Not exact matches
Internal studies by a group of analysts within Shell known as the «scenarios» team had concluded that global
demand for oil might
peak in as little as a decade — essentially tomorrow in an industry that plans in quarter - century increments.
The International Energy Agency, which says that global
oil demand could
peak around 2020 if governments adopted particularly green policies, predicts that even if it happened,
oil still would account
for 23 % of total global energy in 2040, down from 32 % in 2016.
The new Vito is right - sized, the Shell team hopes,
for a world of
peaking oil demand.
With other parts of the world already in turmoil, fallout from Syria could upend the dynamic, as the
peak summer season
for oil demand approaches, keeping
oil prices in a new, elevated range.
Shell can both comfortably pay shareholders and invest to ensure its survival after
demand for oil peaks.
The latest
peak demand forecast comes from BP, which is predicting that the
demand for oil will
peak before 2040.
Demand for oil in developed nations
peaked in 2005, and changing demographics and improved motor - vehicle efficiency guarantee that it won't hit those heights again, IHS Cambridge Energy Research Associates says in a new report.
Keep that in mind next time someone tells you that
oil demand will not
peak for decades.
We find that historical trends in
oil use lead to a
peak in
demand for oil by well before mid-century.
Internal studies by a group of analysts within Shell known as the «scenarios» team had concluded that global
demand for oil might
peak in as little as a decade — essentially tomorrow in an industry that plans in quarter - century increments.
For example,
oil demand peaks just before 2020 at 88 mb / d, only 4 mb / d above current levels, and declines to 81 mb / d in 2035.
The CTI report says there will be no need
for new coal mines,
oil demand will
peak around 2020, and growth in gas will disappoint industry expectations if world leaders agree and then implement the policies needed to meet the UN commitment to keep climate change below 2 ˚C − the threshold agreed by most governments.
Global
demand for oil and coal will most likely
peak and could decline over the next two decades.
Leaving aside the impact of the
oil and gas methane rule itself, a steadily escalating $ 100 / ton CO2 regulatory penalty post — 2020 will make building any new gas power plants — except as
demand peak cover
for renewables — a fool's game.
For example, that more efficient use of
oil will lead to increased
demand, and will not slow the arrival or the effects of
peak oil.