I've addressed this «
pause in warming question» at this blog earlier, and... Continue reading →
Not exact matches
The deceleration
in rising temperatures during this 15 - year period is sometimes referred to as a «
pause» or «hiatus»
in global
warming, and has raised
questions about why the rate of surface
warming on Earth has been markedly slower than
in previous decades.
I think the interesting
question raised (though not definitively answered) by this line of work is the extent to which some of the
pause in warming mid-century might have been more due to decadal ocean variability rather than aerosols than is commonly thought.
Dr. Swanson: Another
question — This prediction of a
pause in the
warming seems somewhat similar to the prediction of Keenlyside et al., although, as I understand it, theirs is based simply on a direct model prediction (with an attempt, whether successful or not, to use realistic initial conditions
in initializing their model).
While the report made a strong case for human - caused climate change, most media coverage focused on the
question of whether there has been a «
pause»
in global
warming.
And I don't often
question your reasoning w / r / t the science, per se, but on your arguments w / r / t the social aspects of the debate and on a few occasions, the rhetoric of your scientific arguments (such as your acceptance of arguments about a «
pause»
in «global
warming.»
Pingback: One of the most important
questions we face: when will the
pause in global
warming end?
If the «
pause» is causing climate scientists to
question the reliability of the climate models, then this should have led the IPCC authors to reduce their confidence
in their claim that most of the global
warming since the 1950s was man - made.
The crucial
question, however, is: How will the IPCC address the
pause in global
warming?
Assuming for the sake of argument that «the
pause» is not an instrument error and the troposphere hasn't gotten any
warmer in 16 years then this raises the
question of how ocean heat content could be rising which, according to ARGO, at least the upper half of the ocean is accumulating thermal energy.
So the key
question is convincing why the mechanism causing the
warming between the two earlier
pauses was not operational
in the
warming between the two latter
pauses.
Everyone seems to be jumping on the bandwagon to say that internal ocean variability is causing the
pause, but this leads to
questions about the role of oceans
in the
warming of the last quarter of the 20th century.
This lapse of temperature data of the ocean's interior led to the scientific
question over whether the world hit a «global
warming pause»
in the early 2000s, which fueled debates
in congress over whether climate change is real.
«The Met Office Hadley Centre has written three reports that address the recent
pause in global
warming and seek to answer the following
questions» The reports are available from the link below;
Those adjustments have been
questioned by some who reject mainstream climate science and have tried to claim there has been a
pause in global
warming.
As well as
questioning why the «
pause» doesn't get a mention
in this post on the history of climate science (the RSS website reference @ 25 is likely this post by Carl Mears that certainly makes no mention of the «
warming hiatus» being «15 to 18 + years» long), DAN SAGE @ 25 talks of two other topics covered elsewhere by SkS - the CO2 - lagging - temperature saga and the controversal lowering of the bottom of the IPCC ECS range
in AR5 (which does not justify talk of ECS being «now... 1degree C, or even a little less», an extremely low value range that has long been proposed by contrarians).