So am I right in assuming that the RSS data is likely to break the»98
peak temperature record sometime around April 2016?
Not exact matches
South African
temperatures reached historic
peaks and 2015 was the driest year since
records began in 1904.
You just put in under your tongue and it will take your overall body
temperature as well as
record the safe and unsafe days, ovulation
peak as well as due dates.
Mildrexler and his team focused on the annual maximum for each year as
recorded by the Aqua satellite, which crosses the equator in the early afternoon as
temperatures approach their daily
peak.
The researchers found that due to warm spring
temperatures on Kodiak, the berries were developing fruit weeks earlier, at the same time as the
peak of the salmon migration; 2014 was one of the warmest years on the island since
record - keeping began 60 years ago.
The succession of
temperature records has also been accompanied by other notable climate
records, including thebiggest ever year - to - year jump in carbon dioxide levels at the Mauna Loa observatory in Hawaii, as well as a
record low winter Arctic sea ice
peak.
It reached a
peak earlier this year, when the UEA's Climatic Research Unit (CRU) turned down freedom of information (FOI) requests for its
temperature records.
The searing heat even broke the all - time state
temperature record for the month of June, with two locations — Chief Joseph Dam and Walla Walla — both hitting 113 °F on Sunday, when the event
peaked, according to the National Weather Service office in Spokane.
Forecasters with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and Columbia University said in their August update that
temperatures in that region could reach more than 3.5 °F above normal when this event
peaks in the winter, something only
recorded three times in the 65 years of
record - keeping, including the 1997 - 1998 event (as well as 1982 - 1983 and 1972 - 1973).
Figure 6: a) spectral power density periodogram of Vostok
temperature - proxy
records over the Holocene for 12,000 years showing six
peaks.
Notice how difficult it is to correlate any of the the various
peaks and troughs to the global
temperature record.
The tiny scrap of data to which you refer are the satellite
temperature records from 1978, which was the year of the global
temperature trough following the previous
peak in the 1940's.
Japan saw its all - time national
record beaten when the
temperature peaked at 41.0 °C (105.8 °F) at Shimanto on August 12th (see this blog post for details not only about the Japanese
record but for the Chinese
records as well).
There is a difference between
peaks and valleys in noisy processes (1998 surface air
temperature, 2007
record minimum ice, or shipping at a few small areas on the edges of the Arctic ocean) and CO2 forcing driven trends, especially when different measures.
I would suggest comparing
peak to
peak average
temperature captures during weighted El - Nino events (during the time they occur, if they can be compared equally this would be a telling graph), instead of considering year to year
records as a means of reducing ENSO effects on the
temperature record, ENSO being largely a heat exchange between air and sea causing great changes in cloud distribution world wide.
Japanese Naval
Records indicate a fleet navigated a completely ice - free Arctic Ocean at the
peak of the Medieval Warm Period, so total melting is nothing new, however unlikely at current
temperatures.
That coincided with the period of
peak demand a very hot day (near
record temperatures).
Easterbrook merely appended the UAH
temperature record to very early 2009 from the
peak of the 2008 El Nino.
If you have a global heat
record in an ENSO neutral year (like 2017), that
record is likely close to the actual underlying
temperature trend (just like 2014)-- while the heat
record of 2016 (El Niño dominated) is a
peak superimposed on that trend.
Checking
temperature records shows that June 1988 was indeed a warm
peak, of the 1988 El Nino.
If you use HADCRUT
temperature record for the Southern Hemisphere from 1850 it is possible to discern a
peak in 1880, 60 years before the 1940
peak, and 120 years before 2000 when the infamous «global cooling» period, 2002 - 08, kicks in.
Anthropogenic warming in the post — war period was some 0.4 degrees K. 1944 and 1998 being the
peaks of 2 successive 20 to 30 year warm Pacific Ocean regimes — as seen in both sea surface and surface
temperature records.
David, referencing the latest updated Ed Hawkins graphic you've posted here, let's look at how graphical spin doctoring might be applied as it concerns a series of recurring
peak temperature years, each of which might be factually described as «the hottest year on
record.»
Anthropogenic warming in the post — war period was some 0.4 degrees K — 1944 and 1998 being the
peaks of 2 successive 20 to 30 year Pacific Ocean regimes — as seen in surface
temperature records.
«The mid-20th century
temperature «bump» (
peaking circa 1940) is an interesting feature of the
temperature record.
Indeed, we point out specifically that the 1940s
peak in the
temperature record is not matched in the forced component of our simulations regardless of the solar forcing used.
