Sentences with phrase «plausible business as usual scenario»

On any plausible business as usual scenario, emissions will grow substantially, while for any plausible climate science model, we need to reduce emissions substantially if we are to avoid highly damaging climate change.

Not exact matches

Rutledge said of the four IPCC scenarios, he found the second RCP scenario, RCP 4.5, where carbon dioxide emissions flatten out around 2080, to be more plausible under a business - as - usual scenario for coal exploitation.

This analysis considers two plausible greenhouse gas concentration scenarios: a moderate (stabilized) and more severe (business - as - usual) scenario, referred to as RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively.

This is a more plausible representation of a world with future climate policy than assuming a more business - as - usual scenario for these other pollutants — as has often been done when calculating budgets in the past.