He has a large
personal vote in his constituency, and I've met people from other, neighbouring constituencies who have been helped by him when their own MP didn't want to know.
He was a man who liked to be liked, and succeeded at it, but although he had a sizeable
personal vote in his constituency, he failed sufficiently to contain the radical Militant left in Accrington, which weakened him politically.
Not exact matches
These polls typically do not show much sign of switching between general and
constituency specific
vote intention, except
in Liberal Democrat seats where it is unclear whether the switching is tactical or due to the
personal popularity of the sitting MP.
With FPTP,
in a General Election a good local MP may lose their
constituency because of the national swing against that MP's party, regardless of the
personal merit and exemplary track record of the MP, because people decide to
vote on a «party» basis.
But even alternative
vote plus — as first advocated by Roy Jenkins
in 1998 and now backed by Alan Johnson — would ensure most MPs have a
personal constituency link with their voters, as already occurs
in Germany and Scotland.
However a lot has been made of the fact that while both polls had an effort to take account of people's
personal and tactical
voting behaviour
in their own
constituency, they did so
in different ways — Ashcroft asks a two stage question, asking people their national preference and then how they will
vote thinking about the candidates and parties
in their own
constituency; ICM asked people the
voting intention question including the names of the candidates standing
in Sheffield Hallam.