In simple terms, roughly a one percentage
point decline in the unemployment rate will reduce the seriously delinquent rate by 0.8 percentage points.
Not exact matches
At various
points in the Clinton, Bush, Obama, and Trump administrations, new stock market records and historically low
unemployment rates were used as a synonym for a booming economy, or after the financial crisis, to signal that the economy was recovering — even though many workers and households experienced stagnating or steadily
declining incomes for years or even decades.
After studying the
decline in U.S. crime rates that occurred
in the 1990s, it concluded that a drop of two percentage
points in unemployment was responsible for a 9 %
decline in burglary, 14 % drop
in rape and robbery and 30 % plunge
in assault.
The labour market had tightened as the
unemployment rate had
declined by around 3 percentage
points in two years, and wage pressures were building.
As a result, the
unemployment rate, which is derived from the household survey, has fallen by about 1/2 a percentage
point from its recent peak, although this
decline is also partly explained by a large fall
in the participation rate.
But fiscal watchdogs and Republicans
point out that
unemployment is down
in part because of a
decline in job seekers upstate (i.e., people moving away).
Using the paper's estimates, that would imply the recent recession caused a
decline in female enrollment
in elementary education of 33.6 percent (the 5.6 percentage
point change
in the
unemployment rate multiplied by the 6 percent figure above).
Black adults still face a 7 percent
unemployment rate, while the rate for white adults has
declined to 3.4 percent.9 As a result, racial wealth inequality is at its highest
point in nearly 30 years.10
The
unemployment rate fell to 5.9 %, its lowest
point since July 2008, but much of the drop
in unemployment stemmed from a continuing
decline in the labor force participation rate.
Unemployment has
declined to 4.4 percent and consumer confidence is at its highest
point in 15 years.