I think a 50/50 small and large value allocation will produce a 10 to 12
percent return over the long term.
Not exact matches
Looking at annual price
returns over the past 60 years, Bloomberg data show that annual price
returns have been roughly 5
percent when the starting valuation on the S&P 500 was above the
long -
term median, roughly 16.5 x trailing earnings.
It makes me somewhat more confident that overall inflation will
return to our 2
percent inflation objective
over the medium
term as
long as the economic growth that I expect actually materializes.
Many people tout the virtues of stock investing, especially because history shows that the stock market has provided one of the greatest sources of
long -
term wealth, with compounded
returns averaging 10
percent per year
over the past 100 years.
Rising stock markets — the S&P 500 has tripled since reaching a low in March 2009 and
over the last 10 years, the largest public pension plans have earned an average
return of 7.45
percent, broadly in line with the median
long -
term goal of 8
percent — have boosted pension plan coffers to the highest level of assets they've ever had.
This is because the benefit of front - loading the
returns to experience outweighs the lost 10
percent salary increment
over the
long term.
Stocks typically
return about 10
percent per year
over the
long term, according to the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority.
Returns are strong - more than 20
percent over the following year - in cases where a growing number of
long -
term interest rates and central bank rates are falling or are unchanged.
On average, the stock market has
returned 10
percent annually
over the
long term, but this rate is closer to 6
percent when you adjust for inflation.
The $ 102,000 investment in a four - year college yields a rate of
return of 15.2
percent per year — more than double the average
return over the last 60 years experienced in the stock market (6.8
percent), and more than five times the
return to investments in corporate bonds (2.9
percent), gold (2.3
percent),
long -
term government bonds (2.2
percent), or housing (0.4
percent).
A study in the UK by Anderson and Brooks [2006] found that a
long -
term average (eight - years) of earnings increased the value premium (i.e. the spread in
returns between value and growth stocks) by 6
percent over one - year earnings.
At a time of 6
percent inflation, stocks would need to provide a nominal
return of
over 12
percent for the average
long -
term return to apply (as it must if productivity remains roughly equal to what it has been...
Over the past 81 years, then, reinvested dividend income accounted for approximately 95
percent of the compound
long -
term return earned by the companies in the S&P 500.
However, from a mindful perspective, it feels like nothing much is lost by taking a reasonable chance of suffering a 41 % draw down instead of a 32 % drawdown, and something is clearly gained by having a good chance of an added
percent or so of
return over the
long term.
For the period 1926 - 2009, the riskier S&P 500 provided a significant
return premium
over safer
long -
term Treasuries, outperforming them by 4.4
percent per year (9.8 versus 5.4).
In fact, NerdWallet analyzed the
long -
term impact of seemingly small fees on
returns, and found that «1
percent in fees could cost a millennial more than $ 590,000 in sacrificed
returns over 40 years of saving.
Historically,
over the
long -
term, the overall U.S. economy has produced
returns of around 7 to 9
percent.
For example, the average annualized asset - weighted
returns for investment - grade
long - term bond funds were 3 percent versus 5.7 percent for the Barclays Capital U.S. Long Government / Credit Index over five ye
long -
term bond funds were 3
percent versus 5.7
percent for the Barclays Capital U.S.
Long Government / Credit Index over five ye
Long Government / Credit Index
over five years.
The average
return for the stock market
over the last five years has been in the high teens — close to 20
percent — whereas the
long -
term average
return has been in the high single digits.»