However if «unknown feedbacks» and other forcings can explain an even greater proportion of
past temperature changes, then researchers would be forced to suggest climate sensitivity to CO2 is much lower.
Because of the divergence, there would be serious doubt about the validity of the proxy data
for past temperature reconstruction.
This slideshow shows how well models predict
past temperature trends, and the extent to which human activity was the primary cause of warming over the last century.
If solar is increased by feedbacks (like cloud cover), that will give the same fit of
past temperature data at the cost of combined GHG + aerosol.
Others figured out ingenious ways to retrieve
past temperatures by studying ancient pollen and fossil shells.
Some of the «errors» are actually in print in climate journals, such as using air bubbles to
determine past temperature in ice cores.
That's because, they say, other studies of
past temperatures also indicate that the late 20th century was unusually warm.
The study found that the mere presence of palms in the fossil record indicates that
past temperatures remained at or above a minimum possible amount (at least 2 to 5 degrees C).
It may take a little
longer past the temperature setting, depending on how thick your chicken pieces are & how many you are preparing at once.
Comparing that data allows scientists to
derive past temperature data for several centuries before accurate thermometer measurements were available.
The case for anthropogenic global warming originally came from studies of climate mechanics, not from reconstructions of
past temperatures seeking a cause.
He has been collecting pictures of California measurement sites near his home, and trying to correlate urban building around the measurement point
with past temperature trends.
A number of authors have estimated past glacier net mass loss
using past temperature change with present day glacier covered areas and mass balance sensitivities (Table 11.4).
Esper, J., Cook E.R. and Schweingruber F.H. (2002) Low - Frequency Signals in Long Tree - Ring Chronologies for Reconstructing
Past Temperature Variability, Science, 295, 2250 - 2253.
If the IPCC had truly examined
past temperature developments and compared them to solar data, they'd have seen there is something remarkable there.
Subscribers to trees as temperature proxies believe that they provide a picture of
past temperatures at times when thermometers were not present.