The red line indicates the peak temperature anomaly of the past century, the blue line indicates the current temperature anomaly, the shaded red circles indicate periods in which temperatures were warmer than the peak warmth of the past century, and the shaded blue circles indicate
periods during the past century that were colder than present.
Not exact matches
The temperature, rainfall, vapor pressure and number of months when conditions were suitable for malaria transmission, the researchers report, «have not changed significantly
during the
past century or
during the
period of reported malaria resurgence.»
Despite leaving the country
during the
period of Perestroika, Roiter's artistic output retains a heavy hint of his Russian
past: the recurring green that recalls the pervasive Russian military, the economy of forms and materials reflective of pervasive paucity, and traces of early twentieth
century Russian avant - garde influences.
Essays exploring three significant
periods of experimentation in portraiture
during the
past century: the 1910s - 20s; 1960s, and 1990 — present have been prepared, respectively, by each of the three curators of the exhibition: Jonathan Frederick Walz, director of curatorial affairs & curator of American art, the Columbus Museum, Columbus, Georgia; Kathleen Merrill Campagnolo, independent curator and scholar, and Anne Collins Goodyear, co-director of the Bowdoin College Museum of Art.
In AR4, the relevant statement was: Average Northern Hemisphere temperatures
during the second half of the 20th
century were very likely higher than
during any other 50 - year
period in the last 500 years and likely the highest in at least the
past 1,300 years..
While the observed Antarctic temperatures rose by about 0.4 degrees Fahrenheit (0.2 degrees Celsius) over the
past century, the climate models simulated increases in Antarctic temperatures
during the same
period of 1.4 degrees F (0.75 degrees C).
[Response: Despite the evidence for rapid regional climate changes
during certain
past transitional
periods (e.g. the Younger Dryas), there is no evidence that global mean temperature changes of the amplitude seen in the
past century have occured on centennial or shorter timescales in the
past.
It is very likely that average NH temperatures
during the second half of the 20th
century were warmer than any other 50 - year
period in the last 500 years and likely the warmest in at least the
past 1300 years.
The purveyors of the new eco-religion can try to deny its existence as much as they want and the fact that there is more than enough historical evidence that it was at least as warm (more likely significantly warmer)
during this
period of the millenial
past than it may have been
during the recent warming
period at the end of the 20th
century.
Increases in GrIS melt and runoff
during this
past century warm
period must have been significant and were probably even larger than that of the most recent last decade (1995 - 2006).»
-------- http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/1/014013 Predictability of twentieth
century sea - level rise from
past data However, in combination, the use of proxy and tide gauge sea - level data up to 1900 AD allows a good prediction of twentieth
century sea - level rise, despite this rise being well outside the rates experienced in previous
centuries during the calibration
period of the model.
However, the Prudent Path authors fail to reference a recent paper (Kaufmann et al. 2009) which analyzed Arctic temperature changes over a 2000 year
period (0 to 1999 AD) and concluded that «the most recent 10 - year interval (1999 - 2008) was the warmest of the
past 200 decades» and that «4/5 of the warmest decades occurred
during the last
century».
Kobashi, T., et al: «We found that greenhouse gases played two important roles over the
past 4000 yr for the rapid warming
during the 20th
century and slightly cooler temperature
during the early
period of the
past 4000 yr»
Reviewing my post: — my introduction describes recent statements and seems accurate to me; — my account of IPCC First and Second Draft seems accurate to me and, in any event, unaffected by new papers; — likewise my comments on the SPM and gatekeeping of skeptic submissions on the discrepancy; — my observations about 20th
century history also seem accurate to me and not vulnerable to new papers; — I asked questions about the long
past hiatus and deep ocean
during that
period.
The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is an important source of climate variability in the Northern Hemisphere; here, a model - tested reconstruction of the NAO for the
past millennium reveals that positive NAO phases were predominant
during the thirteenth and fourteenth
centuries, but not
during the whole medieval
period.
