Sentences with phrase «party seat levels»

Seat Estimates: Based on these constituency estimates and using a d'Hondt method to determine which party wins the seats in a constituency, the party seat levels are estimated as follows:

These analyses simply estimate what party seat levels would be, should such national support trends be replicated in an actual general election.

Not exact matches

On the political level, we won a general election, only the eighth time in 40 elections that a governing party has increased both its seat count and its share of the popular vote.

Since they are still here, they know that they are seated on the same level as he, that they may speak honestly and do not have to follow a party line, and that he is attentive to them individually as well as in the group.

Local elections are often said to be about local issues but actually most of the changes over time in shares of council seats won the Conservatives, Labour and Liberal Democrats can be accounted for by changes the popularity of these parties at the national level.

Under this Fourth Republic, we have been lucky to have managed our differences so well that despite the high profiled bitter contest of 1998 in Sunyani, Candidate J.A Kufuor who emerged as our flagbearer courted the support of other opposition parties to win the 2000 first and second round elections to become the second President of the Fourth Republic with an appreciated votes at the presidential level for the party and increased seats in Parliament that we occupied the Majority side of Parliament.

The SNP managed to win nearly all the seats in Scotland with just under half the votes because the votes against them were spread out between several parties, at the local as well as the national level.

I decided to commission my own research to establish the real state of public opinion: the true level of support for the parties, the underlying attributes associated with each, whether the picture in marginal seats really was different to that in Britain as a whole, whether the Conservatives» 164 - seat battleground made sense, and why the candidates I was helping to fund were finding it so hard to build support.

A swing seat at the presidential level, Wisconsin's 8th District is the kind of seat the party needs to contest if it's going to fight for control of the chamber.

There are those who believe it's time to do away county committee votes for party nominees for state level seats, perhaps by shifting to the New York City system, which requires non-partisan special elections to fill vacancies.

He said he's motivated to lead the party at the regional level in order to unite all of its members to collaborate to win at least six parliamentary seats in the region at the next general elections in 2020.

Targeting can help maximise the number of seats a party wins with any given level of national support, but it is no substitute for broad appeal.

[161] However, this fell to only five seats after the 2011 election as a result of the widespread unpopularity of their coalition with the Conservative party at the UK level.

The second set of seats (11) are won at a «London - wide» level using a system called «proportional representation», and is designed to ensure that no party wins either far more or far fewer seats than the share of votes they received.

This model does not aim, or expect, to produce 100 % accurate party support and seat level predictions for each of the 650 constituencies.

The problem for Labour: Like the canary in the coal mine, the constituency level poll analyses consistently warned in the years leading up to the 2016 General Election that low levels of Labour support nationally would translate into very low seat levels for that party.

Please Note: «OTH» here refers to the total support / seat levels estimated for the smaller parties (including the Greens, Social Democrats, Solidarity - People Before Profit and Renua — as the published version of an earlier post showed, it gets «messy» if there are too many columns in the tables here!

However, this grouping is a rather broad one, as will be noted in more detail below, and hence would not be as successful in translating support levels into a similar proportion of seat numbers as would be the case for one of the larger political parties.

Given the Labour Party's geography of support, but also given the increased level of opposition the party faces on the left of the political spectrum from Sinn Fein, Solidarity - People Before Profit, the Social Democrats and other left - wing groupings / independent candidates, it was argued that Labour would struggle to convert votes into seats if their national support levels fall below the 10 % level, as indeed proved to be the case with the February 26th elecParty's geography of support, but also given the increased level of opposition the party faces on the left of the political spectrum from Sinn Fein, Solidarity - People Before Profit, the Social Democrats and other left - wing groupings / independent candidates, it was argued that Labour would struggle to convert votes into seats if their national support levels fall below the 10 % level, as indeed proved to be the case with the February 26th elecparty faces on the left of the political spectrum from Sinn Fein, Solidarity - People Before Profit, the Social Democrats and other left - wing groupings / independent candidates, it was argued that Labour would struggle to convert votes into seats if their national support levels fall below the 10 % level, as indeed proved to be the case with the February 26th election.

If those levels of support were repeated at the election, expected in May, the Conservatives would become the biggest party in the House of Commons, but they would fall about 18 seats short of an overall majority.

These factors explain why Labour faces greater challenges in translating lower levels of national support into seat numbers than it did back in 1987 when the party won 12 seats with just over six percent of the national vote.

