Add in the fact that the Broncos defense ranks 27th in the league in
passing yards allowed (254.4 ypg) and that former Pro Bowl wide receiver Percy Harvin should be healthy for the first time this season and it seems probable that Wilson will surpass the 200 yard mark.
Passing S&P + and Oklahoma ranking 100th in
passing yards allowed and sixth in Def.
Not exact matches
The run defense was mostly problematic, and the
pass defense
allowed a 62 percent completion rate, but opponents averaged only 11.7
yards per completion and threw 19 picks.
Their best chance of racking up points will be on run plays and short screen
passes that
allows Newton's receivers to make
yards after the catch.
The Patriots haven't
allowed more than 250
passing yards since Week 6, but betting against Brown and his quarterback's success at home hasn't historically been a winning decision.
Rare is the team that has enough time to let downfield
passing plays develop against Georgia's defense, which ranks second nationally behind Alabama with just 5.58
yards allowed per
pass attempt.
The 2017 No. 5 overall pick is in a prime position to bounce back against a Texans defense that's
allowed an additional 6.1 points per game and 75.3
passing yards per game since losing J.J. Watt (leg, IR) and Whitney Mercilus (pec, IR) in Week 5.
They have picked off eight
passes and are
allowing just 2.8
yards per carry and 65 rushing
yards per game (also second).
The battle to watch will be the one between Luck and the Baltimore secondary, which has
allowed 258.75
passing yards per game.
As for the Georgia Bulldogs, they did not
allow Ole Miss a
pass completion until the last five minutes, and they got a 51 -
yard field goal from Allan Leavitt.
But Oregon did just
allow a 62.5 percent rushing success rate to Florida State, and the Ducks hemorrhage rushing
yards on
passing downs.
In their last two games against a couple of the league's most elite passers, they've held Peyton Manning and Rodgers to a combined 358
passing yards, while
allowing zero touchdowns and grabbing four interceptions.
He and Peyton Manning combined for 920
yards passing, as the Broncos chased down a double - digit lead, took a 15 - point advantage of their own, then
allowed the Cowboys to whittle it away.
Couch completed 6 of his 18
pass attempts, for a paltry 13
yards, but he was seldom
allowed to throw downfield.
The Patriots
allowed just 237.9
passing yards and 15.6 points per game this season, but Jones thinks that doesn't matter.
Plus, though they didn't give up many explosive
passes, the ones they
allowed were poorly timed: in their first two losses (BYU, Ohio), they
allowed 22.3
yards per completion.
Now third in the country, the Hokies raced to a 27 - 7 lead over Pitt and held on, 30 - 17, but
allowed 427
passing yards.
While Hurts has a 129.5 passer rating on throws within 5
yards of the line of scrimmage, Clemson
allows a 102.6 rating on such
passes.
The Bills, however, are coming off a dismal Week 5 performance agains the San Francisco 49ers, in which they were the first team in NFL history to
allow 300
yards passing and 300
yards rushing to the same team.
SIEVES AND STONEWALLS In 2005 NFL defenses
allowed 166 100 -
yard receiving games, 138 100 -
yard rushinggames and 64 300 -
yard passing games.
I didn't know the Cyclones were
allowed to complete
passes of more than 14
yards.
With uncertainty everywhere on the depth chart, Arizona's 2016 defense was ultra-conservative; the Wildcats did a decent job of avoiding big plays; they
allowed 4.7 gains per game of 20 - plus
yards (60th in FBS) and 3.1 such
passes per game (54th), and that constituted the closest thing they had to a strength.
He also has a decent matchup against a Detroit defense that has
allowed the 13th most
passing yards this year.
Tennessee and Houston are among the 10 best
pass defenses, in terms of
yards allowed.
They knocked Oregon starter Vernon Adams out of the game after
allowing just 18 net
yards in eight
pass attempts (including one sack).
The Tigers held Dak Prescott and Mississippi State to 19 points and 4.7
yards per play and slowed WKU's nuclear
passing game to a crawl,
allowing just 20 points and 5.1
yards per play against the high - octane Hilltoppers.
