Sentences with phrase «percentage changes in extremes»

The average anthropogenic climate change effect is not negligible, but nor is it large, although a small shift in the mean can lead to very large percentage changes in extremes.

Moreover, a small shift in the mean can still lead to very large percentage changes in extremes.

Not exact matches

For those who were not at an extreme value in either year, the range of their asset allocation changes to equities ranged from a 2.0 percentage point decline at the 25th percentile to a 14.3 percentage point increase at the 75th percentile.

The percentage change in the number of very hot days can be quite large.11 Global warming boosts the probability of very extreme events, like the recent «Summer in March» episode in the U.S. in which thousands of new record highs were set, far more than it changes the likelihood of more moderate events.12

(trouble is 35 is for carbon dioxide concentration, and 65 is for forcing, so if that's the calculation it was indeed a typo in a spreadsheet) Actually CO2 as a percentage of all radiative forcing would be: 43/65 * 100 = 66 % You messed up the link (I think) so that it actually leads back to this page rather than the FAQ section http://illconsidered.blogspot.com/2006/02/whats-wrong-with-warm-weather.html Never mind, as you know, I don't think the costs imposed by that change are large, not as long as sea level rise is only 50 cm over a hundred years (and the midpoint for the scenarios I consider most policy relevant, ie those excluding lots of coal burning after 2050, is somewhat lower still) and the change in «weather extremes» largely amounts to nothing more than what would be expected from moving south a few hundred kilometres.