Chris -(I agree; great blog) I had the same question - So taking it a little further — if he was given automatic group insurance when eligible, leaves work down the road due to illness - work signs off on the conversion form that he is eligible, then the insurer says he is eligible & no physical is necessary under conversion and they issue his policy; he pays his premium then he dies within the 2 year
period of natural causes, how & what can they contest?
Not exact matches
[158] Other
causes include the rise in non-cash benefits as a share
of worker compensation (which aren't counted in CPS income data), immigrants entering the labor force, statistical distortions including the use
of different inflation adjusters by the BLS and CPS, productivity gains being skewed toward less labor - intensive sectors, income shifting from labor to capital, a skill gap - driven wage disparity, productivity being falsely inflated by hidden technology - driven depreciation increases and import price measurement problems, and / or a
natural period of adjustment following an income surge during aberrational postwar circumstances.
A total
of 5,011 deaths recorded during the follow - up
period included 1,938 deaths (39 percent) from cancer, 1,040 (21 percent) from heart disease, and 1,418 (29 percent) from other
natural causes, including diseases
of the circulatory system (excluding heart disease) and diabetes.
He did this by examining the plaque
of a group
of chimpanzees that had recently died from
natural causes and whose diet was monitored over a
period of 20 years.
The best estimates
of the forcings — literally how hard we're pushing on the climate over the
period from 1750 to 2005, both human
causes and the principle known
natural caused changes in the amount
of sunlight reaching the earth over this
period — overwhelming the human
causes are prevailing.
Warming
caused by
natural climatic variation was blamed for the burning
of 11.4 million acres
of Western forests during the study
period — slightly more than the effects
of warming
caused by humans.
This
period isn't
caused by the
natural ebb and flow
of estrogen and progesterone in the body, rather the lack
of estrogen the body is receiving during the timed placebo pills.
Putting your body through a
period of what I term a severe nutrient restriction will only trigger a
natural reaction
of lowering your metabolic rate and increasing * cortisol
causing weight gain.
Just as it is a fallacy that PPIs are safe to take every day for an extended
period of time, so it is also a fallacy that heartburn is
caused by too much stomach acid, according to noted
natural health practitioner Dr. Joseph Mercola.
Included: The Quaternary
period Evidence for climate change and advantages / disadvantages Human /
natural causes of climate change Potential causes of climate change: extreme weather and sea level rise Global circulation of the atmosphere El Nino / La Nina Tropical storms, formation and distribution Causes of droughts / location Extreme weather case study caused by El Nino - The Big Dry, Aus
causes of climate change Potential
causes of climate change: extreme weather and sea level rise Global circulation of the atmosphere El Nino / La Nina Tropical storms, formation and distribution Causes of droughts / location Extreme weather case study caused by El Nino - The Big Dry, Aus
causes of climate change: extreme weather and sea level rise Global circulation
of the atmosphere El Nino / La Nina Tropical storms, formation and distribution
Causes of droughts / location Extreme weather case study caused by El Nino - The Big Dry, Aus
Causes of droughts / location Extreme weather case study
caused by El Nino - The Big Dry, Australia
This is because electronic screens work by generating light, which may
cause eyestrain or discomfort while reading text for long
periods of time, while books simply reflect
natural light from the environment.
If you pass away during this
period of time due to a
natural cause, such as a disease or heart attack, your beneficiaries won't get the full death benefit.
The absence
of convincing attribution
of periods other than 1976 - present to anthropogenic forcing leaves
natural climate variability as the
cause — some combination
of solar (including solar indirect effects), uncertain volcanic forcing,
natural internal (intrinsic variability) and possible unknown unknowns.
When there are alternative explanations for arctic ice melt (historical writings that suggest
natural periods of very rapid decline, ever - increasing levels
of soot that can
cause and accelerate melting), how can you be so certain that the
cause is CO2 - induced?
That
natural drivers alone can be the
cause of widespread coastal anoxia is evident from studies
of greenhouse
periods in Earth's past, including the oceanic anoxic events
of the Cretaceous and Toarcian (Jenkyns, 2010).
At least one past global hot spell widely attributed to a
natural spike in greenhouse gases, the Paleocene - Eocene Thermal Maximum 55.8 million years ago, appeared to
cause a mass die - off
of some marine plankton, but other forms thrived, as did mammals and other terrestrial species, specialists on that
period say.
A corollary
of the prediction that Co2 would take up to 20 years to rise above the noise
of natural variation is that
natural variation could conceivable
cause a «pause»
of up to 20 years, and so the recent short
period with a lack
of warming is totally consistent with Hansen's predictions.
Thus this
period is not ideal for assessing the magnitude
of natural changes (both intrinsic and forced by
natural processes like solar variability or volcanic eruptions) since there is likely a contamination from human - related
causes.
