Sentences with phrase «per cent swing»

And it's long been high on the Conservatives target list requiring little more than a 3.5 per cent swing to overturn Kramer's 3,700 seat majority.

An Ipsos Mori poll of the marginals for Reuters, just out, but conducted between 30 March and 5 April, roughly translates into a 5.5 per cent swing from Labour to Conservatives, equivalent to about an eight point lead for the Conservatives over Labour nationally.

Cameron requires an awesome 7 per cent swing from Labour to Conservative to win this election.

Voting intention Our poll shows in these marginals the Tories are ahead of Labour by 43 per cent to 36 per cent - that's a mirror image of Labour's victories in these seats and a YouGov analysis suggests it amounts to a 9 per cent swing to the Tories from Labour and a Conservative government with an overall majority of 60 - 70 seats.

7:26 pm: Arafura is looking like a CLP gain with Francis Maralampuwi Xavier enjoying a 28 per cent swing after preferences.

The 4 per cent swing to the Tories in the key seat of Nuneaton at about 2.30 am brought the nightmare scenario of the BBC exit poll a decisive step closer to reality.

In a brilliant 1982 article in the British Journal of Political Science Curtice and Steed showed how by the mid-1970s, instead of a net 18 seats changing hands for every one per cent swing, as the Cube Law would suggest, only 12 seats, or even fewer, switched.

«This is the most marginal seat in the country - it needs just a 0.2 per cent swing to go to the Conservatives.

That relationship deteriorated even further in the wake of a recent local council by - election result which saw an 11 per cent swing to Labour.

He or she needs a 5 per cent swing from 1992 if the party is to win an overall majority, more than it has achieved in any post-war election.

Even after the boundary review a 1 per cent swing from 1992 could be enough to deny the Tories an overall majority.

22:56 - That being said, Prof John Curtice, who is basically the oracle for this stuff, is saying the four per cent swing to Labour in that part of the country was about what that exit poll predicted.

Local loyalty to Ian Gibson, who was perceived as being a victim of the expenses witchhunt, helping her achieve a 16.9 per cent swing from left to right.

There was a four per cent swing to Labour which gained 38 % of the vote.

Conservatives won the seat on a 7 per cent swing (and won the subsequent general election on 5.5 per cent swing).

Labour won the seat on a 17 per cent swing (and won the subsequent general election on a 10 per cent swing).

And the swings also looked to be lower in Scotland and Wales - in Vale of Clwyd, 138th on their list of targets, Labour held on with only a 3.5 per cent swing to the Tories.

Smith lost her Redditch seat around 4.30 am, after suffering a 9 per cent swing to the Conservatives, amid speculation that the expenses scandal had helped turn voters against her.

However, the Tories did take Vale of Glamorgan in South Wales, with a 6 per cent swing.

The solicitor - general, Vera Baird, lost her Redcar seat - where the Corus plant was a major casualty of the recession - on a 21 per cent swing.

We got a five per cent swing to us - it wasn't enough.

«However, we substantially cut Labour's majority and achieved a 13 per cent increase in our share of the vote and a 5 per cent swing against an entirely negative campaign on local issues from the Labour Party.»

Former Lib Dem MP Susan Kramer lost with 25,370 votes (42.8 %) in a seven per cent swing.

Labour has won a by - election in Feltham and Heston with a solid eight per cent swing from the Tories.

Mr Joyce suffered a seven per cent swing away from Labour to the SNP in 2010, but maintains a majority of over 15 %.

Stephen Doughty won the Cardiff South poll with a comfortable majority in the notionally safe Labour seat with an impressive eight per cent swing away from the Conservatives.

Mr Salmond rose from third place with a 20 per cent swing to win his seat in Gordon.

Jim Knight - Labour The work and pensions secretary became another high - profile casualty when he lost his seat of Dorset South with a 9.3 per cent swing to the Conservatives.

Jacqui Smith - Labour Former home secretary, Jacqui Smith, was ousted from her Redditch seat, with a 9.2 per cent swing to the Conservatives.

Liberal Democrat Simon Wood took the seat with a majority of just 310, a four per cent swing from Labour to Lib Dem.

They had a seven per cent swing against the Coalition.

Labour MPs are understood to have been told today that Remain needs a a 3 per cent swing among Labour voters to win.

He claimed 40 per cent of the vote at the 2005 election but is holding the country's most marginal seat - a 0.2 per cent swing would see it go to the Tories.

Enfield Southgate 1997Portillo losing Enfield Southgate on a massive 17.4 per cent swing to Labour's Stephen Twigg epitomised just how badly the Conservatives had lost that election.

His research focuses on how he won the Labour seat of Enfield Southgate on an 8.7 per cent swing at the last election, and on similar successes across the country.

Not exact matches

The S&P 500 has fallen 1 per cent amid turbulent daily price swings since March 1, the day Trump said he intended to levy tariffs on steel and aluminum imports.

To protect itself from price swings, WestJet has hedged roughly 20 per cent of its planned jet fuel needs for the year through futures contracts, which allow it to buy fuel at set prices down the road.

This acceleration is partly due to the very expansionary monetary and fiscal policy settings that have been in place for some time, with the federal funds rate at 1 per cent, and the federal fiscal balance swinging from a surplus of 2 1/2 per cent of GDP in 2000 to a 3 1/2 per cent deficit in 2003.

Power originates with a dedicated few; Jan Smuts estimated that if 5 per cent of any body of people is wholly convinced about anything, that number can swing the rest.

Treasury Wine Estates chief executive Mike Clarke will start swinging the axe within the nation's biggest winemaker on Monday as 5 per cent of the workforce is culled in the first phase of an earnings turnaround plan.

Although Scotland never got their equalising goal, they did improve on the first half's solitary shot on target and three total attempts with a further two on target and eight in total, as well as a swing in possession, from 43 - 57 per cent in favour of Costa Rica to 59 - 41 per cent to the home side.

Just one per cent of the electorate - less than half a million voters in marginal swing seats - determined the outcome of the last general election.

Labour is up ten per cent on last time, but only with a 2.1 % swing to Labour from the Tories.

Once you take all those people away, you are left with just eight per cent of people who are not already voting Tory and for whom the issue has at least the potential to swing their vote.

Swings from Tory to Labour of ten per cent are visible around the country.

It was a swing of 6.9 per cent to the Tory candidate Nicola Blackwood.

Bill Rammell - Labour The armed forces minister also lost his seat of Harlow to the Conservatives after a swing of 5.9 per cent.

Barring a substantial shift in the last few days of campaigning — which seems unlikely given that 91 per cent of Labour voters say they probably will not change their minds — we can expect a swing from the Liberal Democrats to Labour of around 8 per cent since the general election.

In May we had a huge swing in Crawley — nine per cent — and missed winning it by only thirty seven votes.

A 23 % lead from 2013 has turned into a near - six per cent reverse - a massive swing of around 15 % to the Tories.