Andrew Luck, who's 4,761
passing yards ranked third last season, opened as the favorite at +375.
In fact, Falk's 4,204
passing yards ranks fifth in the nation this season.
Not exact matches
He threw for nearly 3,400
yards in a defense - friendly conference, and despite 17 interceptions he led the Hoosiers to a No. 23
ranking in
Passing S&P +.
Following a season in which the team made the playoffs despite having an offense
ranked No. 29 in the league in scoring, total
yards, and
passing yards, the Texans offense needs some change.
Rare is the team that has enough time to let downfield
passing plays develop against Georgia's defense, which
ranks second nationally behind Alabama with just 5.58
yards allowed per
pass attempt.
Both have averaged over 200 rushing
yards per game and
rank in the bottom 25 in
pass attempts in the country.
Notre Dame has a little bit more of a
passing game than Navy does, but still relies heavily on the running game, as their 303
yards per game
ranks sixth in the country.
Detroit is still a dangerous threat, however, with a
passing game that
ranks first in the league, averaging 312.5
yards through the air per contest.
Against a Michigan defense that
ranks second in the same category, Trace McSorley completed 17 of 26
passes for 282
yards, one touchdown, and one pick in the Nittany Lions» romp over the Wolverines.
New Orleans»
pass defense was one of the worst in the NFL in 2012,
ranking 31st in opposing
passing yards per game.
Clearly, Miami is focused on boosting its
passing attack, which
ranked No. 26 in the NFL in
passing yards per game in 2012 (198.8).
The Orange own the 21st -
ranked passing offense in the nation, led by quarterback Ryan Nassib, who averages more than 301
yards per game.
Despite Hill's struggles, the Bengals» offense continues to hum along,
ranking 11th in rushing
yards and seventh in
passing yards per game.
Passing S&P + and Oklahoma ranking 100th in passing yards allowed and sixth
Passing S&P + and Oklahoma
ranking 100th in
passing yards allowed and sixth
passing yards allowed and sixth in Def.
He finishes with more than 9,300
passing yards and 2,400 rushing
yards, and in his final two seasons, he led MSU to a 19 - 7 record and what will almost certainly be back - to - back top - 25 F / +
rankings.
A fivesome of junior receivers has combined for 2,797
yards, the line keeps Kiel upright (25th in Adj. Sack Rate), and the Bearcats
rank 14th in both
Passing S&P + and
Passing Downs S&P +.
San Francisco's defensive unit
ranked fourth in the NFL in
passing defense, limiting opposing quarterbacks to just 200.2
yards per game, while also
ranking fourth in rushing defense, holding teams to 94.2
yards per game.
Through three games Jackson
ranks third in the nation in
yards per
pass attempted (11.1) and No. 5 in
yards per rush (9.5), while his 18 TDs through the team's first three games ties the record.
Seattle's
passing offense under Wilson
ranked No. 27 in the NFL, averaging just 189.4
yards per game.
Without much of a rushing game to lean on, they
ranked second in the NFL in
passing yards, and Bledsoe was atop the AFC quarterback rating charts with a gaudy 97.9.
Thanks to an offensive line that reduced the Cavaliers» dangerous
pass rush to a distant distraction and a defense that limited Virginia's rushing attack (
ranked fifth in the nation, with 275.0
yards per game) to just 20
yards, Florida State turned in the dominating performance it had been looking for since a season - opening loss to Miami.
Foles has just the 11th best odds of leading the league in
passing yards but is currently
ranked as the 9th best fantasy QB.
PETRAS HAS THE PEDIGREE: Most analysts
rank quarterback Spencer Petras as tops in Northern California after
passing for 3,036
yards and 33 TDs with only eight interceptions.
The table below shows the odds for each player to lead the league in
passing at Sportsbook.com and compares that to their 2013
passing yards and 2014 Consensus Position
Ranking from Yahoo! Sports.
Last season the Auburn product
ranked 1st amongst all QB's in rushing TD's and 2nd in rushing
yards (trailing Robert Griffin III by 74
yards), however he finished just 13th in
passing yards.
Most analysts
rank quarterback Spencer Petras as tops in Northern California after
passing for 3,036
yards and 33 TDs with only eight interceptions.
