For example, most practitioners, from MCT theorists to Graham and Dodd, believe that there is a primacy of the income account; the balance sheet is virtually ignored by these analysts, who instead concentrate on
the past earnings record or forecasts of future flows, whether earnings flows or cash flows.
Primacy of the income account — forecast future earnings relying heavily on
the past earnings record
Graham & Dodd seem to rely mainly on
the past earnings record.
Further, G&D point out that
the past earnings record of a corporation usually is the best tool for estimating earnings for the years just ahead over a business cycle or growth phase.
Insofar as long - term, future earnings are to be forecast, estimating returns that might be earned on a realistic asset base is probably as good, or better, a tool than is a corporation's
past earnings record, albeit one is not a substitute for the other.
Second, one probably can make as good, or even better, forecasts of future earnings or cash flows, by using net asset value, rather than
the past earnings record, as a starting point.
In addition,
past earnings records, the competitive legal market for younger partners or outstanding specialists, and unusual retirement, death, or capital provisions may have a bearing on the judgment applied in income distribution.
Not exact matches
While
past deviations haven't spelled doom for equities, the impact has rarely been as stark as in the last two months, when American shares lurched to the worst start to a year on
record as companies stepped away from the market while reporting
earnings.
• Assembling of admission lottery data from
past cohorts of charter school applicants in order to estimate impacts on long - term outcomes — such as
earnings, college attendance and home ownership (all based on tax
records).
Given the company's exceptionally strong market position, its track
record in the
past decades, the strong financial fundamentals and the stable growth prospects I am quite optimistic that the company will grow
earnings per share and dividends quite nicely over time.
Time Warner has been pounded over the
past month despite a
record earnings report in early August.
In fact, the cyclically adjusted price - to -
earnings ratio (CAPE) 1 for U.S. equities is at a
record high relative to its
past history — in the 100th percentile2 — while price - to - book (P / B) ratios are in the 96th percentile3 of historical values.
In addition,
records of
past earnings, the competitive legal market for younger partners or outstanding specialists, and unusual provisions involving capital, retirement or death may have a bearing on the judgments applied in income distribution.
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