In the bottom panel,
ozone changes between 1980 and 2000 are compared for different latitudes.
When we consider that the average
Ozone change between 1950 and 2000 in was approximately 280 Dobson units we have another contributor to the reduction in the Stratospheric temperatures that are missing from your strawman.
Not exact matches
There is also growing understanding of the links
between atmospheric problems such as local air pollution, acid rain, global climate
change and stratospheric
ozone depletion.
I don't know if I am confusing the issue here
between ozone and climate
change.
I don't know if I am confusing the issue here
between ozone and climate
change.
Warming must occur below the tropopause to increase the net LW flux out of the tropopause to balance the tropopause - level forcing; there is some feedback at that point as the stratosphere is «forced» by the fraction of that increase which it absorbs, and a fraction of that is transfered back to the tropopause level — for an optically thick stratosphere that could be significant, but I think it may be minor for the Earth as it is (while CO2 optical thickness of the stratosphere alone is large near the center of the band, most of the wavelengths in which the stratosphere is not transparent have a more moderate optical thickness on the order of 1 (mainly from stratospheric water vapor; stratospheric
ozone makes a contribution over a narrow wavelength band, reaching somewhat larger optical thickness than stratospheric water vapor)(in the limit of an optically thin stratosphere at most wavelengths where the stratosphere is not transparent,
changes in the net flux out of the stratosphere caused by stratospheric warming or cooling will tend to be evenly split
between upward at TOA and downward at the tropopause; with greater optically thickness over a larger fraction of optically - significant wavelengths, the distribution of warming or cooling within the stratosphere will affect how such a
change is distributed, and it would even be possible for stratospheric adjustment to have opposite effects on the downward flux at the tropopause and the upward flux at TOA).
While the three
ozone databases all show a reduction in
ozone in the lower tropical stratosphere, the magnitude of this
change differs substantially
between them and occurs against a backdrop of much larger interannual variability.
In the meantime, Murry Salby has at least 8 papers in the past decade on the importance of the QBO on the stratosphere, and notes the» climate sensitivities of temperature and
ozone describe random
changes between years, introduced by anomalous EP flux and the QBO».
After all, the scientific assessment that the safe level of
ozone should be lowered to somewhere
between 60 and 70 parts per billion hasn't
changed.
The evolution of the latter, intimately associated with the evolution of the
ozone content of the air
between 400 hPa and 50 hPa, is associated with what is described as the Antarctic Oscillation, that I argue is the most influential mode of natural climate
change globally.
Because the interactions
between ozone, temperature, mixing rates, water vapor (and other chemicals) are complex and multi-faceted, accurate predictions of the future
ozone layer's health in the face of predicted or unexpected
changes are difficult.
For tropospheric
ozone (driven by the
changes in NOx, VOC, OC and methane emissions, along with
changes in climate conditions), there is a clear difference
between the RCPs.
The climate system is highly non-linear8 and relatively little is known about the effect on temperature
changes resulting from human contributions to the
changing three - dimensional distributions of
ozone and aerosols, either or both of which may have been partially responsible for the observed discrepancy
between surface and lower to mid-tropospheric temperature
changes.
To test this theory, we decided to see if there was any relationship
between the concentration of
ozone in the
ozone layer, and the phase
change conditions.
Possible correlations
between solar ultraviolet variability and climate
change have previously been explained in terms of
changes in
ozone heating influencing stratospheric weather.
The cooling of the sea
between 1948 and warming thereafter are entirely accounted for in the shift in the mass of the atmosphere that lies behind the
change in wind strength and the flux in
ozone that causes the cloud cover to
change.
There is a complex relationship
between ozone loss and climate
change.
Changes in clouds
between these two runs should be driven by the aerosols (with a minor contribution from
ozone via a semi-direct local heating effect).
Supporting other UNEP assessments, he was Coordinating Lead Author of the atmosphere chapters in GEO4 and GEO5, UNEP's flagship Global Environment Outlook assessment, exploring the relationships
between air quality, climate
change and
ozone depletion.
Ross Gelbspan's association with
Ozone Action likely began sometime between their switch in December 1995 from pure focus on ozone depletion to one which also concerned climate change (happening in the same month that Gelbspan first publicly mentioned his «industry corruption» findings), and their March 1996 «Ties That Blind» report mentioning that he and they «obtained» industry docum
Ozone Action likely began sometime
between their switch in December 1995 from pure focus on
ozone depletion to one which also concerned climate change (happening in the same month that Gelbspan first publicly mentioned his «industry corruption» findings), and their March 1996 «Ties That Blind» report mentioning that he and they «obtained» industry docum
ozone depletion to one which also concerned climate
change (happening in the same month that Gelbspan first publicly mentioned his «industry corruption» findings), and their March 1996 «Ties That Blind» report mentioning that he and they «obtained» industry documents.
Iain doesn't even know the difference
between CFCs and CO2 and is getting the
ozone layer mixed up with climate
change.
She has researched heat - and
ozone - related mortality and illnesses; connections
between climate
change, pollen, allergies and asthma, as well as infectious diseases like dengue fever; the health costs of climate
change; and domestic and international climate - health preparedness strategies.
The interactions
between a recovering
ozone hole, increasing greenhouse gases, ocean currents, and other components of the climate system must still be explored in order to better understand how the Earth's climate will
change in the future.