But the current climatic warming is occurring much more rapidly than
past warming events.
But the paleoclimate record also reveals that the current climatic warming is occurring much more rapidly than
past warming events.
6)
The past warming events again seem to have been ignored.
This is now generally rejected as an explanation for sudden
past warming events.
The fascinating thing that seems to be emerging is, as we look at... the 1,000 - year timescales going back to 183 million years, other
past warming events where we get these black mudstones, we find that whatever the starting conditions, amazingly you get the same outcome.
And the answer every time appears to be, if you do this, if you keep on doing what we're doing now, we will repeat, in all essential details,
the past warming event — at which stage geologists can take a really lofty view — which unless you've got grandchildren you tend to do — and you say, well, we don't care.
Not exact matches
As I've participated in conferences and
events over the
past couple years, I've noticed that some of the wisest and
warmest people I've met have been Mennonites, so I've been trying to learn more about their theology and practice.
McGary made headlines this
past weekend at Venice Beach while playing in the Boost Mobile Elite 24
Event, shattering the backboard with a powerful dunk during
warm ups.
In the
past two years,
warm weather disrupted the tradition of playing on the lake, so the
event was moved to Lippold Park.
She uses this knowledge of plants, and specifically their leaf waxes, to document
past changes in plant life and rainfall patterns, including studies on the expansion of grasslands in Africa and the revegetation of Antarctica during a prior
warming event.
In the interest of our future world, scientists must seek to understand the complexities of linked natural
events and field observations that are revealed in the geologic record of
past warmer climates.
In the
past, major bleaching
events were most likely to happen when El Niño brought bands of
warmer water to the tropics.
«Our study is important because tropical cyclone intensity forecasts for several
past hurricanes over the Caribbean Sea have under - predicted rapid intensification
events over
warm oceanic features,» said Johna Rudzin, a PhD student at the UM Rosenstiel School and lead author of the study.
«Petrenko and his co-authors studied a rapid
warming event from the
past that serves as a modern - day analog,» Sparrow says.
However, scientists say it is important to study the PETM because it is perhaps the best
past event by which to understand the potential impacts of global climate
warming seen today.
The authors write that their observation that the modern collapse of the LIS - B is a unique
event supports the hypothesis that the current
warming trend in the northwestern Weddell Sea is longer and bigger than
past warm episodes.
A new study has found that Great Barrier Reef (GBR) corals were able to survive
past bleaching
events because they were exposed to a pattern of gradually
warming waters in the lead up to each episode.
For the first, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh of the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) used a statistical analysis of historic rainfall observations that looked at how the frequency of such an
event has changed from the
past, before a
warming signal clearly emerged, to the present.
If proxy data can confirm that sea ice was indeed the major player in
past abrupt climate - change
events, it seems less likely that such dramatic abrupt changes will occur due to global
warming, when extensive sea - ice cover will not be present.
«November is already off to a really
warm start for much of the contiguous U.S. and Decembers tend to be very
warm when we look at
past strong El Niño
events,» Crouch said.
Temperature during the winter as a whole have generally decreased over the
past two decades, likely as a result of climate change, but the sensitivity of ozone loss to the exact timing of March
warming events makes ozone depletion a much more variable quantity.
Flood defence plans based only on
past events will become obsolete as our
warming atmosphere delivers much more rain and much more often.
As temperatures continue to rise the corals will experience more and more of these
events: 1 °C of
warming so far has already caused four
events in the
past 19 years.»
If proxy data can confirm that sea ice was indeed the major player in
past abrupt climate - change
events, it seems less likely that such dramatic abrupt changes will occur due to global
warming, when extensive sea - ice cover will not be present.
I am not sure I understand Andy's question number (5), but «nature» involves many species: even if some parts of «nature» may survive global
warming at the end (as parts of it have survived natural climate change
events in the
past), many parts of it are already going extinct and we are to blame this time around.
But given what I understand to be true, that greater
warming has occured than in the distant
past than is currently occurring, how can we be so sure we are examining all the right 20th century
events, since these earlier
warmings were clearly caused by
events other than human driven carbon dioxide emissions?
The British Hydrological Society's Chronology of extreme weather
events shows all too clearly that we have had (in the U.K.) much more severe flooding in Britain, and long before the recent
warming trend set in, for centuries
past.
Sarah Myhre is a climate and ocean scientist with expertise in marine paleoecological responses to
past events of climate
warming.
