We might be tempted to simply include dynamic
phenology in a climate model for all applications (again, assuming we can realistically simulate leaf variations).
Intercomparison, interpretation, and assessment of spring
phenology in North America estimated from remote sensing for 1982 to 2006.
Here, we analyze a 28 - year record of tropical flower
phenology in response
Here, we analyze a 28 - year record of tropical flower
phenology in response to anthropogenic climate and atmospheric change.
Not exact matches
«As
phenology is advancing around the globe, there are concerns that plant - pollinator interactions may be disrupted through phenological mismatches, or mismatches
in the timing of when flowers bloom and their pollinators emerge, leading to reduced plant reproduction,» says lead author Zak Gezon, who conducted the research as a doctoral student at Dartmouth and who is now a conservation biologist with Disney's Animal Programs.
«What's happening is that the Earth is warming,» said Jake Weltzin, director of the National
Phenology Network, a federal program that tracks changes
in seasonal patterns.
«Novel data sources from the weather surveillance radar network and the eBird citizen science database enable development of a migration
phenology index that can be used to answer this question
in future studies.»
OU Professors Jeffrey F. Kelly, Todd Fagin and Eli S. Bridge, Oklahoma Biological Survey, and graduate student Kyle G. Horton, Department of Biology, OU College of Arts and Sciences;
in collaboration with OU Professors Phillip B. Chilson, School of Meteorology, and Kirsten de Beurs, Department of Geography and Environmental Sustainability, OU College of Atmospheric and Geographic Sciences; and Phillip M. Stepanian, formerly with the Advanced Radar Research Center, worked together to demonstrate how migration timing relates to land surface
phenology and temperature changes.
Phenology, the study of timing
in the life of plants and animals, has been disrupted by climate change.
Climate conditions
in Kansas have already been noted to have changed
in noticeable ways, and many such conditions are known to favorably affect tick
phenology and spatial distribution.»
These models can then be mapped against climate forecasts to predict how
phenology could shift
in the future, painting a picture of landscapes
in a world of warmer temperatures, altered precipitation and humidity, and changes
in cloud cover.
In addition to replacing the original maize phenology model in CLM with that from the APSIM model, the researchers have made several other innovative improvements in the new mode
In addition to replacing the original maize
phenology model
in CLM with that from the APSIM model, the researchers have made several other innovative improvements in the new mode
in CLM with that from the APSIM model, the researchers have made several other innovative improvements
in the new mode
in the new model.
The sensitivity of leaf unfolding
phenology to climate warming has significantly declined since 1980s, according to a study recently published
in the journal Nature by an international collaboration of scientists.
To check whether warm winters have already attenuated the advance
in spring
phenology, an international team of researchers from China, Belgium, France, Spain, Switzerland and Germany investigated the change
in the sensitivity of leaf unfolding to climate warming using long - term observations for seven dominant European tree species at 1245 sites
in Central Europe.
The study provides the first large - scale empirical evidence for a declining sensitivity of spring
phenology to warming
in mature trees for Central Europe.
For this work, the ITC researchers worked with the USA National
Phenology Network (USANPN) and earlier this year they published a quality - checked phenological dataset
in Scientific Data.
«Furnas and McGrann provide a textbook example of how to detect differences
in the timing of nesting among bird species using information on the peak date of singing derived from surveys and automated recorders,» according to UC Berkeley's Steve Beissinger, an expert on avian
phenology who was not involved
in the study.
ABSTRACT: French records of grape - harvest dates
in Burgundy were used to reconstruct spring - summer temperatures from 1370 to 2003 using a process - based
phenology model developed for the Pinot Noir grape.
In a warming climate, the timing of activity (i.e.,
phenology) of plants and pollinators is expected to shift, but these shifts may not be synchronized with one another (Burkle and Alarcon 2011; Burkle et al. 2013; Rafferty et al. 2013).
2) Effects of climate change on
phenology and carbon cycles
in forests.
In contrast to a number of phenological studies showing nonlinear relationships between phenology and temperature, due largely to unmet chilling and photoperiod requirements, our findings demonstrate the relationship to be linear and to explain most of the variation in flowerin
In contrast to a number of phenological studies showing nonlinear relationships between
phenology and temperature, due largely to unmet chilling and photoperiod requirements, our findings demonstrate the relationship to be linear and to explain most of the variation
in flowerin
in flowering.
1]-RRB- dispersal are detailed
in Table II; the elements of plant strategies are: PT is plant type, sm is shoot morphology, lf is leaf form, c is canopy, loep is length of established phase, lor is lifetime of roots, lp is leaf
phenology, rop is reproductive organ
phenology, ff is flowering frequency, poaps = proportion of annual production for seeds, podup is perennating organs during unfavourable periods, rs is regenerative strategy, mpgr is mean potential growth rate, rrd is response to resource depletion, pumn is photosynthetic uptake of mineral nutrients, ac is acclimation capacity, sop is storage of photosynthates, lc is litter characteristic, psh is palatability to non-specific herbivores and nDNA is nuclear DNA amount.
