While
the percentage of regular season games that went Under this year (51 %) is a bit higher than the average since 2005 (49.8 %), betting every Under still would have lost just over 6 units.
Not exact matches
After struggling through the worst
regular season of his career with a 2.74 goals against average and a.910 save
percentage, Henrik Lundqvist has been sensational with a 1.82 GAA and a.944 SV % through the first five
games of the postseason.
Although there is no way
of definitively categorizing a
game as «must - win», for the sake
of this article we will be looking at all teams with a winning
percentage between 50 % and 67 % entering the final two weeks
of the
regular season.
Because it's unrealistic to bet every match with this system due the sheer volume
of games in the
regular season, filtering the public betting
percentage down to < 23 %
of moneyline bets results in a much higher ROI
of +7 % and more than +60 units won (overall record
of 325 - 538).
The study reviewed the past 5 years
of regular season games in the NBA, NFL and NHL and noted the winning
percentage of the visiting team depending on the direction
of travel (east vs same time zone vs west), and the number
of time zones crossed for every
game.