Estimates of surface temperature changes further back in time must therefore make use of the few long available instrumental records or historical documents and natural archives or «climate proxy» indicators, such as tree rings, corals, ice cores and lake sediments, and historical documents to reconstruct
patterns of past surface temperature change.
Not exact matches
The orbiter has found further evidence that Mars was once wetter than it is now, with observations
of surface patterns that could only have been made by flowing liquid, most likely carbon dioxide or water, in its recent geological
past.
This approach may not be useful for quantitative reconstructions
of past spatial
patterns of climate fields, e.g.
surface temperature, sea level pressure, drought, etc..
«Spatially resolved global reconstructions
of annual
surface temperature
patterns over the
past six centuries are based on the multivariate calibration
of widely distributed high - resolution proxy climate indicators.
Even while identifying some
of the observed change in climatic behaviour, such as a 0.4 C increase in
surface temperature over the
past century, or about 1 mm per year sea level rise in Northern Indian Ocean, or wider variation in rainfall
patterns, the document notes that no firm link between the do...
Mann even showed the same hockey stick
pattern * without * the tree ring proxies that some people had objected to: «Proxy - based reconstructions
of hemispheric and global
surface temperature variations over the
past two millennia»
The
pattern of temperature change through the layers
of the atmosphere, with warming near the
surface and cooling higher up in the stratosphere, further confirms that it is the buildup
of heat - trapping gases (also known as «greenhouse gases») that has caused most
of the Earth's warming over the
past half century.
Mann even showed the same hockey stick
pattern * without * the tree ring proxies that many people had objected to: «Proxy - based reconstructions
of hemispheric and global
surface temperature variations over the
past two millennia»
«How can we use the spatial
pattern of the
surface temperature evolution to help determine how much
of the warming over the
past century was forced by increases in the well - mixed greenhouse gases (WMGGs: CO2, CH4, N2O, CFCs), assuming as little as possible about the non-WMGG forcing and internal variability.»
Comparison
of empirical evidence with proxy - based reconstructions demonstrates that natural factors appear to explain relatively well the major
surface temperature changes
of the
past millennium through the 19th century (including hemispheric means and some spatial
patterns).
The
pattern of modeled
surface temperature changes induced by solar variability is well correlated with observed global warming over the first half
of the 20th century, but not with the more rapid warming seen over the
past three decades.