Sentences with phrase «plausible prediction of future»

However, you can't make a plausible prediction of future survival without an estimate of present population size: not even today's worst journalists would buy it, nor should they.

Without a successful validation procedure, no model should be considered to be capable of providing a plausible prediction of future behaviour of the climate.

Not exact matches

The main reason climate models run into the future are not really predictions is that it is very expesnive to run each scenario, and so there are far too many of them to run every plausible case.

«As a process committed to acceptance of deep uncertainties,» they say, «CIDA does not attempt to reduce uncertainties or make predictions, but rather determine which decision options are robust to a variety of plausible futures.»

This raises an interesting question, which is how should the IPCC (or anybody else for that matter) falsify hypothesis II and III, which although they are at least plausible, make no testable predictions, unlike hypothesis I. Has anybody made projections for future climate with an unambiguous statement of uncertainty that would allow the projections to be falisfied by the observations?

Therefore, the AASC recommends that policies related to long - term climate not be based on particular predictions, but instead should focus on policy alternatives that make sense for a wide range of plausible climatic conditions regardless of future climate.

Many of the predictions end up spelling out Mad Max - ish scenarios for of the country's future that seems at once fantastic and uneasily plausible.

More usefully in terms of future predictions, a recent paper in PNAS by Van Vuuren and co-workers (including a friend of mine, Tom Wigley, who is an Adjunct Professor at the University of Adelaide), assessed the impact on climate change of some plausible real - world actions.