«The history of
currency pegs is that they are susceptible to
changes in economic fundamentals that warrant a completely different level in the exchange rate,» said Neil MacKinnon, global macro strategist at VTB Capital.
As long China
pegs its
currency, it's net capital account outflow is unlikely to
change, because
changes in reserves are simply a function of the net flows arising from the combination of the current account and the non-PBoC part of the capital account.