Previous analyses have, moreover, suggested that, especially given the increased competition on the Left from Sinn Fein, other smaller left of centre parties and left - leaning independents, that it will be a struggle for Labour to win seats in most, if not all, constituencies if the party's national support levels fall below the ten percent level, as has been shown in similar analyses of recent Sunday Independent - Millward Brown and Irish Times - Ipsos MRBI polls.

Wisconsin Assembly Democratic Leader Peter Barca, who broke with the majority of his party in supporting a $ 3 billion tax incentive package for Foxconn Technology Group and has been in charge while Democratic seats dropped to their lowest levels in 60 years, announced Thursday he is leaving his leadership post at the end of the month.

The party's seat levels in the actual election generally tended to support the analysis offered by this model.

If the party's support levels nationally were to even lower than the 6.6 % level won in the general election, then the party would be losing even more seats — especially given the narrow margins that Labour candidates (such as Willie Penrose) won seats by in that election.

This seeks to ask the following question in relation to different opinion poll results — what do these poll figures mean in terms of the likely number of Dail seats that could be won by the different parties and groupings on those national support levels?

The seat level estimates in all of these analyses for the Labour Party are stark (highlighting the fact that the PR - STV system is proportional, but only to a limited extent), but most notably in the Sunday Business Post-Red C poll.

Minor parties can qualify for free time based on their level of electoral support at the last election and if they are contesting more than 10 % of seats at the current election.

If the party had managed to win such slightly higher support levels in the last general election in the 13 constituencies that fall into this category, then Labour would have ended up winning 50 seats at the election, and the overall seat tallies by party would have looked as follows: Fine Gael 73, Labour 50, Fianna Fail 17, Sinn Fein 11, United Left Alliance 3, Others 12.

It's polling level with the Liberal Democrats at nine per cent, according to YouGov, but party insiders are telling me that the first - past - the - post system means they might actually lose some seats.

Given the two main parties have only seen minor changes to their level of support this week, the projected share of seats in the new parliament remains the same as last week:

The polling by Lord Ashcroft found that despite the dreadful national figures, the party is actually running level with the Conservatives in most of the marginal seats that David Cameron needs to win a majority next year.

The open seat race will draw considerable interest from both national parties, as Arizona has been competitive at the presidential level in recent years.

The results saw the Conservatives gain 2 seats to hold 28 seats, level with the Labour and Liberal Democrat parties combined and leaving 4 independents holding the balance on the council.

Common Councilman Judd Krasher, who is running on the Working Families Party line for his 11th Ward seat in the general election against Democratic primary winner Alfredo Balarin, said including raises for mid - and high - level management is «absurd,» given the continuation of the city's trash fee and a tax increase.

There was some good news for Fianna Fail at last weekend's elections; emerging as the largest party at a local authority level in the state (with 266 seats) and faring especially well in certain parts of the state.

However, party support levels remained weak in other parts of the state, the party failed to win seats at either of the two by - elections and the European Elections contests proved to be a significant disappointment.

In his reaction, Soji Adagunodo who is aspiring for the party chairmanship seat in the state said, debunked the fraudulence allegation leveled against him and the party chairman, saying all is set for the election.

The state swung to Barack Obama in 2008, but, having helped retire the party's debt and won some seats at the state level, Wadhams was subsequently re-elected.

(A party insider countered Burns» claim in an interview, contending that part of the GOP strategy is to target lower - level seats and not stoke Democratic turnout by running top - of - the - ticket candidates.)

With an average polling of just 11 % and forecasts predicting a loss of 34 seats the party are meeting to develop a manifesto capable of winning back the levels of support experienced in 2010 (when the party received 23.5 % of the vote and 57 seats).

Hodes, who represents the Democratic - tilting 2nd district in New Hampshire, is the near - certain nominee for the open Senate seat in 2010 in a state that has swung back and forth between the two parties at the presidential level for much of the last decade.

«However, it will shock most of you today to know that after consultations with my family and some key stakeholders of our party in Kagarko local government and at the state level, I have resolved to withdraw my intention to contest for the coveted seat in the council.

On a uniform swing this level of support would still leave the Conservatives 9 seats short of an overall majority, though in practice it is likely that such a reverse in the positions of the parties would be accompanied by changes in the pattern of tactical voting, meaning that the Conservatives might well get an overall majority.

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