Sentences with phrase «plausible futures»

Nonetheless, economists do their best to make a range of reasonable estimates for plausible futures and calculate the resulting changes in emissions.
An alternative way to envision light duty vehicle sales trends is with some scenario thinking; which means coming up with two or three equally plausible future directions in vehicle sales.
And i know it's a long - shot, but this is also a somewhat plausible future given our dependence upon the internet.
The goodness measure will be used to illustrate the range of plausible futures.
Projections are derived using calculations that replicate plausible future changes in a population as a result of fertility, mortality and migration.
Despite this, future «projections» for as far ahead as several hundred years have been presented by the IPCC as plausible future trends, based on largely distorted «storylines», combined with untested models.
In addition, scenarios.globalchange.gov provides scenarios: quantitative and narrative descriptions of plausible future conditions that provide assumptions for analyses of potential impacts and responses to climate change.
Like Children of Men, this seems like a chillingly plausible future, one that is not obliterated by some sudden cataclysm, but rather stuck in a spiral of slow decay.
AOGCM projections provide plausible future regional climate scenarios, although methods to establish the reliability of the regional AOGCM scales have yet to mature.
For this reason, it is considered good practice to use output from multiple models to explore a range of scientifically plausible futures — to account for an envelope of future climate risk, rather than a single future pathway.
Rather they describe alternative plausible futures that conform to sets of circumstances or constraints within which they occur (Hammond, 1996).
We have constructed plausible futures of the LECZ population and of people in the flood plain in 2030 and 2060 and highlighted regions of high exposure.
Thus, Snyder's claim of a committed warming of 3 - 7ºC is based on an incorrect method for defining ESS, an inappropriate application of this to the present and is inconsistent with current estimates of the radiative imbalance and plausible future changes in ice sheets.
The analysis in the Forest chapter is based on the climate trends for which we had sufficient data and climate projections that represent plausible future scenarios, as described in the Climate chapter.
However, analogous to the U.S. SEC's use of the 12 - month rolling average spot price for the SMOG measure of quantities of proven reserves, a reference 2 °C scenario can assist in market appreciation of companies» relative exposure to plausible future risks.
Suggestion for environmentalists: keep your eyes on strategy signals from the new Administration; and, if you really must produce favorite «to do» lists, then at least show us that there's more than one plausible future direction that your list «works» in.
«It's very difficult to make predictions, but given what we know now — absent any form of adaptation or mitigation — our study shows that climate change will exacerbate the health impact of heat waves across a range of plausible future scenarios,» Peng told Newsroom.
«I think we can develop systems that eventually hallucinate these reasonable, plausible futures of images and videos.»
They were in fact commissioned by NASA forty years ago to accompany scientific reports, fleshing out what seemed, at the time, a plausible future of colonies in Earth's orbit.
All the plausible future scenarios explored in the Africa assessment highlight that the drivers of biodiversity loss will increase, with associated negative impacts on nature's contributions to people and human well - being.
Infinite Warfare is the first game in the franchise to venture beyond the reaches of Earth, framing a plausible future war in our solar system.
Similar to Margaret Atwood's stories, The Water Knife is a frightening vision of an all - too - plausible future.
The central question seems to be — does the prospect of liquidation need to be a plausible future course of events for the NCAV model to work — i.e., provide decent returns and protection of principal?
We are in a plausible future where it's a human versus human conflict, same as what it would be on Earth.
To help try to project a plausible future of augmented humanity in both Human Revolution and Mankind Divided, they also consulted Will Rosellini, a leading expert in transhumanism whose Twitter bio reads «Turning bodies into cars».
We had the pleasure of interviewing Steven Mowery, Lead Developer of Synstasis, which is an upcoming sci - fi RPG with tactical turn - based combat, set in an immersive and plausible future.
Call of Duty: Advanced Warfare takes place in a plausible future in which technological progress and today's military practices have converged with powerful consequences.
As a result, I was a (minor) co-author on a paper in Global Environmental Change earlier this year aiming to illustrate «how science might contribute to the identification of desirable and plausible futures and pave the way for transformations towards them.»
(Scenarios are not forecasts: they are internally - consistent pictures of a plausible future.)
By allowing decision - makers to become familiar (in advance) with a number of diverse but plausible futures, scenarios are one way of reducing surprises.
For the purposes of this report, a climate scenario refers to a plausible future climate that has been constructed for explicit use in investigating the potential consequences of anthropogenic climate change.
The latter term is sometimes used in the scientific literature to denote a plausible future climate.
However, this term should strictly refer to a representation of the difference between some plausible future climate and the current or control climate (usually as represented in a climate model)(see Box 13.1, Figure 13.1 a).
Analogues can provide a basis for planning, but realistic and plausible future scenarios must consider a host of other factors.
I'll then examine the plausible future course of the Arctic sea ice «death spiral» that is likely to see the Arctic virtually free of sea ice by the 2030s if not sooner, culminating with a new graphic representation of the Arctic sea ice death spiral.
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