Sentences with phrase «plausible worst scenario»

Find a hot button issue, do enough research to contrast an apparently plausible worst scenario around it, and hang the thing on a screen - option friendly plot.

Not exact matches

They created a «plausible» worst case scenario: drought hitting four key staples — wheat, rice, corn, and soybeans — simultaneously.

This is not meant to pre-judge whether those risks are worse than climate change impacts under plausible emission scenarios and is not meant to claim that all geoengineering strategies are dangerous or risky.

While true, that's more feature than bug, since, as one of the two extreme pathways, it is designed to provide climate modellers with an unlikely, but still just plausible «how bad could it be» scenario.

However, the main spark for some environmentalist soul - searching was David Wallace - Wells» sweeping New York magazine exploration of the plausible worst - case climate scenarios we could be facing and the deeply unsatisfactory response from much of the green community to this ear - splitting clarion call.

relative neglect of defining and understanding the plausible and possible worst case scenarios

Our current focus on the «best estimate» has directed the scientific focus away from the possible or plausible worst case scenarios, and they are not considered if they are not inferred from the climate models.

RCP8.5 is less plausible as a worse case scenario than a super volcano emerging over the next decades or an asteroid strike.

Identifying possible / plausible worst case scenarios is much more useful in my opinion in identifying possible black swans and dragon kings in the climate system than the fat tail approach.

Although important differences must be acknowledged — for example, the causes and the amplitudes of the warming, and the probable impacts of land cover change on temperatures — the medieval droughts can provide some direct evidence of the Southwest hydroclimatic response to warming and a plausible, but conservative, worst - case scenario to be considered in sustainable water - resource planning.

I have spent considerable effort in identifying possible / plausible worst case scenarios, black swans and dragon kings:

That way you can define an explicit plausible worst case scenario, and get away from things like a 1 % chance of sensitivity > 20C, for which there is no evidence.

Under a robust decision making framework, the plausible worst - case scenario (catastrophe) is included in the decision making process without letting it completely dominate the decision making.

So in terms of worst plausible scenarios (per se reasonable to consider), Hansen's 21st century SLR isn't even possible in the real world.

In robust decision making, the plausible worst case scenario informs decision making but does not necessarily dominate the decision making process.

A clear and specific understanding of the plausible worst - case scenario impacts facing the world post-2050 on our current emissions path.