The results look a lot like
physical model results.
Not exact matches
Until now, there have always been separate
physical models for threads and spheres, which would predict in each case whether the
resulting solution would be liquid or glassy.
Random fluctuations and three
physical reasons come into question to explain this: The
model calculations are based on different amounts of radiant energy from the sun that impinge on Earth's surface and are stored as a
result of the greenhouse effect, e.g. due to atmospheric carbon dioxide.
«Our
modeling results suggest that the
physical aspects of the kelp — its sheer size and its presence, the shade that it casts, its effect on flow and the habitat it provides for predators — affect the reef ecosystem more than its productivity,» Miller said.
Physicists look for
results inconsistent with those predicted by the Standard
Model to expand knowledge of the
physical world — but that didn't happen here.
«Our theoretical
model helped us decipher the experimental
results and fully understand the
physical mechanism governing defect motion,» said Pearce, «but also allowed us to go beyond the current experimental evidence.»
The team has already used
results from their technique to create a new
model for the way particulate matter behaves, which is concurrently published in the journal
Physical Review E.
The
models also include the greenhouse gas emissions and other pollutants that
result from these processes, and they incorporate all of that information within a global climate
model that simulates the
physical and chemical processes in the atmosphere, as well as in freshwater and ocean systems.
The
results, which appear in the January
Physical Review D, also constitute the Standard
Model's most stringent test to date, says Knuteson, who has since left active research.
So far, these early
results showed that
physical conditions where the air and the ocean interact must be a vital part of any successful hurricane forecasting
model and would help explain, and predict, how a storm might intensify as it moves through across the water based on the
physical stress at the ocean's surface.
«This would seem to refute — or at least make less likely —
models in which the behavior effects are the
result of direct
physical action of parasites on specific parts of the brain,» Eisen wrote in a blog post about the research.
Using conjoined
results of carbon - cycle and
physical - climate
model intercomparison projects, we find the median time between an emission and maximum warming is 10.1 years.»
This is in accord with
physical expectations and most
model results, which demonstrate the role of increasing greenhouse gases in tropospheric warming and stratospheric cooling; ozone depletion also contributes substantially to stratospheric cooling.
In their work examining intergranular attack of alloys under hydrothermal conditions, scientists from PNNL's ACMD Division Computational Mathematics group,
Physical Sciences Division, and Energy and Environment Directorate developed a mathematical
model that is directly comparable to experimental data in predicting how fast oxygen penetrates binary alloys and the
resulting depletion of select elements in the materials that leads to failures.
The integrative medical
model of medicine understands that healing can occur on many levels (
physical, emotional / feelings, mental / thoughts and beliefs, etc.) and disease and stress may be the
result of underlying imbalances.
In further
models, the association with 2 - year incidence attenuated but the association with 5 - year incidence remained (Table 3) and further adjustments for BMI, central obesity and
physical health (not shown)
resulted in an OR for highest vs. lowest tertile of: 1.23, 95 % CI: 1.02, 1.48, P for trend = 0.03.
Adding other factors, such as assay batch, family history of breast cancer, age at menarche, breastfeeding,
physical activity, childhood BMI, smoking, drinking status, and intake of fat and fiber into the multivariable
model did not change the
result appreciably, but reduced the precision.
As a
result, I intend to tie a reality constructed and
modeled from representations and the virtual world of pictorial illusion with the
physical interactive space created by the painting's materials and hypnotic conditions.
It's something of an abstract concept, but with real world implications, and the universality of such
physical models, based on things like radiative balance, atmospheric composition and density, distance from the local Sun, etc., is a very strong argument in favor of general acceptance of the
results of climate
models and observations on Earth.
They do this by seeing whether the same
result is seen in other simulations, with other
models, whether it makes
physical sense and whether there is some evidence of similar things in the observational or paleo record.
So, a validated climate
model would be one that takes in all the
physical environment data it should have and omits all the data it shouldn't have, and then is able to processes the data in the proper sequences etc. to produce true
results.
From what is written about the
models, even the scientists running them admit the effects of those are really just estimates, not
results from first
physical principles.
Here we present
results from Byrne & Schneider (2016) in which we combine basic theory and idealised climate -
model simulations to investigate the
physical processes determining the width of the ITCZ and its sensitivity to climate change.
The mistake so obvious to a trained
physical scientist and so ubiquitous among climate modelers: the inability or unwillingness to perform
physical reliability analyses on their
model results.
Authors concludes that — to the extent that we have simple plausible
physical arguments that support the
model consensus — we believe that one should have nearly as much confidence in these
results as one has in the increase in temperature itself
I would be interested to see a range of
results based on a plausible range of the free parameters, constrained where possible by
physical models of the underlying phenomena.
