Former New York Gov. Eliot Spitzer leads Manhattan Borough President Scott Stringer by nine
percentage points in the race for New York City comptroller, according to a Wall Street Journal - NBC 4 New York - Marist poll.
As Election Day nears, Mayor Michael Bloomberg has widened the gap between himself and his Democratic challenger Comptroller Bill Thompson to 16
percentage points in the race for New York City mayor.
Not exact matches
But given the insurmountable lead of the opposition candidate, Tsai Ying - wen, who now enjoys a 20
percentage -
point advantage
in the latest opinion polls, the summit will not likely upend Taiwan's presidential
race.
The first hotels will open
in Mississippi, where Trump won by 18
percentage points in the presidential
race.
Only the top five runners score
points in each
race, so if there are a hundred runners, only a small
percentage are going to «win»
in any sense.
With gusto, New York Republican Chairman Ed Cox again attacked former Gov. Eliot Spitzer today after a poll released last night showed a 9
percentage point lead for him over Democratic opponent Scott Stringer
in the city comptroller's
race.
The Democrat and Republican
in a special House election
in the heart of Pennsylvania's Trump country were divided by a few hundred votes
in a
race that was too close to call early this morning — an ominous sign for Republicans
in a district that the president won by nearly 20
percentage points.
As Klein and his supporters would no doubt
point out, Koppell conceded the
race back
in 2014 as the senator was maintaining a 25 -
percentage point lead on primary night.
The two progressive groups did not mention Perez Williams by name
in their press release, but did chastise the DCCC for recruiting an «anti-choice» candidate into the
race, despite the fact that NY - 24 was carried by Hillary Clinton by 5
percentage points in the 2016 presidential election.
In the governor's
race there, Republican Bob Beauprez leads the Democratic incumbent, John Hickenlooper, by 0.8
percentage points with 82 percent of precincts reporting.
As I wrote before, polls
in the most competitive Senate
races look to have had about a 6 -
percentage point Democratic bias based on the votes as counted so far.
The pre-election polling averages (not the FiveThirtyEight forecasts, which also account for other factors)
in the 10 most competitive Senate
races had a 6 -
percentage point Democratic bias as compared to the votes counted
in each state so far.
On average, registered voter polls of Senate
races have had a 1.1
percentage -
point Democratic bias
in these years, we estimate, whereas likely voter polls have had a 0.7 -
point Republican bias.
In 1992, there were 103 members of the House of Representatives elected from what might be called swing districts: those in which the margin in the presidential race was within five percentage points of the national resul
In 1992, there were 103 members of the House of Representatives elected from what might be called swing districts: those
in which the margin in the presidential race was within five percentage points of the national resul
in which the margin
in the presidential race was within five percentage points of the national resul
in the presidential
race was within five
percentage points of the national result.
Optimistic partisans digging through the data have even found reason to cheer some of the special election defeats:
In one of the Democratic losses, a race for a Connecticut seat held by Republicans for more than a century, the GOP candidate won by 10 percentage points, compared with a 22 - point GOP victory margin in an election for the same seat just three months earlie
In one of the Democratic losses, a
race for a Connecticut seat held by Republicans for more than a century, the GOP candidate won by 10
percentage points, compared with a 22 -
point GOP victory margin
in an election for the same seat just three months earlie
in an election for the same seat just three months earlier.
Poll No. 2 from Siena confirms Democratic fears that Rep. John Hall is
in trouble
in NY - 19, where he's trailing his Republican challenger, Nan Hayworth, by three
percentage points among likely voters — 46 - 43 — putting this
race into a statistical dead heat.
As an example we can take the exit polls from the 2012 presidential
race, we see that while Obama won
in most of the educational categories (look at the NYTimes) he did win by significantly higher margins
in the postgraduate part of the population (+13
percentage points), lost college graduates by 4 %, and won people with some college by 1 %.
The Quinnipiac poll is the third
in recent weeks that show the governor's
race in New York remains stagnant, with Cuomo ahead of Republican challenger Rob Astorino by nearly 25
percentage points.
The latest Siena poll of New York's many contested House
races (I think we're on No. 7 No. 8 at this
point), brings good news for Democratic Rep. Louise Slaughter, showing her 10
percentage points ahead of her GOP foe, Monroe County Executive Maggie Brooks,
in the newly drawn NY - 25.
Not one poll has shown Gillespie ahead
in the
race, one year after Clinton won Virginia by 6
percentage points — a closer - than - expected margin
in a state with a Democratic governor and two Democratic senators and that's voted for the Democratic nominee
in three straight presidential contests.
In the
race for New York State governor, Democratic incumbent Andrew Cuomo leads his Republican challenger, Westchester County Executive Rob Astorino, by 25
percentage points among likely voters statewide including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate.
A poll of the same size commissioned by Buerkle's campaign
in April also found a tight
race, with Buerkle holding onto a four
percentage point lead over Maffei.
Democrat Andrew Cuomo still leads Republican Jeanine Pirro by 23
percentage points among registered voters
in the
race to become New York State's next attorney general.
In another dead - heat race, Malloy defeated Foley by less than 1 percentage point in 2010 in the closest gubernatorial election in Connecticut in more than 50 year
In another dead - heat
race, Malloy defeated Foley by less than 1
percentage point in 2010 in the closest gubernatorial election in Connecticut in more than 50 year
in 2010
in the closest gubernatorial election in Connecticut in more than 50 year
in the closest gubernatorial election
in Connecticut in more than 50 year
in Connecticut
in more than 50 year
in more than 50 years.