Also, the brief
period I spent scanning abstracts [no time this week to read papers] indicates a difference
of opinion suggesting whether there is a correlation between clouds and CRF (including a no by Balling and Cerveny Theoretical and Applied Climatology 75:3 - 4 pp. 225 - 231 — which may be a good indicator as there was a skeptic flurry last year over connecting CRF to climate as another try at
natural causes being responsible for recent climate change).
Our main conclusion was that a), we had, in fact, gone back to a busy
period in the Atlantic, Gulf
of Mexico, and the Caribbean, and b), it was
caused by a
natural fluctuation in the Atlantic Ocean and the atmosphere, called the Atlantic multi-decadal oscillation.
But if we consider a second
natural parameter, the strength and direction
of the stratospheric wind in the Tropics (the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation index, QBO) I found a very interesting result: During
periods of low solar activity (few or no sunspots) an easterly QBO
causes a negative AO, but a westerly QBO
causes a positive AO.
So, I can not see how anyone can be positive that any particular time
period is not
caused by some sort
of natural phenonema, which has nothing to do with what the human race is doing.
It is reasonable to assume that
natural variability is in total charge
of earth temperature and that it
causes all the warming and cooling, including the Cold
period after the Roman Warm Period, The Little Ice Age and the next cold period that will follow this Warm P
period after the Roman Warm
Period, The Little Ice Age and the next cold period that will follow this Warm P
Period, The Little Ice Age and the next cold
period that will follow this Warm P
period that will follow this Warm
PeriodPeriod.
«Anthropogenic Climate change» means a quantified change
of climate which isattributed directly or indirectly to human activity and distinguished from
natural causes that alters the composition
of the global atmosphere and which is in addition to
natural climate trends and variability observed over comparable time
periods.
If
natural global warming
caused a warm Medieval Warm
Period, then perhaps much (or all)
of the recent global warming was also a
natural phenomenon, i.e., not man - made global warming!
The authors conclude that the there is a higher retreat - rate for marine terminating glaciers in the recent warm
period; in the 1930s when there is a
natural mode
of variability active that
caused regional temperatures around Greenland to be anomalously warm, there was a higher retreat rate for land - terminating glaciers (the lower retreat rate today is in part because they are currently smaller).
but that ENSO can still
cause natural cooling for
periods of a decade or more so that even though the man - made influence continues to
cause warming, it is cancelled by ENSO cooling and results in a «hiatus»
of global temperature increase:»
Most
of these major
natural processes that we are witnessing now are interdependent and occur at the end
of each interglacial
period, ultimately
causing sudden long term cooling.»
«We evaluate to what extent the temperature rise in the past 100 years was a trend or a
natural fluctuation and analyze 2249 worldwide monthly temperature records from GISS (NASA) with the 100 - year
period covering 1906 - 2005 and the two 50 - year
periods from 1906 to 1955 and 1956 to 2005... The data document a strong urban heat island eff ect (UHI) and a warming with increasing station elevation... About a quarter
of all the records for the 100 - year
period show a fall in temperatures... that the observed temperature records are a combination
of long - term correlated records with an additional trend, which is
caused for instance by anthropogenic CO2, the UHI or other forcings... As a result, the probabilities that the observed temperature series are
natural have values roughly between 40 % and 90 %, depending on the stations characteristics and the
periods considered.»
I had suggested that as an approximation that one could subtract the average increase from the earlier
period which represents one expression
of temperature increase
caused by
natural variation from the later
period where the increase is augmented by Anthropogenic CO2 in order to get some idea
of what one might attribute to
natural variation and how much to CO2.
On the other hand, satellite - observed changes in absorbed sunlight and emitted heat in the tropics over the
period 1985 - 2000, which appear to have
caused a strengthening
of the tropical atmospheric circulation, could in principle be either anthropogenic or
natural in origin.
The various kinds
of evidence examined by the panel suggest that the troposphere actually may have warmed much less rapidly than the surface from 1979 into the late 1990s, due both to
natural causes (e.g., the sequence
of volcanic eruptions that occurred within this particular 20 - year
period) and human activities (e.g., the cooling
of the upper part
of the troposphere resulting from ozone depletion in the stratosphere).
IPCC has stated (AR4 WG1 Ch.9) that the «global mean warming observed since 1970 can only be reproduced when models are forced with combinations
of external forcings that include anthropogenic forcings... Therefore modeling studies suggest that late 20th - century warming is much more likely to be anthropogenic than
natural in origin...» whereas for the statistically indistinguishable early 20thC warming
period «detection and attribution as well as modeling studies indicate more uncertainty regarding the
causes of early 20th - century warming.»
