Investors with heavily concentrated portfolios can
see periods of outperformance, but, this often requires an element of market timing, which introduces another element of risk usually reserved for more tactical plays.
Obviously one should expect
periods of outperformance by the non-dividend paying stock universe and in fact that is what we observed, but the majority (or about 64 %) of all rolling one - year periods showed outperformance by the dividend - paying basket.
As can be seen, by following this signal a prospective investor would largely avoid the long period of underperformance and timely capitalize on the recent
period of outperformance of the fund.
Higher volatility may help some active managers, but investors will need to see long
periods of outperformance before reconsidering their affinity for passive investments.
Investors with heavily concentrated portfolios can
see periods of outperformance, but, this often requires an element of market timing, which introduces another element of risk usually reserved for more tactical plays.
His thesis is that the relative performance of stocks to commodities goes through defined cycles, and that right now commodities are poised for
a period of outperformance compared with stocks.
For obvious reasons you're much more likely to discover them after
a period of outperformance, when it's more probable they'll underperform and revert to the mean.
As Kurt Reiman, BlackRock's chief investment strategist for Canada noted in a recent blog, we believe the prospects for Canadian stocks have improved following a disappointing first half with relatively attractive valuations and more stable oil prices potentially leading to
a period of outperformance.
The coin is neutral regarding the long - term picture, and that could point to
a period of outperformance during the current move lower.
All good strategies (and good managers) have
periods of outperformance and underperformance.
As Kurt Reiman, BlackRock's chief investment strategist for Canada noted in a recent blog, we believe the prospects for Canadian stocks have improved following a disappointing first half with relatively attractive valuations and more stable oil prices potentially leading to
a period of outperformance.
Referring back to the Morningstar graph showing the green bars when the unhedged index outperformed - an actual investor would not have been able to realize the full value of
those periods of outperformance once the above costs were factored in.
Instead, they chase trends, allocating away from value funds after a period of underperformance and towards them after
a period of outperformance.
I started doing this just as small cap value's
period of outperformance was ending, and growth was taking over.