The
temperature record shows a
peak of about 0.2 degr.C around 1942.
Based on the Vostok
record, Earth should about now be stabilizing (briefly in geological terms) at an anomaly of about 3ºC ± 1ºC, the
temperature of the preceding four
peaks.
Maximum
temperatures of 35 to 40 °C were repeatedly
recorded and
peak temperatures climbed well above 40 °C (André et al., 2004; Beniston and Díaz, 2004).
With 1998 either being the hottest or one of the hottest (dependent on which
temperature record set one works with) years in
recorded history, a constant refrain has been «there has been no warming since...» (or, for awhile, since 1998 was such a
peak (aberration), «there has been cooling»).
Here are a couple of striking numbers from the data: in the decade from 2004 to 2013, worldwide climate - related deaths (including droughts, floods, extreme
temperatures, wildfires, and storms) plummeted to a level 88.6 percent below that of the
peak decade, 1930 to 1939.2 The year 2013, with 29,404 reported deaths, had 99.4 percent fewer climate - related deaths than the historic
record year of 1932, which had 5,073,283 reported deaths for the same category.
I realise the AMO will also have been affected by solar input, but given the AMO varies by 2C or so in the longer term, and the residual calculated by Hathaway et al is only 0.5 C or so from
peak to trough, it would seem that after allowing for the solar effect on the AMO there wouldn't be much room for any co2 warming effect in the Armagh
temperature record after the calcs were done.
If tree - ring
temperature reconstructions have the effect of ironing out
peaks and valleys — and you seem to agree they do — then appending an instrument
record that happens to correspond to a
peak, will always yield a hockey stick shape.
The El Niño
peak in 1998 and La Niña trough in 2008 in particular are much more evident in the satellite data sets than in the surface
temperature record.
NASA revealed that
temperatures last month
peaked above the previous
record set five years ago.
Over the last few summers,
record temperatures have pushed the grid in Texas, the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast to its limits during
peak times.
The satellite temps are more sensitive (higher swings) to ENSO and yearly variation than the surface
temperatures, and the 5 - year average for 1982 (1979 - 1984) is one of the highest
peaks above trend for the UAH
record.
I
recorded collector
temperatures over the
peak of the stagnation and also took some thermal camera pictures of the outside of the glazing and surrounding areas on the house.
Prior to this however we had an interesting and substantial «hump»
peaking around 1730 that terminated the coldest period of the Little Ice age with an abrupt rise in
temperature over several decades of some 1.9 C unequalled in the
record before or since.
From a scientific point of view the exact execution and framing could be criticized on certain aspects (e.g. ECS is linearly extrapolated instead of logarithmically; the interpretation that recent
record warmth are not
peaks but rather a «correction to the trend line» depends strongly on the exact way the endpoints of the observed
temperature are smoothed; the effect of non-CO2 greenhouse gases is excluded from the analysis and discussion), but the underlying point, that more warming is in store than we're currently seeing, is both valid and very important.
This collusion can be proved by the presence of shared, computer - generated noise
peaks in their published
temperature records they did not know of until I pointed them out publicly.
Just for one prominent example, when NOAA and / or NASA cite 2014 as being the hottest year on
record, in a context of stating their official positions concerning climate change — as were 1998, 2005, and 2010 similarly cited — then for purposes of verifying the AR5 model ensemble, what they are really saying is that the trend of
peak hottest years is what matters most to them as climate scientists, not the central trend of observed
temperatures.
Examination of the
temperature record over this period shows a slight cooling,
peaking in 1992 - 1993, but these
temperatures were certainly not â $ ˜unprecedentedâ $ ™, nor did they exceed the bounds of observed variability, yet it is well accepted that the cooling was attributable to the eruption.
California's
record warmest year occurs at the
peak of a sustained, long - term warming trend in the state over the past century or so — the same period over which the Earth's global mean
temperature has risen by 1.5 ° F.
The observation that led to his conclusion was that in the ice core
records during interglacials methane rises to a
peak and then decreases as
temperature rises and falls.
And 2016 may well provide an unprecedented third surface
temperature record in a row, as the influence of the current super El Nino will likely
peak in the first half of this year.
But the current uptick seems to
peak around 1940 if we trust the recent
temperature record and assume its comparable to the ice core data.
As a result of the high
temperatures today, it is expected that the state's
peak load will be 32,400 MWs, approaching the
record set on July of 2013 of 33,955 MWs.