While a long - term trend is for global warming, short - term
periods of cooling can occur and have physical
causes associated with
natural variability.
I don't consider myself to be an expert by any means but in the few years I have been taking an interest in the subject
of climate change I have tried to educate myself as much as possible about the various scientific arguments surrounding the subject, and one thing that has constantly been impressed upon my mind is that when there is a long term trend
caused by increasing GHG levels there will
periods when it is masked (or accentuated) by short term
natural variability.
Additionally a serious cooling
period from
natural causes is likely to increase oceanic CO2 absorption and so dampen down any CO2 effect in the subsequent
natural upturn although the length
of lag is uncertain and may be as long as 800 years.
Over the
period the known
natural drivers
of climate have been flat or slightly negative, which leaves just 2 possibilities: some as yet undiscovered
natural cause or that, as the IPCC conclude, the dominant factor was anthropogenic forcing from increased greenhouse gas concentrations, which are after all, at least 35 % higher than at any time in the last 600K years.
Once again the very
natural cycle
of the AMO
caused the average temperature
of the Earth to increase over the exact same
period of time that the AMO was increasing.
The result will inform us about the
causes of climate change over the early Anthropocene and will give us an estimate
of the
natural variability
of climate based on a far longer time
period.
In preparation for that program and using the results
of Figures 4.4 and 4.5
of the report published on the website
of The Right Climate Stuff Research Team: http://www.therightclimatestuff.com/BoundingClimateSensitivityForRegDecisions.pdf, I concluded that if one believes there has been no continued
natural warming since 1850 from the approx. 1000 year
period natural climate cycle that brought us the Roman Warm Period, The Medieval Warm Period and the Little Ice Age, then the carefully worded IPCC AR5 report claim that most of the global warming since 1950 is due to human causes, is
period natural climate cycle that brought us the Roman Warm
Period, The Medieval Warm Period and the Little Ice Age, then the carefully worded IPCC AR5 report claim that most of the global warming since 1950 is due to human causes, is
Period, The Medieval Warm
Period and the Little Ice Age, then the carefully worded IPCC AR5 report claim that most of the global warming since 1950 is due to human causes, is
Period and the Little Ice Age, then the carefully worded IPCC AR5 report claim that most
of the global warming since 1950 is due to human
causes, is TRUE.
This conclusion takes into account the approximately 62 year
period natural cycle in global average surface temperatures that is obvious in the HadCRUT4 global average surface temperature data, that had a maximum in about 1945 and again in about 2007, and that seems to be the
cause of the current «pause» in global average surface temperatures.
13
Natural Climate Changes Seasons: are short - term
periods of climatic change
caused by regular variations in daylight, temperature, and weather patterns.
One
of the main themes that is promoted by «swindle» and people like Beck is that there was a Medieval Warm
Period during which temperatures were warmer than they are today, and that therefore today's global warming is due to «
natural causes».
As a researcher in the field for more than 30 years, I am not aware
of a single peer - reviewed paper or review, in a quality atmospheric science journal, that relates the temperature changes over this
period to only
natural causes such as changes in solar activity.
The team, led by earth scientists at Ohio State University, pinpointed a
period in 2010 when high temperatures
caused the
natural ice flow out to sea to suddenly accelerate, and 100 billion tons
of ice melted away from the continent in only 6 months...
It ticks off all our boxes: it's
natural, it's easy to use, has multiple uses, it doesn't
cause cancer (unless you stick your nose in it and breathe in for one hour every day - but that's the case for any powdery substance that you breathe in for long
periods of time) and, as far as we can tell, it isn't being over-exploited.
The difference between the emissions and the
natural variation is that the emissions
caused the entire increase
of 60 ppmv 1959 - 2004, while
natural wobbles
caused a temporarely change
of a few ppmv, followed by normal temperatures (and CO2 increases, 1994) or even cooler
periods (1999)...
Now there were two papers put out by a Swiss team (you should know who) on consideration
of European warming where they argued that
natural effects could be ruled out; the first paper argued for strong water vapour feedback
causing the 1980 to 1998 temperature rise and the later paper, using exactly the same data, argued for a reduction in aerosols
causing a recovery in temperatures over the same
period.
The paragraphs above the figure note that «The rise takes place during a
period when, according to the IPCC report, the anthropogenic effect
of global warming is evident above the background variations from
natural causes» and «We are not aware
of any global climate models that predicted the reversal
of slope that we observe».
Peter Whale says: August 14, 2010 at 11:25 am Could someone on either side
of the debate give me what weather conditions over an agreed
period of time, that would then turn the observations so that they could be called climate, which would then either confirm catastrophic warming or confirm
natural cause and variation =======================================================