As a public scholar with expertise in paleoclimate science, I communicate alarming, difficult information about the consequences to Earth and ocean systems that have come with
past events of abrupt climate
warming.
From brand new «neutral» discussions that have concluded within a matter of weeks that global
warming is real to Geological Society taking a stand that the current situation could be comparable to previous
events in the
past that were associated with periods of
warming.
Ultimately, we show that present temperature abnormalities are given undue weight and lead to an overestimation of the frequency of similar
past events, thereby increasing belief in and concern for global
warming.
The
warming is also consistent with climate sensitivities estimated from
warming events in the historical
past, and in the paleo record.
In summary, there is little new about climate science in the report, and nothing at all new about attribution of
past warming and extreme weather
events to human activity, projections of future
warming and its effects, or potential for catastrophic changes.
What is more,
past global
warming has included both minor and mass extinction
events (e.g. PETM, Permian - Triassic extinction) so even if current
warming is in line with what's repeatedly been experienced in the
past, it doesn't follow that either the process of
warming or the end result are desireable from the perspective of maintaining an advanced, affluent, complex human society based on creating reliable surpluses of food for 7.5 + billion people.
In that
event, in the
past 15 years global
warming at the Earth's surface has continued at the not particularly alarming rate of 0.116 K per decade.
The earth has been
warming for at least 15000 years and will, based on
past events, get much
warmer before rapidly cooling down again.
How do we know what happened in the upper stmosphere in the
past warming / increased CO2
events?
«Does the current global
warming signal reflect a natural cycle»... We found 342 natural
warming events (NWEs) corresponding to this definition, distributed over the
past 250,000 years....
«Paul Ehrlich has never been able to learn from
past experience,» he said, then launched into the Cornucopian line on the greenhouse crisis — how, even in the unlikely
event that doomsayers are right about global
warming, humanity will find some way to avert climate change or adapt, and everyone will emerge the better for it.
A cursory analysis of the
past 10,000 years global reconstructions quickly shows that there has not been a single significant abrupt
warming event.
Yes, global
warming events have occurred naturally in the
past, and sea level rose as a consequence, but that doesn't tell us anything about the causes of the current global
warming.
I see very strong parallels with
past global
warming events and mass extinctions (Permian, Triassic, Toarcian, Cretaceous OAEs, PETM et al).
The link between adverse impacts such as more wildfires, ecosystem changes, extreme weather
events etc. and their mitigation by reducing greenhouse gas emissions hinges on detecting unusual
events for at least the
past century and then actually attributing them to human caused
warming.
- Notice, during the current cold phase, there has been permanent ice caps in Antarctica for only 10 million years and at the North Pole for less than 5 million years (demonstrating that ice caps are a rare
event in Earth's history, which shows we are in a cold phase)- Notice that the planet has had no ice caps — therefore it has been much
warmer than now — for about 80 % of the
past 500 million years.
Over the
past three decades, most natural disasters (90 %) have been caused by climate - related
events, they say, and extreme climatic
events are likely to become more frequent because of global
warming.
«The authors write that «the Mediterranean region is one of the world's most vulnerable areas with respect to global
warming,»... they thus consider it to be extremely important to determine what impact further temperature increases might have on the storminess of the region... produced a high - resolution record of paleostorm
events along the French Mediterranean coast over the
past 7000 years... from the sediment bed of Pierre Blanche Lagoon [near Montpellier, France]... nine French scientists, as they describe it, «recorded seven periods of increased storm activity at 6300 - 6100, 5650 - 5400, 4400 - 4050, 3650 - 3200, 2800 - 2600, 1950 - 1400, and 400 - 50 cal yr BP,» the latter of which intervals they associate with the Little Ice Age.
These spikey
events seem more frequent, particularly in the
past few decades as exponential changes in global
warming finally have reached a tipping point.
The European Union's Copernicus Climate Change Service said on Thursday that
past year was the
warmest on record by a wide margin, stoked by greenhouse gases and an El Nino weather
event that released heat from the Pacific Ocean.
Their two main results are a confirmation that current global surface temperatures are hotter than at any time in the
past 1,400 years (the general «hockey stick» shape, as shown in Figure 1), and that while the Medieval
Warm Period (MWP) and Little Ice Age (LIA) are clearly visible
events in their reconstruction, they were not globally synchronized
events.
«During the
past year, the American people have been served up an unprecedented parade of environmental alarmism by the media and entertainment industry, which links every possible weather
event to global
warming.