For example, while the Q poll and SurveyUSA showed Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand
in a surprisingly tight
race with her GOP / Conservative challenger, former Rep. Joe DioGuardi, Siena found DioGuardi has failed to gain any post-primary momentum and trails her by 26
percentage points (57 - 31 with 12 percent undecided).
Deacon — who is currently 23
percentage points down against incumbent Rep. Katko (R - N.Y.)
in New York state's 24th Congressional District
race — was officially endorsed by Hochul during the rally.
Democrat Bill de Blasio holds a commanding 44
percentage -
point lead over Republican Joe Lhota
in the
race for New York City mayor, underscoring the GOP nominee's failure to gain any traction during the past three weeks, a poll from The Wall Street Journal - NBC 4 New York - Marist showed Thursday.
In the race between Democratic U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand and her Republican opponent, Joseph DioGuardi, Gillibrand holds an 11 percentage point lead among likely voters in New York Stat
In the
race between Democratic U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand and her Republican opponent, Joseph DioGuardi, Gillibrand holds an 11
percentage point lead among likely voters
in New York Stat
in New York State.
Republican Ron Johnson leads incumbent Democrat Russ Feingold
in the
race for U.S. Senate
in Wisconsin by 7
percentage points among likely voters including early voters and those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate, according to this McClatchy - Marist Poll.
In House
races, white Democrats are 38
percentage points less likely to vote Democratic if their candidate is black.
But
in the Rensselaer County executive
race between Republican Steve McLaughlin, a state Assemblyman, and Democrat Andrea Smyth, executive director of the New York State Coalition for Children's Behavioral Health, it appears McLaughlin will prevail by about two
percentage points.
According to a Siena poll released today — the first survey of state Senate
races — Hanna is
in better shape heading into the final weeks of this year's campaign, leading his Democratic opponent, Monroe County Legislator Ted O'Brien, by eight
percentage points.
(CNN)- With just over six weeks until November's general election, a new poll indicates that Democrat Bill de Blasio has a commanding 43
percentage point lead over Republican Joe Lhota
in the
race for mayor of New York City.
Mr. Zeldin held a 15 -
percentage point lead over Ms. Throne - Holst
in a recent Newsday / Siena College poll, the only poll made public thus far
in the congressional
race.
Indeed,
in 2012, ThinkProgress estimated that Democrats would have needed to win the national popular vote
in all U.S. House
races by 7.25
percentage points in order to eek out a bare majority
in Congress's lower chamber.
The often caustic
race for New York's 18th Congressional District had always looked to be a close one, with Maloney leading Hayworth by 5
percentage points in a Siena College poll released last week.
In the presidential
race, Democrat Hillary Clinton leads her Republican rival Donald Trump by 2
percentage points, 44 percent to 42 percent, but that's within the margin of error of 4.4
points.
David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center
in Boston, said Clinton's 13
percentage point lead
in Clark County, home to Las Vegas, is the difference
in the
race.
Senate Democrats have a lot to like
in today's Siena College poll showing Hillary Clinton's lead over Donald Trump
in New York expand to 30
percentage points in a two - person
race.
Sean Coffey's campaign strategist Bruce Gyory sent out a statement earlier today, dismissing the Siena poll that showed his candidate
in third place and invoking the closer - than - expected 2009 NYC mayor's
race in which Bill Thompson defied predictions and came within less than 5
percentage points of ousting Mayor Bloomberg.
Essex County Judge Richard Meyer defeated Brian Barrett, a Lake Placid defense attorney,
in that
race by about 20
percentage points, or 1,743 votes out of some 9,073 cast.
A poll
in May showed that Diaz, along with City Comptroller Scott Stringer and Brooklyn Borough President Eric Adams, were within a few
percentage points of de Blasio as potential challengers
in the 2017 mayoral
race.
None of Wisconsin's eight congressional
races — not even an open seat
in northeastern Wisconsin — was decided by fewer than 20
percentage points this election.
The poll also shows that three potential challengers
in the 2017 mayoral
race — City Comptroller Scott Stringer, Brooklyn Borough President Eric Adams and Bronx Borough President Ruben Diaz, Jr. — are within a few
percentage points of the incumbent.
He then called on Bratton, who said, «The overall
percentage of those being stopped
in terms of
race or ethnicity has not changed dramatically — only by a couple of
percentage points.»
In the
race to succeed out gay Councilmember Jimmy Vacca, Assembymember Mark Gjonaj, who had supported Diaz's run, edged out Marjorie Velázquez, who enjoyed strong support among LGBTQ and women's groups, by about four
percentage points.
In the race for the Republican nomination in Florida, Mitt Romney leads Newt Gingrich by 15 percentage points among likely Republican primary voter
In the
race for the Republican nomination
in Florida, Mitt Romney leads Newt Gingrich by 15 percentage points among likely Republican primary voter
in Florida, Mitt Romney leads Newt Gingrich by 15
percentage points among likely Republican primary voters.
The latest poll
in the Virginia gubernatorial
race shows former Republican National Committee chairman Ed Gillespie ahead by one
percentage point over Lt. Gov. Ralph Northam (D.), who has previously led
in the polls.
The only independent poll made public
in the 24th District
race shows Katko had a 19
percentage point lead over Deacon.
While Brown's lead dipped by 2
percentage points since August, according to Siena, he appears within striking distance of gathering 50 percent of the vote
in a three - way
race.