Sentences with phrase «persistent uncertainty»

I contacted Dr. Alley last night to see where he'll focus in coming years, and he stressed the importance of two things — bridging the persistent gap between scientists and the public on climate and working to reduce persistent uncertainties in climate forecasts: Read more...

Overall, the panel's reports have never focused much on research examining how humans respond (or fail to respond) to certain kinds of risk, particularly «super wicked» problems such global warming, which is imbued with persistent uncertainty on key points (the pace of sea - level rise, the extent of warming from a certain buildup of greenhouse gases), dispersed and delayed risks, and a variegated menu of possible responses.

In fact, he and several other climate - focused economists said in interviews that the science, including persistent uncertainty on how fast temperatures and seas will rise, should result in a higher carbon cost and even more aggressive steps at limiting warming.

Yohe and colleagues from Massachusetts Institute of Technology, and Industrial Economics Inc say that they are highly confident that impacts caused by hydrologic drought — on agriculture and water availability, for example — will be increasingly negative and widespread over time, despite persistent uncertainty about projected precipitation patterns.

Despite decades of persistent uncertainty over how sensitive the climate system is to increasing concentrations of carbon dioxide from the burning of fossil fuels, we now have new satellite evidence which strongly suggests that the climate system is much less sensitive than is claimed by the U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

This week's inroads into the Pacific Rim and South America come as U.S. President Donald Trump threatens to levy stiff tariffs on steel and aluminum, and with persistent uncertainty continuing to plague the renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement.

To me, the podcast illustrates the value of conversation and mixing disciplines if the hope is to foster progress when facing complex questions attended by persistent uncertainty — and to understand how normal it is to have varied views in such situations.

I contacted Dr. Alley last night to see where he'll focus in coming years, and he stressed the importance of two things — bridging the persistent gap between scientists and the public on climate and working to reduce persistent uncertainties in climate forecasts:

One reason for diving in is the substantial persistent uncertainty attending issues that could powerfully shape conditions in this century (for instance, while the basics of greenhouse theory are clear, the pace and extent of warming and sea - level rise remain unclear).

It said this would support its target of 5 percent per year on average output growth between 2016 and 2022, even though Total noted that the global environment remained volatile with persistent uncertainty around the evolution of global supply.

Still, the talk is a good reminder that the basic science pointing to substantial human - driven climate change is clear, even as substantial and persistent uncertainty still obscures the timing and extent of the worst impacts.

You also imply that you can't have «good» climate policy in the face of deep persistent uncertainty.

2) There's persistent uncertainty about how long it will take to have a September with an ice - free Arctic Ocean.

In fact, this kind of negotiated tax increase might be a far preferable outcome for the world's savers, investors and high - income earners than the increasingly likely alternative: persistent uncertainty over the global financial system or the consummation of that uncertainty in an asset - value - destroying economic downturn.

This week's inroads into the Pacific Rim and South America come as Trump threatens to levy stiff tariffs on steel and aluminum and with persistent uncertainty continuing to plague the renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement.

As longtime readers know, a prime focus on Dot Earth has been testing ways to clarify disputes over consequential science — a need that's amplified in complex arenas laden by persistent uncertainty.

The climate talks in Copenhagen this month present layers of complexity, shifting alliances among nations, hidden agendas and science laced with persistent uncertainties.

That is because accumulating observations and analysis pointing to the causes and consequences of global warming merely delineate the problem, including areas of persistent uncertainty, uneven exposure to risk and uneven responsibility for emissions of greenhouse gases.

Finally, the bank's own surveys reveal that business confidence in Canada remains relatively upbeat, despite the persistent uncertainty in the U.S., Europe and China.

A lack of financing is often seen as a cause of economic stagnation, but in Argentina it's more a symptom of something graver: persistent uncertainty and instability.

In organizing a protest, the central problems consist of the difficulty of gathering people and the persistent uncertainty that people might not show up to demonstrate.

And of course I've never bought into the «wait until there's proof» approach to human - driven climate change, which — as I've stressed since 2007 — is more a challenge of risk management amid substantial and persistent uncertainty than a problem resolved by amassing scientific proof.

In 2001, President George W. Bush asked for a quick study of the remaining questions related to human - caused climate change, and he got a report very much focused on the persistent uncertainties.

Gaps in understanding of how global warming will affect Africa hold back planning efforts and have led to persistent uncertainty about the causes of recent droughts and famines.

In a phone chat, Cicerone at the academy described Schneider's core traits, particularly his approach to forging policies that made sense even in the face of the persistent uncertainty about the worst - case impacts from warming:

Is there an outsize responsibility of the I.P.C.C. team there to remind the world about the real complexity (multiple drivers of risk, as in Texas and Australia) and persistent uncertainty (as in hurricane science)?

Also, some of the potential losses are, in essence, priceless (impacts on species), while others are hard to gauge given the persistent uncertainty and long time scales.

Over all, Pearce notes the report's strong focus on strategies that can limit harms even with the persistent uncertainty in important regions and sectors.

Gary Yohe, an environmental economist at Wesleyan University, is one of a large group of veteran students of the climate - energy challenge who say the persistent uncertainties surrounding human - driven warming are the reason to act, to act promptly, and to include a rising price on emissions of greenhouse gases in any policy mix.

His reading of climate model projections also doesn't mention the persistent uncertainty about how much warming a given rise in greenhouse gas concentrations could produce.

He stresses this is informed speculation at this point, putting him in good company considering the many ideas in circulation and the persistent uncertainties in the system.

This is the state of hurricane science in the new century: a mix of growing skill and persistent uncertainty, of intuition and algorithms, satellites and erasers.

Renewable energy production is growing but the durability of federal tax incentives remains a persistent uncertainty.

You're in an area of young science where there is persistent uncertainty or gaps in knowledge.

«The Discovery of Global Warming» describes the intellectual journey toward that conclusion, with all of its false starts, flawed hypotheses, inventiveness and persistent uncertainties.