Sentences with phrase «pitcher walk rates»

As you can see, there's a direct correlation between lower starting pitcher walk rates and increasing returns for moneyline bettors.

Taking pitchers with low walk rates makes sense, does opponent's pitcher walk rate matter?

To be clear, this references the pitchers walk rate for the current season at the time the game was being played.

Not exact matches

An article from earlier this year showed the importance of walk rate for starting pitchers, and I wanted to see whether this addition could be applied to when betting day games.

Last week my coworker Andrew Fine explained why bettors should be fading San Diego Padres starting pitcher Edwin Jackson due to his past struggles, high walk rate, and steam on their opponent — the Cincinnati Reds.

With a sample size of over 4,000 games, I found that the under had produced a 3.8 % when both pitchers had a walk rate of 7.0 % or lower.

Pitchers with an «excellent» walk rate (less than 4.5 %) had produced a 3.2 % ROI.

Walk rate doesn't need to be the only statistic that you examine before betting on a starting pitcher, but it's clearly one of the most important.

Although none of these numbers were astounding, it was fascinating to know that simply betting on every pitcher with an above average walk rate has been a profitable strategy.

My analysis found that pitchers with a walk rate of less than 5.5 % had produced a 2.5 % ROI since the start of the 2005 season.

Going one step farther, I wanted to see whether pitchers with «great» walk rates were even more lucrative.

The screenshot below displays the year - by - year performance of the under when both pitchers have a walk rate of 7.0 % or lower.

Using the historical archive that powers Bet Labs, I wanted to look at games where one pitcher's walk rate was above average (less than 7.7 %) and the other pitcher's was below average (more than 7.7 %).

At the time of publication, Clayton Kershaw, Josh Tomlin, Noah Syndergaard, Mike Fiers, Zack Greinke and Ricky Nolasco were the only pitchers with «excellent» walk rates, with Masahiro Tanaka, Bartolo Colon and Jordan Zimmermann just outside the range.

Specifically, I believed that the under would perform well when both pitchers had low walk rates while the over would perform well when both pitchers had high walk rates.

Last month my colleague David Solar explained that it is profitable to bet against pitchers with a high walk rate.