Tom, Part of the problem is that people have started to adopt the Bayesian estimates as their
personal beliefs, and dressing it up in this
language enables them to present it to the anti-Bayesians (of which there is still a substantial body) without the latter actually understanding what went into the sausage factory... Here is an random example of someone (cited in that IPCC figure) saying as the result of their simple
analysis «there is a 70 percent chance that [sensitivity] exceeds the maximum IPCC value».
Four out of five domains (adaptive behaviour, fine motor,
language and
personal - social behaviour), showed significant differences favouring the intervention group (
Analysis 2.30).