thinking they could buy stocks after a massive month long rally that had not pullback.
One noticeable improvement has been
sentiment, which has worked off some of the recent
bullish levels and moved closer to levels associated with bottoms as both active money managers and retail investors turn
overly bearish.
Nonetheless, the bull market tops out when the
sentiment is
overly bullish, especially with the retail traders.