The USA National
Phenology Network monitors the status of spring
in the form of first - leaf and first - bloom indexes.
[Response: You fail to see that ocean temperatures, satellite measurements, glacier melting, Arctic ice retreat, changes
in phenology are all consistent with a warming planet.
French records of grape - harvest dates
in Burgundy were used to reconstruct spring - summer temperatures from 1370 to 2003 using a process - based
phenology model developed for the Pinot Noir grape.
ABSTRACT: French records of grape - harvest dates
in Burgundy were used to reconstruct spring - summer temperatures from 1370 to 2003 using a process - based
phenology model developed for the Pinot Noir grape.
You can check the scientific literature on this topic by going to Google Scholar and typing
in «seasonal
phenology and climate change» I got a little over 22,000 hits on this topic.
I've been at scientific meetings
in the US and Europe where highly detailed studies of range expansion and
phenology shifts are documented with data, often with data sets of 20 - 40 or more years.
Does it line up with our ocean data sets, our satellite data sets, boreholes and our 100s of records of changes
in species behaviour and
phenology.
We present an integrated modeling study designed to investigate changes
in ecosystem level
phenology over Europe associated with changes
in climate pattern, by the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO).
Change
in snow
phenology and its potential feedback to temperature
in the Northern Hemisphere over the last three decades.
Combine the satellite trend with the surface observations and the umpteen non-temperature based records that reflect temperature change (from glaciers to
phenology to lake freeze dates to snow - cover extent
in spring & fall to sea level rise to stratospheric temps) and the evidence for recent gradual warming is, well, unequivocal.
«Our study clearly showed that European migratory bird species with declining breeding populations
in Europe
in the last decades (1990 — 2000) responded the least to recent climate change as reflected by the temporal trend
in spring migration
phenology, or even delayed their timing of spring migration, whereas species with stable or increasing populations advanced migration.»
The results suggest that the much earlier calculated arrival to southern Sweden among short - distance migrants mirrors a change
in location of wintering areas, hence, connecting migration
phenology and wintering range shifts.»
Interestingly, the results further suggest that climate change has affected the
phenology of short - distance migrants more
in southern than
in central Sweden.
The regional arrays provide a sampling of ocean conditions around the world that is designed to produce an integrated data set that can be used to address questions related to physical - biogeochemical coupling
in eddies, phytoplankton
phenology (cyclic and seasonal phenomena), nutrient supply, and climate effects on ocean carbon cycling
in selected regions.
Climate change and shifts
in spring
phenology of three horticultural woody perennials
in northeastern USA
Projected values, based on CMIP5 model, RCP 8.5 scenario, are as calculated by the author of» Spring plant
phenology and false springs
in the conterminous U.S. during the 21st century.»
A study by a group of scientists of the G.B. Pant Institute of Himalayan Environment and Development, Almora, has generated evidences of changes
in flowering
phenology [continue reading...]
«The study, carried out by 12 research groups, showed — for the first time — an acceleration
in seasonal timings (
phenology) at an environment - wide scale.
Thousands of species have reacted to a changing climatic regime by altering their geographic range, abundance,
phenology (seasonal patterns), phenotype, or genotype, or
in some cases recorded
in the fossil record, have become extinct (Barnosky, 1986, 2009; Barnosky et al., 2003; Blois and Hadly, 2009; Brook and Barnosky, 2012; Hadly et al., 2004; Harnik et al., 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2011; Parmesan, 2006; Parmesan and Yohe, 2003; Root et al., 2003; Walther et al., 2002; Moritz et al., 2008).
Changes
in the timing of biological events are of particular concern because of a potential disconnect between migrants and their food resources if the
phenology of each advances at different rates (Inouye et al., 2000; Root et al., 2003; Visser et al., 2004).
To quantify the contribution of the UHI effect to phenological variation is therefore another hot topic for the future
in the field of
phenology.»
Researchers also uncovered shifts
in seasonal behavior, or
phenology, such as breeding, egg - laying and migration.
... geographical distribution and seasonal
phenology of target organisms
in relation to climate.
Ice and
phenology aren't so useful for detection
in that sense because they are qualitative measures and it's hard to extract relative magnitudes or spatial patterns from them.
It is no surprise therefore that coastal marine species have shown some of the fastest responses to climate change
in any system, with species - specific responses to thermal stress causing poleward shifts
in biogeographic distributions towards cooler environments, as well as changes
in phenology and regime shifts.
There are numerous studies of
phenology (study of the timing of periodic biological / ecological events) that demonstrate damage to specific species and ecosystems, because of changes
in the timing of migration, reproduction, and arrival of prey species.
Using an ensemble of eight models calibrated only for
phenology or five models calibrated
in detail resulted
in the uncertainty equivalent to that of the measured yield
in well - controlled agronomic field experiments.