Scientists that evaluate climate
models, develop
physical process parameterizations, and utilize climate
model results are convinced (at least to some degree) of the usefulness of climate
models for their research.
Nearly all
physical measurements that are collected in large quantities are based on
models relating some output (usually electrical current or voltage) to some input, and the
model results are evidence of the quantity of the measured attribute.
In contrast to climate
models, which can only approximate the
physical processes and may exclude important processes, the empirical
result includes all processes that exist in the real world — and the physics is exact.
When we wish to infer about alternative
physical models we must study, how consistent they are with the empirical
result is taking all uncertainties of the empirical analysis into account.
I won't repeat what I said on an earlier forum, but a quick look at Paul Williams» presentation on numerical errors in climate
modeling shows a host of issues that would lead me to assign a rather high uncertainty to the
model results, and then we have the uncertainties in the
physical models themselves.
Yet tracking down its origin is difficult — it seems to have originated by fitting a log formula to some numerical
results from a radiative forcing
model, not from the analytical solution of a
physical model.
Why isn't a TCR type of simulation, but instead using actual history and 200 year projected GHG levels in the atmosphere, that would produce
results similar to a TCR simulation (at least for the AGW temp increase that would occur when the CO2 level is doubled) and would
result in much less uncertainty than ECS (as assessed by climate
model dispersions), a more appropriate metric for a 300 year forecast, since it takes the climate more than 1000 years to equilibrate to the hypothesized ECS value, and we have only uncertain methods to check the computed ECS value with actual
physical data?
«But to make sure whether it's just an outlier, or really some reliable
physical result, you have to check other
models.»
This inconsistency between
model results and observations could arise either becaise «real world» amplification effects on short and long term time scales are controlled by different
physical mechanisms, and
models fail to capture such behavior, or because non-climatic influences remaining in some or all of the observed tropospheric datasets lead to biased long - term trends, or a combination of these factors.
No, then because you are using a
model and correlating the
results of the
model to the time series, which is why you need
physical models of course:)
Several steps have been carried out in various workshops and meetings
resulting in a compilation of relevant
physical effects, a general
modeling framework, a first compilation of important terminology, and handbook chapter structure.
Scientists will use data from other field campaigns to determine which set of
physical and chemical representations in the
models produce
results more consistent with observations and why.
As we have extensively documented in, Roy Spencer has a propensity for performing curve fitting exercises with a simple climate
model by allowing its parameters to vary without
physical constraints, and then making grandiose claims about his
results.
To be valid RCP 8.5 would need to have some relevance in order to consider policy based on it's
results, fudging
models to produce
results with parameters that have no bearing on the real
physical world is pointless.
His research
results have been published in the Journal of
Physical Oceanography, the Journal of Geophysical Research, the Journal of Climate, Monthly Weather Review, Geophysical Research Letters, Ocean
Modeling, Deep Sea Research, and other scientific journals.
Our approach has been to develop two
models with different ocean dynamical /
physical cores while keeping all other components the same in order to test the sensitivity of our
results to our assumptions inherent in our ocean configuration.
The fact of the matter is that IPCC has relied in AR4 on
models, which assume a strongly positive net feedback from clouds, while subsequent
physical observations show that the primary impact of clouds with warming is increased albedo and higher SW reflection
resulting in an overall negative cloud feedback.
The
model needs to properly reflect the underlying
physical structure in order to have any chance at an end
result that is meaningful with properly estimated parameters and measures of uncertainty for those parameters.
Because climate changes
result from dynamic interactions between the oceans and the atmosphere, collaborations between sedimentologists, geochemists, marine geologists, paleontologists, planetary scientists, and
physical oceanographers will be necessary to develop, test, and calibrate reliable
models using the sedimentary record (e.g., Kutzbach, 1987).
Finally, it is therefore inescapable that: if the official GAST data from NOAA, NASA and Hadley CRU are invalid, then both the «basic
physical understanding» of climate and the associated climate
models will also be invalid —
resulting in tens of billions in wasted climate research funding.
«Our confidence in our conclusion... is based on the fact that the
results of the radiative - convective and heat - balance
model studies can be understood in purely
physical terms and are verified by the more complex GCM's.
Answer: The growing confluence of
model results and the increasingly similar
physical representations of the climate system from
model to
model may well look like sharing code or tweaking'til things look alike.
... the
results depend on the statistical
model used, and more complex
models are not as transparent and often lack
physical realism.
What type of
physical model would yield these
results?