The Noles rank 84th in
passing - downs sack rate
allowed, but when Francois gets a
pass off on PDs, he's nearly perfect: 18 of 26, 282
yards, no picks.
Illinois
allowed 12
passes of 40 - plus
yards, 94th in the country, but you can get away with
allowing the occasional bomb if you're taking care of business the rest of the time.
They were in the bottom half of total
yards allowed,
passing yards and running
yards.
With seven catches for 93
yards, he and Torrey Smith paired to stretch the field and
allow Joe Flacco to be en route to one of his best
passing games of the season.
Against Florida, the Tigers proved that their offense's diminishing returns had nothing to do with «holding back» or pacing itself; LSU
allowed just 237
yards and 14 points against Florida, and they sacked Gator quarterback Jeff Driskel five times in just 17
pass attempts, but the Tigers lost, 14 - 6.
But oh, what D. Going into the Texas game, the Sooners were first nationally in total defense (146.5
yards allowed per game), first against the rush (39
yards), third against the
pass and second in points surrendered (6.5).
That rule change has
allowed for
passing records to be shattered, including Drew Brees NFL - record 5,476
passing yards last season and Tom Brady's historic 50 - touchdown season back in 2007.
The Horns combined 96 tackles for loss (17th in FBS) with 88
passes defensed (third) and
allowed only 17 plays of 40 - plus
yards (24th).
The current rule
allows offensive linemen to advance three
yards beyond the line of scrimmage on
passing plays.
Diaz's defense made 114 tackles for loss (third in the country) and defensed 92
passes (first) and
allowed only 4.9
yards per play (24th).
Marginal Explosiveness: the difference between a player's IsoPPP ** (
passing, rushing, or receiving) or IsoPPP
allowed (for an individual defender) and the expected IsoPPP value of each play based on down, distance, and
yard line.
Next up is a Ravens defense that has
allowed an additional 9.8 real points and 71
passing yards per game in six outings without No. 1 cornerback Jimmy Smith (Achilles, IR) since the beginning of last season.
Georgia ranks second in the nation in
pass yards per attempt
allowed (5.6), which should come in handy against an Oklahoma offense that ranks first overall in
yards per attempt (12.0) and third in
passing yards per game (367.4)
yards.
Stuckey says: Even without QB Josh Rosen, UCLA should be able to shred a Kansas State
pass defense
allowing 7.6
yards per
pass attempt (92nd in the nation).
Meanwhile, they were good at big - play prevention,
allowing just 13
passes of 30 - plus
yards all year (10th in FBS); that typically coincides with strong explosiveness ratings, but they ranked 55th in
Passing isoPPP (which measures the magnitude of successful plays).
We should also point out that the Giants defense has
allowed a league - high 314.5
passing yards per game, which should mean big things for Ryan Tannehill and the Dolphins offense.
Denver currently ranks 25th in the league in
passing yards per game (225.2), while their defense has
allowed the second fewest points against per game (17.2).
Rob Ryan's defense is
allowing 292.2
passing yards per game and has
allowed at least 26 - points in every game this season.
Georgia has the Chubb Ratio (1:2, via Tennessee's dinged - up secondary
allowing for actual UGA
passing yards) working for them, and has the better defense.
Baltimore ranked fifth in the NFL when it came to
yards allowed per
pass attempt and ninth in opponent passer rating.
All contributed to a defense ranked first in the nation in total defense (236.9
yards per game) and rushing defense (80.5
yards per game); second in scoring defense (12.0 points
allowed); and second in
pass defense (156.4
yards per game).
Denver over 60 - 28 after
allowing more than 250
yards passing in their previous game.
On defense they
allow 3.6
yards per rushing attempt to teams that normally permit 4.1, 5.8
yards per
pass to 6.8 and 4.8
yards per play to 5.6.
Seattle gets 5.2
yards per rush to teams normally
allowing 4.3, 7.3
yards per
pass to 6.8 and 6.2
yards per point to 5.7.