The Dawgs
rank 18th in Standard Downs S&P + but seventh in
Passing Downs S&P +; on third down with four or more
yards to go, Fromm is 29 - for - 47 for 499
yards, eight touchdowns, three picks, and a 194.3 passer rating.
Additionally, he had the 11th - best deep - ball passer rating (99.5) and amassed 767
yards on such
passes, which also
ranked 11th in football.
Opponents not named Missouri have averaged a paltry 8.7
yards per completion, and the Dawgs
rank fifth in
Passing S&P +.
Using the formula for rating individual passers, and using net
yards (gross
yards minus sack yardage) in place of total
passing yards, I got the following changes in the
rankings: San Diego and Green Bay, which
ranked 1 - 2 in
pass offense, are replaced by Washington and San Francisco.
That creates a lot of
passing downs, and while Rudock and junior receiver Tevaun Smith (22 catches, 301
yards, 9.1
yards per target on
passing downs) have bailed themselves out, Tennessee's got a vicious
pass rush, one that
ranks fifth in the country in Adjusted Sack Rate.
The Noles
rank 84th in
passing - downs sack rate allowed, but when Francois gets a
pass off on PDs, he's nearly perfect: 18 of 26, 282
yards, no picks.
Jones
ranks among the league's top - five receivers in overall targets, targets inside the 10 -
yard line, and
passes thrown 20 - plus
yards downfield.
It's important to note that these oddsmakers
rankings only examine the odds to lead the league in
passing yards, so the
rankings for mobile quarterbacks are highly skewed.
Opponents averaged over 15
yards per completion, and AFA matched its No. 130
ranking in rushing IsoPPP with a No. 130
ranking in
passing IsoPPP.
Both of these teams give up plenty of free
yards via penalties,
ranking 121st and 122nd overall, and USC should lean on the
pass against Ohio State's No. 1 S&P + rush defense.
Matthew Stafford has the seventh best odds of leading the league in
passing yards; however, he's currently the 14th
ranked quarterback according to ESPN experts.
Anyone who saw Kosar's husking of unbeaten, top -
ranked Nebraska in January's Orange Bowl game — he
passed for a bowl - record 300
yards and two touchdowns in the 31 - 30 upset — would agree that if nothing else, no freshman quarterback ever showed more aplomb under such pressure.
His completion percentage,
passing yards and
passing touchdowns all
rank first among quarterbacks.
What the metrics say: The Bucs defense
ranks dead last in the following categories:
Yards per play,
passing yards, sacks, adjusted sack rate, and opponent third - down conversion.
With a healthy senior year, he could finish with nearly 10,000 career
yards and 60 touchdowns, but Cincinnati's
Passing S&P +
ranking has fallen from 23rd to 76th to 115th over his three seasons.
Georgia
ranks second in the nation in
pass yards per attempt allowed (5.6), which should come in handy against an Oklahoma offense that
ranks first overall in
yards per attempt (12.0) and third in
passing yards per game (367.4)
yards.
Lipscomb may have been asked to do more than he was ready to do in the
passing game, but he averaged 14.9
yards per return and
ranked 33rd in punt return efficiency.
They were aggressive against the run, but it backfired occasionally; they were bend - don't - break against the
pass (with the No. 117 Adj. Sack Rate
ranking to match) but gave up a few too many
passes in the 10 - to 15 -
yard range.
Meanwhile, they were good at big - play prevention, allowing just 13
passes of 30 - plus
yards all year (10th in FBS); that typically coincides with strong explosiveness ratings, but they
ranked 55th in
Passing isoPPP (which measures the magnitude of successful plays).
Denver currently
ranks 25th in the league in
passing yards per game (225.2), while their defense has allowed the second fewest points against per game (17.2).
Add in the fact that the Broncos defense
ranks 27th in the league in
passing yards allowed (254.4 ypg) and that former Pro Bowl wide receiver Percy Harvin should be healthy for the first time this season and it seems probable that Wilson will surpass the 200
yard mark.
On the flip side, Atlanta's defense
ranked 27th in scoring defense (25.4 points / game) and 28th in
passing defense (266.7
yards / game).
Their opponent, the New England Patriots,
ranked third in scoring (27.6 points / game) while boasting a well - balanced attack that included a top - five
passing offense (269.3
yards / game) and a top - ten rushing offense (117.0
yards / game).
During that time he has also
ranked within the top three on three separate occasions, averaging 4728
passing yards per season.