Green vertical bar is estimated 95
percent confidence range (two standard deviations) for annual temperature change.
The 95
percent confidence range in this study was between about 1 and 7 °C equilibrium sensitivity, so very low and very high climate sensitivities could not be ruled out, but are relatively unlikely, based on the historical record.
Additionally, the GWPF report uses 68
percent confidence ranges throughout, so the 2.2 and 4.8 °C PALEOSENS paleoclimate estimate is inconsistent with the GWPF low sensitivity conclusions.
Not exact matches
The
range of plausible scores in Figure 1 is called a «95
percent confidence interval,» meaning that we have 95
percent confidence that the teacher's true value - added score lies in the interval.
d The emissions
range presented by Canada has a different
confidence level: 95, 90 and 85
percent for CO2, CH4 and N2O, respectively.
It is the evidence evaluated from the combined results that has led to the current estimate climate sensitivity
range of about 2 - 4.5 C per CO2 doubling, typically with 90
percent confidence limits.
The right - hand side of the IPCC AR5
range is actually the 90 % upper bound (the IPCC does not actually state the value for the upper 95
percent confidence bound of their estimate).
The
range of 90 %
confidence is quite narrow during cold phase for exactly 2 U.S. hurricanes, giving us a high degree of
confidence that the probability is close to 26
percent.
For example, the probability
range of 2 or more U.S. hurricanes during El Niño (with 90 %
confidence) is 25 to 31
percent.