Volcanic eruptions have episodically interfered with healing, particularly during 2015, when a record October
ozone hole occurred after the Calbuco eruption.»
Records in depth and size haven't occurred during the same years (the largest
ozone hole occurred in 2006), but the long - term trend in both characteristics is consistent: from 1980 through the early 1990s, the hole rapidly grew in size and depth.
This year, scientists recorded the minimum thickness of the ozone layer at 101 Dobson units on October 4, 2015, as compared to 250 - 350 Dobson units during the 1960s, before the Antarctic
ozone hole occurred.
Not exact matches
His model suggests that the Antarctic
ozone hole should stay about the same for the next decade or so, and then rapid recovery should begin to
occur after about 2015.
Without the Montreal Protocol, the new study reveals that a very large
ozone hole over the Arctic would have
occurred during that cold winter and smaller Arctic
ozone holes would have become a regular occurrence.
The study had also discovered that the largest
ozone hole on record, which
occurred in 2015, was due to the eruption of Chile's Calbuco volcano.
As I noted in the introduction to this post, the SAM trend is partly explained by
ozone depletion in the stratosphere, and the most clearly anomalous melt in the James Ross Island core
occurs after the late 1970s, about the time the
ozone hole appeared.
The Antarctic ice increase is
occurring in a limited region near the Ross Sea, and is related to the
ozone hole through a fairly complicated change in atmospheric dynamics.
Since its emergence in the 1980s, the Antarctic
ozone hole, the near - complete loss of lower - stratospheric
ozone, has
occurred every year.
Massive
ozone holes and methane releases are
occurring.
Without the Montreal Protocol, the new study reveals that a very large
ozone hole over the Arctic would have
occurred during that cold winter and smaller Arctic
ozone holes would have become a regular occurrence.
«Despite the low solar elevations in Antarctica, UV - B radiation doses in late spring during the
ozone hole period can be sufficient to induce sunburn, and are about twice as great as those that would have
occurred prior to the onset of
ozone depletion.
The very particular nature of the circulation of the air above Antarctica dictates that an
ozone hole will always
occur during the final warming of the stratosphere between August and December.
Such large
ozone hole events may still
occur in future years, as projections indicate that the recovery will take decades before they disappear entirely by 2055 - 2065.
«For the first time, sufficient loss
occurred to reasonably be described as an Arctic
ozone hole,» write researchers in an article released Oct. 2 by the journal Nature.
A highlight is Baliunas» confident assertion that «the
ozone hole can not
occur in the Arctic» — a claim that stood up for about three years.
The CFC
ozone hole only
occurs in the polar spring, after the dark night is over.
Models suggest that both the loss of
ozone (the
ozone hole that
occurs in September / October every year) and increases in greenhouse gases lead to an increase in frequency of this climate pattern.
A good example is the consensus of chemistry models that projected a slow decline in stratospheric
ozone levels in the 1980s, but did not predict the emergence of the Antarctic
ozone hole because they all lacked the equations that describe the chemistry that
occurs on the surface of ice crystals in cold polar vortex conditions — an «unknown unknown» of the time.
A new study led by Columbia University researchers has found that the closing of the
ozone hole, which is projected to
occur sometime in the second half of the 21st century, may significantly affect climate change in the Southern Hemisphere, and therefore, the global climate.
(Indirectly, I think it's possible that using radiation management to ameliorate warming might have some indirect effect, because
ozone depletion
occurs at low temperatures — that's why
ozone holes develop in the winter at the poles — and rad / man would imply that we failed to address carbon emissions.