Here, we argue that the twentieth and twenty - first
centuries, a
period during which the overwhelming majority of human - caused carbon emissions are likely to occur, need to be placed into a long - term context that includes the
past 20 millennia, when the last Ice Age ended and human civilization developed, and the next ten millennia, over which time the projected impacts of anthropogenic climate change will grow and persist.
Many scientists are tired of the criticisms, and the IPCC concluded that it is «likely» that the second half of the twentieth
century was the warmest 50 - year
period in the Northern Hemisphere
during the
past 1,300 years.
The models heavily relied upon by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) had not projected this multidecadal stasis in «global warming»; nor (until trained ex post facto) the fall in TS from 1940 - 1975; nor 50 years» cooling in Antarctica (Doran et al., 2002) and the Arctic (Soon, 2005); nor the absence of ocean warming since 2003 (Lyman et al., 2006; Gouretski & Koltermann, 2007); nor the onset, duration, or intensity of the Madden - Julian intraseasonal oscillation, the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation in the tropical stratosphere, El Nino / La Nina oscillations, the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, or the Pacific Decadal Oscillation that has recently transited from its warming to its cooling phase (oceanic oscillations which, on their own, may account for all of the observed warmings and coolings over the
past half -
century: Tsoniset al., 2007); nor the magnitude nor duration of multi-
century events such as the Mediaeval Warm
Period or the Little Ice Age; nor the cessation since 2000 of the previously - observed growth in atmospheric methane concentration (IPCC, 2007); nor the active 2004 hurricane season; nor the inactive subsequent seasons; nor the UK flooding of 2007 (the Met Office had forecast a summer of prolonged droughts only six weeks previously); nor the solar Grand Maximum of the past 70 years, during which the Sun was more active, for longer, than at almost any similar period in the past 11,400 years (Hathaway, 2004; Solankiet al., 2005); nor the consequent surface «global warming» on Mars, Jupiter, Neptune's largest moon, and even distant Pluto; nor the eerily - continuing 2006 solar minimum; nor the consequent, precipitate decline of ~ 0.8 °C in TS from January 2007 to May 2008 that has canceled out almost all of the observed warming of the 20th ce
Period or the Little Ice Age; nor the cessation since 2000 of the previously - observed growth in atmospheric methane concentration (IPCC, 2007); nor the active 2004 hurricane season; nor the inactive subsequent seasons; nor the UK flooding of 2007 (the Met Office had forecast a summer of prolonged droughts only six weeks previously); nor the solar Grand Maximum of the
past 70 years,
during which the Sun was more active, for longer, than at almost any similar
period in the past 11,400 years (Hathaway, 2004; Solankiet al., 2005); nor the consequent surface «global warming» on Mars, Jupiter, Neptune's largest moon, and even distant Pluto; nor the eerily - continuing 2006 solar minimum; nor the consequent, precipitate decline of ~ 0.8 °C in TS from January 2007 to May 2008 that has canceled out almost all of the observed warming of the 20th ce
period in the
past 11,400 years (Hathaway, 2004; Solankiet al., 2005); nor the consequent surface «global warming» on Mars, Jupiter, Neptune's largest moon, and even distant Pluto; nor the eerily - continuing 2006 solar minimum; nor the consequent, precipitate decline of ~ 0.8 °C in TS from January 2007 to May 2008 that has canceled out almost all of the observed warming of the 20th
century.
In a 2009 study, the authors used GPS measurement to correct for local vertical movement of the Earth at key tide gages, finding a «global rate of geocentric sea level rise of 1.61 ± 0.19 mm / yr over the
past century» Their study shows no acceleration and no changes in rate
during warm or cold
periods of the last 110 years.
Argues that the twentieth and twenty - first
centuries, a
period during which the overwhelming majority of human - caused carbon emissions are likely to occur, need to be placed into a long - term context that includes the
past 20 millennia, when the last Ice Age ended and human civilization developed, and the next ten millennia, over which time the projected impacts of anthropogenic climate change will grow and persist