However, this event is not seen in
all past sea level records and new evidence suggests that ice melting may have begun much earlier.
Not exact matches
The report found, among other things, that 43 of the lower 48 U.S. states have set at least one monthly heat
record since 2010,
sea levels are expected to rise between one and four feet by the end of this century, winter storms have increased in intensity and frequency, and the
past decade was warmer than every previous decade in every part of the country.
«Northern Hemisphere snow cover has decreased and Arctic
Sea ice has been at
record low
levels in the
past three years.»
During Expedition 359, Eberli's team drilled seven holes along the Maldives Archipelago to collect sediments that hold
records of
past sea level and environmental changes during the Neogene, a geological time period that began 23 million years ago.
Our
record is also of interest to climate policy developments, because it opens the door to detailed comparisons between
past atmospheric CO2 concentrations, global temperatures, and
sea levels, which has enormous value to long - term future climate projections.»
A working group known as PALSEA2 (Paleo constraints on
sea level rise) used
past records of local change in
sea level and converted them to a global mean
sea level by predicting how the surface of the Earth deforms due to changes in ice - ocean loading of the crust, along with changes in gravitational attraction on the ocean surface.
See Page 4 - 22, Figure 9: Geomagnetic field intensity
level derived from composite volcanic
records, not
sea floor sediments, for the
past 45 kyr.
A new paper by Levermann et al. in PNAS uses the
record of
past rates of
sea level rise from palaeo archives and numerical computer models to understand how much
sea level rise we can expect per degree of warming in the future.
Some studies have attempted to estimate the statistical relationship between temperature and global
sea level seen in the period for which tide gauge
records exist (the last 2 - 3 centuries) and then, using geological reconstructions of
past temperature changes, extrapolate backward («hindcast»)
past sea -
level changes.
A group of colleagues have succeeded in producing the first continuous proxy
record of
sea level for the
past 2000 years.
Shown is the
past history of
sea level since the year 1700 from proxy data (sediments, purple) and multiple
records from tide gauge measurements.
«This study investigates
past sea level reconstruction (over 1950 — 2003) based on tide gauge
records and EOF spatial patterns from different 2 - D fields.
Mike's work, like that of previous award winners, is diverse, and includes pioneering and highly cited work in time series analysis (an elegant use of Thomson's multitaper spectral analysis approach to detect spatiotemporal oscillations in the climate
record and methods for smoothing temporal data), decadal climate variability (the term «Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation» or «AMO» was coined by Mike in an interview with Science's Richard Kerr about a paper he had published with Tom Delworth of GFDL showing evidence in both climate model simulations and observational data for a 50 - 70 year oscillation in the climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the pattern of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of
past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global
sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measurements).
In my briefings to the Association of Small Island States in Bali, the 41 Island Nations of the Caribbean, Pacific, and Indian Ocean (and later circulated to all member states), I pointed out that IPCC had seriously and systematically UNDERESTIMATED the extent of climate change, showing that the sensitivity of temperature and
sea level to CO2 clearly shown by the
past climate
record in coral reefs, ice cores, and deep
sea sediments is orders of magnitude higher than IPCC's models.
The Arctic's
sea ice pack thawed to its third - lowest summer
level on
record, up slightly from the seasonal melt of the
past two years but continuing an overall decline symptomatic of climate change, U.S. scientists said on Thursday.
But a new paper by Grinsted et al. has found evidence of
past cyclone occurrence in the western Atlantic which impacted the U.S. east coast, evidence which is homogenous over a period of nearly a century, by studying not storm
records, but surges in
sea level recorded at tide gauge stations.
«Carbon choices determine US cities committed to futures below
sea level» «Economic impacts of climate change in Europe:
sea -
level rise» «Future flood losses in major coastal cities» «Forecasting the effects of accelerated
sea -
level rise on tidal marsh ecosystem services» «Coral islands defy
sea -
level rise over the
past century:
Records from a central Pacific atoll»
Extending the
sea level record back over the entire century suggests that the high variability in the rates of
sea level change observed over the
past 20 years were not particularly unusual.
How is
past sea level revealed in the geologic
records?
Here we present an analysis based on
sea -
level data from the altimetry
record of the
past ~ 20 years that separates interannual natural variability in
sea level from the longer - term change probably related to anthropogenic global warming.
«Here we present an analysis based on
sea -
level data from the altimetry
record of the
past ~ 20 years that separates interannual natural variability in
sea level from the longer - term change probably related to anthropogenic global warming... Our results confirm the need for quantifying and further removing from the climate
records the short - term natural climate variability if one wants to extract the global warming signal.»
Consider that
sea levels rose by about 20 cm over the
past 100 years and it is impossible to see this in the historical
record of damage.
Based on proxy
records from ice, terrestrial and marine archives, the LIG is characterized by an atmospheric CO2 concentration of about 290 ppm, i.e., similar to the pre-industrial (PI) value13, mean air temperatures in Northeast Siberia that were about 9 °C higher than today14, air temperatures above the Greenland NEEM ice core site of about 8 ± 4 °C above the mean of the
past millennium15, North Atlantic
sea - surface temperatures of about 2 °C higher than the modern (PI) temperatures12, 16, and a global
sea level 5 — 9 m above the present
sea level17.
George @ 277, the tide gauge
records collated by NOAA, for The Battery, on Manhattan, show a 400 mm rise in
sea level during the
past 160 years.
HS12 uses the oxygen isotope
record in ocean sediments Zachos et al. (2008) to estimate
past changes of
sea level and ocean temperature, and thus obtain a largely empirical estimate of climate sensitivity.
A combination of 33 - year satellite
records, measurements made over the
past century, and long - term proxy analysis suggests Arctic
sea ice may be at its lowest
level for more than 1,000 years.
The increase in the rate of
sea level rise at Stockholm (the longest
record that extends
past 1900) has been based on differencing 100 - year trends from 1774 — 1884 and 1885 — 1985.
When comparing the ancient
past with the modern 15 - site gauge per century trend of the last 30 years, it would take some 2,500 years to reach the 6 - meter higher
sea levels recorded approximately 125,000 years ago at a much lower CO2
level.
In examining the
record of
sea level rise for the
past two millennia — this was the first continuous
sea level reconstruction of the time period, it should be noted — the scientists found that
sea level was relatively stable from 200 BCE to 1000 CE.
Although historical
records indicate that atmospheric CO2 concentrations and
sea surface temperatures have undergone significant oscillations and have exceeded present - day
levels in the
past [3,4], it is the unprecedented rates of change that are fuelling concerns over whether organisms will retain the capacity to mediate vital ecosystem functions and services [5,6].
What are your feelings on the Antarctic
sea ice anamoly and the
record high
level of
sea ice there this
past year.
Based on a small number (~ 25) of high - quality tide gauge
records from stable land regions, the rate of
sea level rise has been estimated as 1.8 mm yr — 1 for the
past 70 years (Douglas, 2001; Peltier, 2001), and Miller and Douglas (2004) find a range of 1.5 to 2.0 mm yr — 1 for the 20th century from 9 stable tide gauge sites.
The Earth's stratigraphic
record of
past sea -
level variations provides fundamental insights into the dynamics of present - day global
sea -
level change.